Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel Prediction

Al Ahed
4-2
Finished
HT 3-0
Shabab Al Sahel
Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Al Ahed Rest
4 days
Shabab Al Sahel Rest
4 days

Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel: the result in context

Al Ahed beat Shabab Al Sahel 4-2 in the Premier League on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Al Ahed have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.55
X
25%3.71
2
19%5.10
Double Chance
1X
81%1.11
X2
44%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.85
No
56%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.84
Over 3.5
19%3.04
Under 1.5
37%3.35
Under 2.5
62%1.85
Under 3.5
81%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Al AhedAl Ahed
Shabab Al SahelShabab Al Sahel
1572Elo Rating 1449
1.14Attack 0.28
2.32Defense 1.02
46%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Al AhedAl Ahed
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shabab Al SahelShabab Al Sahel
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al AhedAl Ahed8Wins · 80%
Draws00%
Shabab Al SahelShabab Al Sahel2Wins · 20%
3.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League20/12/2025
Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed
21
Premier League30/03/2025
Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed
18
Premier League24/09/2023
Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed
05
Cup24/04/2023
Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed
04
Premier League04/03/2023
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
20
Premier League13/01/2023
Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed
12
Premier League17/09/2022
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
01
Premier League23/04/2022
Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed
03
Premier League03/04/2022
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
41
Premier League15/01/2022
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
30

Recent Form

Al AhedAl Ahed
4W1D5L
24/06/2026
Al AhedSafa
41
W
20/06/2026
Al AnsarAl Ahed
31
L
16/06/2026
Al AhedAl Hikma
10
W
12/06/2026
Al NejmehAl Ahed
10
L
18/05/2026
Al AhedSafa
12
L
12/05/2026
Al AnsarAl Ahed
12
W
21/02/2026
Al AhedTadamon Sour
00
D
15/02/2026
Al MabarrahAl Ahed
10
L
11/02/2026
Al AhedAl Hikma
2040
L
06/02/2026
Jwaaya FCAl Ahed
01
W
Shabab Al SahelShabab Al Sahel
4W1D5L
24/06/2026
Shabab Al SahelReyady Abaseya
30
W
16/06/2026
Shabab Al SahelRacing
20
W
12/06/2026
Shabab Al SahelSafa
01
L
22/02/2026
Al AnsarShabab Al Sahel
30
L
16/02/2026
Al HikmaShabab Al Sahel
21
L
07/02/2026
Shabab Al SahelAl Nejmeh
11
D
31/01/2026
Tadamon SourShabab Al Sahel
12
W
23/01/2026
Al MabarrahShabab Al Sahel
10
L
30/12/2025
SafaShabab Al Sahel
10
L
26/12/2025
Shabab Al SahelJwaaya FC
20
W

League Table

Premier League 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al AnsarAl Ansar21172253:9+4453DWWLW
2Al NejmehAl Nejmeh21144342:10+3246WWLWW
3Al AhedAl Ahed21131734:22+1240LWLLW
4Jwaaya FCJwaaya FC21115531:14+1738DDWWD
5SafaSafa21113730:17+1336LWWWL
6Al HikmaAl Hikma2193929:27+230WDLWL
7Shabab Al SahelShabab Al Sahel2176822:21+127DLWWL
8Al MabarrahAl Mabarrah2157912:36-2422LLLLD
9Reyady AbaseyaReyady Abaseya21551116:30-1420WLLLL
10Tadamon SourTadamon Sour21381012:26-1417LLLWD
11BourjBourj113178:20-1210LLWWL
12RacingRacing2101204:61-571LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al AnsarAl Ansar2153:953
2Al NejmehAl Nejmeh2142:1046
3Al AhedAl Ahed2134:2240
4Jwaaya FCJwaaya FC2131:1438
5SafaSafa2130:1736
6Al HikmaAl Hikma2129:2730
7Shabab Al SahelShabab Al Sahel2122:2127
8Al MabarrahAl Mabarrah2112:3622
9Reyady AbaseyaReyady Abaseya2116:3020
10Tadamon SourTadamon Sour2112:2617
11BourjBourj118:2010
12RacingRacing214:611

About the Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al Ahed and Shabab Al Sahel in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Al Ahed are 3rd and Shabab Al Sahel 7th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Al Ahed 34-22, Shabab Al Sahel 22-21. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Ahed have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.