AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 Prediction

Premier League 2 Division OneEngland England · Regular Season
AFC Bournemouth U21
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Stoke City U21
The Wyatt Homes Stadium, Dorset·M. Russell 21/09/2026
AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21
2-1
Finished
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-12.7%
AFC Bournemouth U21 Rest
9 days
Stoke City U21 Rest
5 days

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21: result, form and history

AFC Bournemouth U21 beat Stoke City U21 2-1 in the Premier League 2 Division One on 21 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: AFC Bournemouth U21 had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Stoke City U21.

Referee M. Russell averages 2.97 cards a game, 1.00 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.53
X
20%4.60
2
25%3.90
Double Chance
1X
75%1.17
X2
45%2.20
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'H. William
20'E. Nyarko
21'D. NdimukumAssist: E. Sills
34'J. Mears
46'A. Dauda INP. Otegbayo out
49'A. AmpahAssist: A. Walker
67'J. Osei INT. Martin out
74'B. Winterburn
75'G. Chubinidze INC. Ogbu out
77'G. Kelly
78'G. Kelly INE. Fearn out
90+7'

Team Comparison

AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21
1591Elo Rating 1446
2.88Attack 1.62
1.27Defense 0.13
56%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21
3W1D2L
12/09/2026
Southampton U21AFC Bournemouth U21
31
L
04/09/2026
Leicester City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
01
W
31/08/2026
AFC Bournemouth U21Middlesbrough U21
31
W
21/08/2026
AFC Bournemouth U21Chelsea U21
21
W
14/08/2026
Cardiff City U21AFC Bournemouth U21
41
L
10/07/2026
AFC Bournemouth U21Worthing
22
D
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21
1W2D6L
16/09/2026
Stoke City U21Borussia M'gladbach II
02
L
11/09/2026
Stoke City U21Wolves U21
40
W
08/09/2026
WealdstoneStoke City U21
60
L
04/09/2026
Stockport County U21Stoke City U21
40
L
28/08/2026
Norwich City U21Stoke City U21
00
D
21/08/2026
Stoke City U21Brentford U21
23
L
18/08/2026
ScunthorpeStoke City U21
40
L
14/08/2026
Stoke City U21Leeds United U21
00
D
18/07/2026
TamworthStoke City U21
31
L

Referee Profile

M. Russell100 matches

2.97Cards per match
2.91Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Russell2.97
Other referees3.97

2.97 cards a match, 1.00 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2 Division One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tottenham Hotspur U21Tottenham Hotspur U21541015:7+813WWWDW
2Chelsea U21Chelsea U21641117:11+613DWWWW
3Nottingham Forest U21Nottingham Forest U21640211:11012LWWWW
4Liverpool U21Liverpool U21632111:6+511DWWLW
5Southampton U21Southampton U2143107:2+510WWWD
6Sunderland U21Sunderland U21531115:11+410DWWLW
7Norwich City U21Norwich City U21531110:7+310WLWDW
8Fulham U21Fulham U21631216:14+210LWLDW
9AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21531111:9+210DWLWW
10Reading U21Reading U2163129:8+110WLDWW
11Manchester United U21Manchester United U21430114:6+89LWWW
12Everton U21Everton U2152216:4+28WDWLD
13Brighton U21Brighton U21622214:1408WDLWD
14West Ham United U21West Ham United U21622210:1008WLDWL
15Aston Villa U21Aston Villa U2152218:808WDDLW
16Crystal Palace U21Crystal Palace U2142117:3+47WLWD
17Derby County U21Derby County U21521213:12+17WLLDW
18Leeds United U21Leeds United U21521212:13-17LWDLW
19Manchester City U21Manchester City U21420211:9+26WLLW
20Ipswich Town U21Ipswich Town U21420211:10+16WLWL
21Brentford U21Brentford U21520311:10+16LLLWW
22Stoke City U21Stoke City U21611411:1104LLLWD
23Leicester City U21Leicester City U2151135:10-54WLDLL
24Arsenal U21Arsenal U2160427:13-64LDDLD
25Blackburn Rovers U21Blackburn Rovers U2131024:7-33WLL
26Burnley U21Burnley U2161059:13-43LLWLL
27Wolves U21Wolves U2141032:11-93WLLL
28Middlesbrough U21Middlesbrough U2150238:12-42LDDLL
29Birmingham City U21Birmingham City U2150235:16-112LLDLD
30West Bromwich Albion U21West Bromwich Albion U2140139:13-41LLDL
31Newcastle United U21Newcastle United U2130031:9-80LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tottenham Hotspur U21Tottenham Hotspur U21515:713
2Chelsea U21Chelsea U21617:1113
3Nottingham Forest U21Nottingham Forest U21611:1112
4Liverpool U21Liverpool U21611:611
5Southampton U21Southampton U2147:210
6Sunderland U21Sunderland U21515:1110
7Norwich City U21Norwich City U21510:710
8Fulham U21Fulham U21616:1410
9AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21511:910
10Reading U21Reading U2169:810
11Manchester United U21Manchester United U21414:69
12Everton U21Everton U2156:48
13Brighton U21Brighton U21614:148
14West Ham United U21West Ham United U21610:108
15Aston Villa U21Aston Villa U2158:88
16Crystal Palace U21Crystal Palace U2147:37
17Derby County U21Derby County U21513:127
18Leeds United U21Leeds United U21512:137
19Manchester City U21Manchester City U21411:96
20Ipswich Town U21Ipswich Town U21411:106
21Brentford U21Brentford U21511:106
22Stoke City U21Stoke City U21611:114
23Leicester City U21Leicester City U2155:104
24Arsenal U21Arsenal U2167:134
25Blackburn Rovers U21Blackburn Rovers U2134:73
26Burnley U21Burnley U2169:133
27Wolves U21Wolves U2142:113
28Middlesbrough U21Middlesbrough U2158:122
29Birmingham City U21Birmingham City U2155:162
30West Bromwich Albion U21West Bromwich Albion U2149:131
31Newcastle United U21Newcastle United U2131:90
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About the AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Stoke City U21 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AFC Bournemouth U21 and Stoke City U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One table

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, AFC Bournemouth U21 are 9th and Stoke City U21 22nd, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: AFC Bournemouth U21 11-9, Stoke City U21 11-11. The full standings are on the Premier League 2 Division One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AFC Bournemouth U21 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AFC Bournemouth U21 and Stoke City U21 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.