Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson Prediction

05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.59
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Alvarado Rest
6 days
Germinal de Rawson Rest
6 days

Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson: result, form and history

Alvarado beat Germinal de Rawson 5-0 in the Torneo Federal A on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.32
X
26%3.92
2
13%10.88
Double Chance
1X
87%1.03
X2
39%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.75
No
62%1.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 0.71 = 2.00
Over 1.5
55%1.40
Over 2.5
30%2.16
Over 3.5
14%4.03
Under 1.5
45%2.70
Under 2.5
70%1.59
Under 3.5
86%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'G. Cervera
8'S. Gutierrez
11'F. Centurion
34'R. Makarte
56'
64'
77'(Penalty missed)
84'
84'

Team Comparison

AlvaradoAlvarado
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
1597Elo Rating 1449
0.88Attack 0.42
2.52Defense 2.27
44%Hit Rate 23%
9.6Shots per Game 8.4
2.6Shots on Target 2.8
2.8Corners per Game 3.8
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo

Game State Tendencies

AlvaradoAlvarado
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

AlvaradoAlvarado0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A03/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonAlvarado
10

Recent Form

AlvaradoAlvarado
5W3D2L
28/06/2026
Villa MitreAlvarado
10
L
20/06/2026
AlvaradoCirculo Deportivo
10
W
14/06/2026
Kimberley Mar del PlataAlvarado
22
D
07/06/2026
AlvaradoSol de Mayo
20
W
31/05/2026
Guillermo BrownAlvarado
00
D
24/05/2026
AlvaradoOlimpo Bahia Blanca
20
W
10/05/2026
AlvaradoSantamarina
30
W
03/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonAlvarado
10
L
26/04/2026
AlvaradoVilla Mitre
11
D
18/04/2026
Circulo DeportivoAlvarado
01
W
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
4W4D2L
28/06/2026
Germinal de RawsonSantamarina
10
W
14/06/2026
Villa MitreGerminal de Rawson
00
D
07/06/2026
Germinal de RawsonCirculo Deportivo
00
D
30/05/2026
Kimberley Mar del PlataGerminal de Rawson
10
L
24/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonSol de Mayo
10
W
17/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonGuillermo Brown
11
D
10/05/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
10
L
03/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonAlvarado
10
W
25/04/2026
SantamarinaGerminal de Rawson
00
D
12/04/2026
Germinal de RawsonVilla Mitre
10
W

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alvarado and Germinal de Rawson in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, Alvarado are 5th and Germinal de Rawson 30th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Alvarado 19-7, Germinal de Rawson 7-14. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Alvarado and Germinal de Rawson have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.