Alianza vs Inca Aruba Prediction
El Salvador · Apertura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Alianza vs Inca Aruba: the result in context
Alianza and Inca Aruba drew 1-1 in the Primera Division on 27 Sep 2026. Inca Aruba had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Alianza.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Alianza
Inca ArubaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Alianza- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Inca Aruba- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Alianza1Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
26/07/2026Inca ArubaAlianzaRecent Form
AlianzaAlianza
Fuerte San FranciscoAlianza
Municipal LimeñoAlianza
CD MotaguaCD MotaguaAlianza
ÁguilaAlianzaAlianza
Atletico Balboa
PlatenseAlianza
Isidro MetapánAlianza
CD MarathonAlianzaAlianza
CacahuatiqueInca ArubaInca ArubaFuerte San FranciscoÁguilaInca ArubaInca ArubaAtletico BalboaIsidro MetapánInca ArubaInca ArubaCacahuatique
InterInca ArubaInca Aruba
FirpoPlatenseInca ArubaInca Aruba
FASMunicipal LimeñoInca ArubaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 29:12 | +17 | 32 | DWWDW |
| 2 | FAS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | LDLWW |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 30 | LDWLW |
| 4 | Águila | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 30:21 | +9 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 5 | Inter | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 26 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Platense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | +5 | 26 | DWWWL |
| 7 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | WDDLD |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 21 | DWLLL |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:31 | -18 | 16 | LLLDW |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 13 | DDLLW |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 12 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 16 | 29:12 | 32 |
| 2 | FAS | 17 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 17 | 23:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Águila | 17 | 30:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Inter | 17 | 24:16 | 26 |
| 6 | Platense | 17 | 25:20 | 26 |
| 7 | Alianza | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 17 | 26:26 | 21 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 17 | 13:31 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 17 | 16:28 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 17 | 18:29 | 13 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 17 | 14:29 | 12 |
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About the Alianza vs Inca Aruba forecast
The forecasts for this Primera Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza and Inca Aruba in the Primera Division table
Alianza and Inca Aruba are close in the Primera Division table, 7th and 9th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Alianza 23-21, Inca Aruba 13-31. The full standings are on the Primera Division Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Alianza and Inca Aruba have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.