Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson Prediction

05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.59
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
Alvarado Rest
6 days
Germinal de Rawson Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.32
X
26%3.92
2
13%10.88
Double Chance
1X
87%1.03
X2
39%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.75
No
62%1.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 0.71 = 2.00
Over 1.5
55%1.40
Over 2.5
30%2.16
Over 3.5
14%4.03
Under 1.5
45%2.70
Under 2.5
70%1.59
Under 3.5
86%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'G. Cervera
8'S. Gutierrez
11'F. Centurion
34'R. Makarte
56'
64'
77'(Penalty missed)
84'
84'

Team Comparison

AlvaradoAlvarado
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
1585Elo Rating 1467
1.24Attack 0.50
2.11Defense 2.63
42%Hit Rate 27%
14.5Shots per Game 8.4
7.1Shots on Target 2.8
5.8Corners per Game 3.8
2.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+118 Elo

Game State Tendencies

AlvaradoAlvarado
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Alvarado 0%Draw 0%100% Germinal de Rawson
1Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AlvaradoAlvarado
2W2D1L
28/06/2026
Villa MitreAlvarado
10
L
20/06/2026
AlvaradoCirculo Deportivo
10
W
14/06/2026
Kimberley Mar del PlataAlvarado
22
D
07/06/2026
AlvaradoSol de Mayo
20
W
31/05/2026
Guillermo BrownAlvarado
00
D
Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
2W2D1L
28/06/2026
Germinal de RawsonSantamarina
10
W
14/06/2026
Villa MitreGerminal de Rawson
00
D
07/06/2026
Germinal de RawsonCirculo Deportivo
00
D
30/05/2026
Kimberley Mar del PlataGerminal de Rawson
10
L
24/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonSol de Mayo
10
W

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Torneo Federal A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Torneo Federal A

ScorePredicts covers Argentina football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Alvarado and Germinal de Rawson have met 1 times recently, averaging 1 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.