Almansa vs Marchamalo Prediction

Almansa
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Marchamalo
10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Almansa Rest
6 days
Marchamalo Rest
6 days

Almansa vs Marchamalo: the result in context

Almansa beat Marchamalo 3-1 in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.19
X
28%3.18
2
30%2.99
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
59%1.54
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

42'
62'
69'
90'
90+2'
90+3'

Team Comparison

AlmansaAlmansa
MarchamaloMarchamalo
1577Elo Rating 1499
1.45Attack 1.50
2.14Defense 1.14
39%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

AlmansaAlmansa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MarchamaloMarchamalo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AlmansaAlmansa
2W1D2L
04/10/2026
ManchegoAlmansa
10
L
27/09/2026
AlmansaHuracán Balazote
31
W
19/09/2026
VillacañasAlmansa
00
D
13/09/2026
AlmansaLa Solana
30
W
05/09/2026
NoblejasAlmansa
32
L
MarchamaloMarchamalo
5W3D2L
03/10/2026
MarchamaloTarancón
22
D
27/09/2026
ManchegoMarchamalo
32
L
20/09/2026
MarchamaloGuadalajara II
22
D
13/09/2026
Huracán BalazoteMarchamalo
02
W
05/09/2026
MarchamaloCD Villa
20
W
30/08/2026
MarchamaloUnión Adarve
20
W
18/08/2026
MarchamaloGuadalajara
10
W
15/08/2026
Pozuelo AlarcónMarchamalo
01
W
15/05/2022
HérculesMarchamalo
11
D
08/05/2022
MarchamaloEldense
12
L

League Table

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ManchegoManchego860210:6+418LWLWW
2ToledoToledo851217:8+916WLWWW
3VillarrobledoVillarrobledo844010:2+816WDDWW
4CD VillaCD Villa85039:8+115WLWWW
5VillacañasVillacañas842213:7+614WWDLW
6TarancónTarancón842214:9+514DWWDW
7IllescasIllescas842211:8+314LLWWW
8TorrijosTorrijos842210:7+314LLWDW
9NoblejasNoblejas841314:13+113WWLLL
10San ClementeSan Clemente833214:14012WDWWL
11AlmansaAlmansa832312:9+311LDWLW
12MarchamaloMarchamalo832313:13011LWLDL
13VillarrubiaVillarrubia81439:12-37DWLDL
14SocuéllamosSocuéllamos81435:8-37WLLDL
15La SolanaLa Solana82066:11-56LWLLL
16Quintanar del ReyQuintanar del Rey81258:15-75LLWLL
17Huracán BalazoteHuracán Balazote81167:18-114WDLLL
18Guadalajara IIGuadalajara II80267:21-142LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ManchegoManchego810:618
2ToledoToledo817:816
3VillarrobledoVillarrobledo810:216
4CD VillaCD Villa89:815
5VillacañasVillacañas813:714
6TarancónTarancón814:914
7IllescasIllescas811:814
8TorrijosTorrijos810:714
9NoblejasNoblejas814:1313
10San ClementeSan Clemente814:1412
11AlmansaAlmansa812:911
12MarchamaloMarchamalo813:1311
13VillarrubiaVillarrubia89:127
14SocuéllamosSocuéllamos85:87
15La SolanaLa Solana86:116
16Quintanar del ReyQuintanar del Rey88:155
17Huracán BalazoteHuracán Balazote87:184
18Guadalajara IIGuadalajara II87:212
PromotionRelegation

About the Almansa vs Marchamalo forecast

The forecasts for this Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Almansa and Marchamalo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Almansa (11th) and Marchamalo (12th) are level on 11 points. League goal record so far: Almansa 12-9, Marchamalo 13-13. The full standings are on the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Almansa and Marchamalo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.