Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town Prediction

17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-5.5%
Alfreton Town Rest
3 days
Warrington Town Rest
3 days

Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town: the result in context

Alfreton Town and Warrington Town drew 1-1 in the Non League Premier - Northern on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.08
X
27%3.55
2
30%2.88
Double Chance
1X
69%1.33
X2
57%1.59
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'D. Youmbi
81'R. Hawkins

Team Comparison

Alfreton TownAlfreton Town
Warrington TownWarrington Town
1522Elo Rating 1487
1.24Attack 1.31
2.00Defense 1.62
41%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Alfreton TownAlfreton Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Warrington TownWarrington Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
Warrington TownWarrington Town0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

National League - North01/03/2025
Alfreton TownWarrington Town
22
National League - North09/11/2024
Warrington TownAlfreton Town
01
National League - North13/01/2024
Warrington TownAlfreton Town
22
National League - North07/10/2023
Alfreton TownWarrington Town
11

Recent Form

Alfreton TownAlfreton Town
4W1D5L
13/10/2026
Ashton UnitedAlfreton Town
00
D
10/10/2026
Alfreton TownBury
23
L
06/10/2026
Alfreton TownUnited of Manchester
10
W
03/10/2026
Redcar AthleticAlfreton Town
31
L
29/09/2026
Alfreton TownGuiseley AFC
10
W
26/09/2026
Alfreton TownShifnal Town FC
21
W
12/09/2026
Bamber BridgeAlfreton Town
10
L
05/09/2026
Alfreton TownStratford Town
02
L
31/08/2026
Whitby TownAlfreton Town
14
W
29/08/2026
Alfreton TownRylands
12
L
Warrington TownWarrington Town
4W3D3L
13/10/2026
Bamber BridgeWarrington Town
01
W
10/10/2026
Warrington TownLancaster City
22
D
06/10/2026
Warrington TownWorkington
22
D
03/10/2026
MarineWarrington Town
20
L
26/09/2026
Warrington TownAshton United
2233
L
19/09/2026
Warrington TownSouth Liverpool
30
W
12/09/2026
United of ManchesterWarrington Town
41
L
08/09/2026
Warrington TownShildon AFC
40
W
05/09/2026
Shildon AFCWarrington Town
22
D
01/09/2026
Leek TownWarrington Town
12
W

League Table

Non League Premier - Northern 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic15104133:13+2034WWWLW
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1493231:9+2230LWWDD
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1391327:12+1528WWWLW
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1491431:17+1428WWWWW
5AvroAvro1491437:27+1028WLLLW
6WorkingtonWorkington1573526:25+124WLLDD
7RylandsRylands1472525:21+423WLDWW
8Warrington TownWarrington Town1465325:21+423LDWDD
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1371524:17+722LLWWW
10Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1562721:17+420DDLWL
11Lancaster CityLancaster City1662820:29-920LLWDL
12BuryBury1161422:11+1119WLWLW
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1561822:37-1519LWWDL
14AFC EmleyAFC Emley1545616:26-1017WDLDL
15Hyde UnitedHyde United1543815:29-1415LDLLW
16Leek TownLeek Town1335526:26014WDDWL
17Ashton UnitedAshton United1435617:18-114LLDDD
18QuornQuorn1335523:29-614DWDWL
19Stockton TownStockton Town1533918:28-1012LLDWL
20United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1324719:25-610WDDLW
21Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1424817:34-1710LDDLL
22Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town15311110:34-2410WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic1533:1334
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1431:930
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1327:1228
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1431:1728
5AvroAvro1437:2728
6WorkingtonWorkington1526:2524
7RylandsRylands1425:2123
8Warrington TownWarrington Town1425:2123
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1324:1722
10Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1521:1720
11Lancaster CityLancaster City1620:2920
12BuryBury1122:1119
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1522:3719
14AFC EmleyAFC Emley1516:2617
15Hyde UnitedHyde United1515:2915
16Leek TownLeek Town1326:2614
17Ashton UnitedAshton United1417:1814
18QuornQuorn1323:2914
19Stockton TownStockton Town1518:2812
20United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1319:2510
21Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1417:3410
22Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town1510:3410

About the Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town forecast

The forecasts for this Non League Premier - Northern match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alfreton Town and Warrington Town in the Non League Premier - Northern table

Warrington Town and Alfreton Town are close in the Non League Premier - Northern table, 8th and 10th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Alfreton Town 21-17, Warrington Town 25-21. The full standings are on the Non League Premier - Northern Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.