Football, judged by the numbers
ScorePredicts is a statistical modelling platform for football. We publish probabilities, show the reasoning behind them, and record how they turned out. That is the whole product.
Why this exists
The football prediction industry has a credibility problem. Most sites lead with confident language, publish only the results that flatter them, and quietly avoid the question of whether any of it works. The numbers arrive without reasoning and disappear without a record.
ScorePredicts was built as the opposite of that. Every forecast comes with the context that produced it - form, expected goals, availability, scheduling, how the wider market has priced the same match. Every forecast is logged, and the record stays visible whether it flatters us or not.
That approach means we say "probably" more often than our competitors, and "guaranteed" never. Football is genuinely uncertain. A platform that pretends otherwise is not being confident, it is being dishonest.
What we do, and what we don't
What ScorePredicts is
- A statistical modelling platform for football, covering 1,200+ competitions.
- A source of calculated probabilities across six markets, with the reasoning attached.
- A published record of how past forecasts resolved, kept whether or not it looks good.
- A research tool for people who want to understand a fixture more analytically.
- A subscription product with a 30-day money-back guarantee and no lock-in.
What ScorePredicts isn't
- A bookmaker, betting exchange or broker. We accept no wagers and hold no funds.
- A tipster service. We do not tell you what to do, and we never will.
- A source of financial, investment or betting advice of any kind.
- An affiliate operation. We take no commission from anyone based on what you do next.
- A guarantee. No model removes uncertainty from football, and ours does not claim to.
Four principles we don't bend
These are constraints on the product, not marketing copy. They cost us conversions and we keep them anyway.
Show the working
A number without reasoning is just an assertion. Every forecast exposes the inputs behind it so you can disagree with the model on informed grounds.
Publish the record
Accuracy is recorded and shown, including the periods where the model performed poorly. Selective reporting is the industry's default and we refuse it.
Never promise outcomes
We do not advertise profit, returns or guaranteed results. A probability is a probability. Anyone selling certainty in football is selling something else.
Take no money from the outcome
No bookmaker partnerships, no affiliate links, no commission. Our only revenue is subscriptions, so the model has no reason to tell you anything except what it calculated.
Built to cover the whole game
Most platforms model the leagues that are easy to model. Coverage is where the harder work is.
From major divisions to leagues most platforms ignore entirely.
The platform is translated for readers across Europe and beyond.
Match result, double chance, both teams to score, goals, corners and cards.
A decade of match records underpinning every calculation.
Who's behind it
ScorePredicts is built and run by one person. The models, the data pipeline, the infrastructure and the site you are reading are all the same pair of hands.
That has trade-offs and it would be strange to hide them. Support is email only, and replies take a day or two rather than minutes. What you get in exchange is a product with no growth team pushing it toward the things that make prediction sites untrustworthy.
See it for yourself
The free plan needs an email address and nothing else. Three best picks a day, plus every live score, fixture and table on the site.