Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf Prediction

Al Minaa Basra
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Gharraf
26/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.52
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+9.3%
Al Minaa Basra Rest
6 days
Gharraf Rest
4 days

Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf: the result in context

Al Minaa Basra beat Gharraf 3-0 in the Iraqi League on 26 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.08
X
33%2.81
2
27%3.65
Double Chance
1X
73%1.21
X2
60%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%1.99
No
59%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 0.93 = 2.06
Over 1.5
60%1.41
Over 2.5
31%2.26
Over 3.5
16%4.33
Under 1.5
40%2.53
Under 2.5
69%1.52
Under 3.5
84%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'K. JafarAssist: H. Habbassi
22'A. Abdulhussein
90'A. QassemAssist: Pneu Flavio

Team Comparison

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
GharrafGharraf
1479Elo Rating 1449
0.67Attack 0.93
2.47Defense 2.25
34%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
GharrafGharraf
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
GharrafGharraf1Wins · 50%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Iraqi League28/04/2026
GharrafAl Minaa Basra
01
Iraqi League13/02/2026
Al Minaa BasraGharraf
01

Recent Form

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
2W6D2L
20/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraZakho
21
W
15/08/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa Basra
00
D
02/06/2026
Al ShortaAl Minaa Basra
00
D
28/05/2026
Al Minaa BasraAl Talaba
11
D
24/05/2026
Al Minaa BasraZakho
22
D
20/05/2026
Al Minaa BasraMosul
10
W
14/05/2026
NaftAl Minaa Basra
11
D
10/05/2026
Al Minaa BasraAl Zawra'a
02
L
06/05/2026
Al-QasimAl Minaa Basra
33
D
02/05/2026
Al Minaa BasraAl Quwa Al Jawiya
02
L
GharrafGharraf
2W5D3L
22/08/2026
GharrafNewroz
10
W
16/08/2026
DuhokGharraf
11
D
02/06/2026
GharrafNaft Maysan
02
L
27/05/2026
BaghdadGharraf
13
W
19/05/2026
Al KahrabaaGharraf
22
D
15/05/2026
GharrafAl Karkh
22
D
10/05/2026
Al ShortaGharraf
10
L
06/05/2026
GharrafDiyala
00
D
02/05/2026
MosulGharraf
11
D
28/04/2026
GharrafAl Minaa Basra
01
L

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1393123:10+1330WWLDW
2NewrozNewroz1375118:5+1326WDDWW
3NaftNaft1374215:7+825LWDWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1366115:7+824WDW
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1365219:12+723WWWWD
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1363417:12+521LWLLL
7ErbilErbil1355316:9+720DDLLD
8DuhokDuhok1346320:16+418WLWLW
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1345412:13-117DDWLW
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal133739:10-116DDWWL
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1337315:18-316DDWWD
12DiyalaDiyala1335515:18-314DLDWL
13GharrafGharraf133559:15-614DWDWD
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1327414:14013LDLDW
15ZakhoZakho1334610:17-713LDWLL
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1333716:21-512WLDDL
17MosulMosul1333713:21-812LLDWL
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa132569:15-611WLLLD
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan131668:19-119LDLLD
20KarbalaKarbala1314811:25-147LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1323:1030
2NewrozNewroz1318:526
3NaftNaft1315:725
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1315:724
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1319:1223
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1317:1221
7ErbilErbil1316:920
8DuhokDuhok1320:1618
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1312:1317
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal139:1016
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1315:1816
12DiyalaDiyala1315:1814
13GharrafGharraf139:1514
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1314:1413
15ZakhoZakho1310:1713
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1316:2112
17MosulMosul1313:2112
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa139:1511
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan138:199
20KarbalaKarbala1311:257
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al Minaa Basra and Gharraf in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th and Gharraf 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Al Minaa Basra 12-13, Gharraf 9-15. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Minaa Basra and Gharraf have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.