AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town Prediction

AFC Emley
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Ilkeston Town
11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseHighGap+10.3%
AFC Emley Rest
3 days
Ilkeston Town Rest
3 days

AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town: the result in context

Ilkeston Town beat AFC Emley 2-1 in the Non League Premier - Northern on 11 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.31
X
27%3.02
2
30%2.82
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
57%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.72
No
56%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.94
Over 3.5
18%3.15
Under 1.5
37%3.08
Under 2.5
62%1.77
Under 3.5
82%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'A. Dwyer
42'A. Hunter
56'J. Cowgill

Team Comparison

AFC EmleyAFC Emley
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
1482Elo Rating 1418
1.46Attack 0.91
1.68Defense 0.73
50%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

AFC EmleyAFC Emley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AFC EmleyAFC Emley
4W3D3L
08/08/2026
Hyde UnitedAFC Emley
00
D
14/07/2026
AFC EmleyRotherham
11
D
16/08/2025
Longridge TownAFC Emley
51
L
31/08/2024
Morpeth TownAFC Emley
10
L
17/08/2024
TraffordAFC Emley
03
W
04/08/2024
AFC EmleySt Helens
10
W
30/09/2023
Alfreton TownAFC Emley
10
L
19/09/2023
AFC EmleyMossley
3311
W
16/09/2023
MossleyAFC Emley
11
D
05/09/2023
AFC EmleyWidnes
41
W
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
3W3D4L
08/08/2026
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
10
W
28/07/2026
Ilkeston TownBasford United
41
W
11/07/2026
Worksop TownIlkeston Town
31
L
30/08/2025
Ilkeston TownSpalding United
12
L
17/09/2024
Ilkeston TownHereford
01
L
14/09/2024
HerefordIlkeston Town
11
D
31/08/2024
Heanor TownIlkeston Town
01
W
02/09/2023
Mickleover SportsIlkeston Town
30
L
20/09/2022
Ilkeston TownAnstey Nomads
3333
D
17/09/2022
Anstey NomadsIlkeston Town
11
D

League Table

Non League Premier - Northern 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic15104133:13+2034WWWLW
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1493231:9+2230LWWDD
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1391327:12+1528WWWLW
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1491431:17+1428WWWWW
5AvroAvro1491437:27+1028WLLLW
6WorkingtonWorkington1573526:25+124WLLDD
7RylandsRylands1472525:21+423WLDWW
8Warrington TownWarrington Town1465325:21+423LDWDD
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1371524:17+722LLWWW
10Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1562721:17+420DDLWL
11Lancaster CityLancaster City1662820:29-920LLWDL
12BuryBury1161422:11+1119WLWLW
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1561822:37-1519LWWDL
14AFC EmleyAFC Emley1545616:26-1017WDLDL
15Hyde UnitedHyde United1543815:29-1415LDLLW
16Leek TownLeek Town1335526:26014WDDWL
17Ashton UnitedAshton United1435617:18-114LLDDD
18QuornQuorn1335523:29-614DWDWL
19Stockton TownStockton Town1533918:28-1012LLDWL
20United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1324719:25-610WDDLW
21Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1424817:34-1710LDDLL
22Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town15311110:34-2410WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic1533:1334
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1431:930
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1327:1228
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1431:1728
5AvroAvro1437:2728
6WorkingtonWorkington1526:2524
7RylandsRylands1425:2123
8Warrington TownWarrington Town1425:2123
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1324:1722
10Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1521:1720
11Lancaster CityLancaster City1620:2920
12BuryBury1122:1119
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1522:3719
14AFC EmleyAFC Emley1516:2617
15Hyde UnitedHyde United1515:2915
16Leek TownLeek Town1326:2614
17Ashton UnitedAshton United1417:1814
18QuornQuorn1323:2914
19Stockton TownStockton Town1518:2812
20United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1319:2510
21Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1417:3410
22Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town1510:3410

About the AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town forecast

The forecasts for this Non League Premier - Northern match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AFC Emley and Ilkeston Town in the Non League Premier - Northern table

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, AFC Emley are 14th and Ilkeston Town 22nd, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: AFC Emley 16-26, Ilkeston Town 10-34. The full standings are on the Non League Premier - Northern Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AFC Emley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AFC Emley and Ilkeston Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.