Alvechurch vs Worcester City Prediction

Alvechurch
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Worcester City
11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+8.5%
Alvechurch Rest
3 days
Worcester City Rest
3 days

Alvechurch vs Worcester City: result, form and history

Alvechurch beat Worcester City 3-1 in the Non League Premier - Southern Central on 11 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.25
X
26%3.23
2
27%2.85
Double Chance
1X
73%1.34
X2
53%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.71
No
56%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.26
Over 2.5
38%1.92
Over 3.5
18%3.17
Under 1.5
37%3.13
Under 2.5
62%1.77
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'M. Okafor
22'F. Salmon
34'L. Lockett
90'M. Okafor(Penalty)
90+4'E. Ilesanmi

Team Comparison

AlvechurchAlvechurch
Worcester CityWorcester City
1634Elo Rating 1503
1.10Attack 1.28
1.87Defense 1.40
17%Hit Rate 17%
-Shots per Game 19.0
-Shots on Target 9.0
-Corners per Game 6.0
-Cards per Game 0.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+131 Elo

Game State Tendencies

AlvechurchAlvechurch
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Worcester CityWorcester City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

AlvechurchAlvechurch
4W2D4L
08/08/2026
Kettering TownAlvechurch
10
L
28/07/2026
Kidderminster HarriersAlvechurch
00
D
25/07/2026
Cliftonville FCAlvechurch
12
W
11/07/2026
AlvechurchSolihull Moors
11
D
27/09/2025
AlvechurchChelmsford City
12
L
13/09/2025
AlvechurchLeamington
30
W
30/08/2025
AlvechurchBarwell
42
W
31/08/2024
Anstey NomadsAlvechurch
31
L
16/09/2023
Halesowen TownAlvechurch
52
L
02/09/2023
AlvechurchBasford United
10
W
Worcester CityWorcester City
2W4D4L
08/08/2026
Stratford TownWorcester City
11
D
01/08/2026
Worcester CityMerthyr Town
10
W
14/07/2026
Evesham UnitedWorcester City
10
L
10/07/2026
Worcester CityMalvern Town
00
D
02/09/2025
ChasetownWorcester City
3121
L
30/08/2025
Worcester CityChasetown
11
D
17/08/2024
Worcester CityDudley Town
12
L
13/08/2024
Worcester CityWalsall Wood
10
W
03/08/2024
Worcester CityWalsall Wood
00
D
16/09/2023
Worcester CityLeek Town
02
L

League Table

Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Real BedfordReal Bedford12102036:13+2332DWDWW
2Bury TownBury Town13101223:15+831DWLWW
3Bromsgrove SportingBromsgrove Sporting1283121:11+1027DWDDW
4Rushall OlympicRushall Olympic1490530:21+927WWLWW
5Needham MarketNeedham Market1372428:19+923WWWDL
6Peterborough SportsPeterborough Sports1365225:18+723DWWWD
7Kettering TownKettering Town1264222:9+1322WLDWL
8AlvechurchAlvechurch1163218:6+1221DLDDW
9Anstey NomadsAnstey Nomads1154220:16+419WDLDW
10Racing Club WarwickRacing Club Warwick1345420:17+317WWDWD
11Halesowen TownHalesowen Town1152413:16-317LWDDW
12StourbridgeStourbridge1244414:16-216LWWLD
13Redditch UnitedRedditch United1135317:16+114DWDWL
14Banbury UnitedBanbury United1334616:23-713WDLWL
15LeistonLeiston1133517:21-412LDLLW
16Stratford TownStratford Town1225512:20-811DDWWL
17LeamingtonLeamington1324717:23-610LLDLW
18Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford1231814:22-810LLLLW
19Hitchin TownHitchin Town1324711:19-810WLLLW
20Worcester CityWorcester City111468:16-87LLDDL
21Leighton TownLeighton Town1212913:26-135LLLLL
22StamfordStamford1301123:35-321LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Real BedfordReal Bedford1236:1332
2Bury TownBury Town1323:1531
3Bromsgrove SportingBromsgrove Sporting1221:1127
4Rushall OlympicRushall Olympic1430:2127
5Needham MarketNeedham Market1328:1923
6Peterborough SportsPeterborough Sports1325:1823
7Kettering TownKettering Town1222:922
8AlvechurchAlvechurch1118:621
9Anstey NomadsAnstey Nomads1120:1619
10Racing Club WarwickRacing Club Warwick1320:1717
11Halesowen TownHalesowen Town1113:1617
12StourbridgeStourbridge1214:1616
13Redditch UnitedRedditch United1117:1614
14Banbury UnitedBanbury United1316:2313
15LeistonLeiston1117:2112
16Stratford TownStratford Town1212:2011
17LeamingtonLeamington1317:2310
18Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford1214:2210
19Hitchin TownHitchin Town1311:1910
20Worcester CityWorcester City118:167
21Leighton TownLeighton Town1213:265
22StamfordStamford133:351

About the Alvechurch vs Worcester City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alvechurch and Worcester City in the Non League Premier - Southern Central table

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Alvechurch are 8th and Worcester City 20th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Alvechurch 18-6, Worcester City 8-16. The full standings are on the Non League Premier - Southern Central Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Alvechurch and Worcester City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.