Águia de Marabá vs ABC Prediction

Águia de Marabá
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
ABC
Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+1.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseHighGap+8.9%
Águia de Marabá Rest
7 days
ABC Rest
6 days

Águia de Marabá vs ABC: the result in context

Águia de Marabá beat ABC 2-1 in the Serie D on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.80
X
30%2.85
2
30%2.40
Double Chance
1X
70%1.45
X2
60%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.21 = 2.44
Over 1.5
67%1.35
Over 2.5
43%2.17
Over 3.5
23%3.95
Under 1.5
33%2.77
Under 2.5
57%1.59
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Diogo Carlos(Penalty)
49'Carlos Maia
61'Igor Bahia

Team Comparison

Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá
ABCABC
1585Elo Rating 1634
1.01Attack 1.36
1.35Defense 2.19
42%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ABCABC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá
6W1D3L
27/06/2026
Águia de MarabáParnahyba
20
W
21/06/2026
ParnahybaÁguia de Marabá
21
L
06/06/2026
TremÁguia de Marabá
20
L
30/05/2026
Águia de MarabáTocantinópolis
31
W
24/05/2026
ImperatrizÁguia de Marabá
03
W
17/05/2026
Tuna LusoÁguia de Marabá
21
L
10/05/2026
Águia de MarabáOratório
51
W
03/05/2026
OratórioÁguia de Marabá
12
W
25/04/2026
Águia de MarabáTuna Luso
20
W
19/04/2026
Águia de MarabáImperatriz
11
D
ABCABC
5W3D2L
28/06/2026
ABCAltos
11
D
21/06/2026
AltosABC
01
W
14/06/2026
ABCMaguary PE
10
W
31/05/2026
LagunaABC
02
W
28/05/2026
ABCVitoria
34
L
24/05/2026
ABCAmerica-RN
11
D
21/05/2026
VitoriaABC
62
L
16/05/2026
ABCSousa
20
W
10/05/2026
Central SCABC
01
W
02/05/2026
ABCCentral SC
11
D

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 5

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TremTrem1062219:13+620WLWWL
2Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá1053220:11+918LWWLW
3ImperatrizImperatriz1043315:10+515WWLLW
4Tuna LusoTuna Luso1034314:17-313LWDWL
5TocantinópolisTocantinópolis1033418:18012WLLWW
6OratórioOratório1011812:29-174LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TremTrem1019:1320
2Águia de MarabáÁguia de Marabá1020:1118
3ImperatrizImperatriz1015:1015
4Tuna LusoTuna Luso1014:1713
5TocantinópolisTocantinópolis1018:1812
6OratórioOratório1012:294

Group 8

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ABCABC1072115:6+923WWDWW
2America-RNAmerica-RN1063114:3+1121WWDWD
3Maguary PEMaguary PE103438:5+313LWDDD
4Central SCCentral SC103438:7+113WLDDL
5SousaSousa103164:11-710LLDLW
6LagunaLaguna100283:20-172LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ABCABC1015:623
2America-RNAmerica-RN1014:321
3Maguary PEMaguary PE108:513
4Central SCCentral SC108:713
5SousaSousa104:1110
6LagunaLaguna103:202
Promotion

About the Águia de Marabá vs ABC forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

ABC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Águia de Marabá and ABC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.