Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE Prediction

Aretxabaleta
4-2
Finished
HT 2-2
Pasaia KE
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Aretxabaleta Rest
7 days
Pasaia KE Rest
8 days

Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE: the result in context

Aretxabaleta beat Pasaia KE 4-2 in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.01
X
28%3.22
2
28%3.30
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
56%1.67
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'
19'
28'
45+1'
67'
74'

Team Comparison

AretxabaletaAretxabaleta
Pasaia KEPasaia KE
1575Elo Rating 1510
1.71Attack 1.07
1.62Defense 0.62
59%Hit Rate 31%

Game State Tendencies

AretxabaletaAretxabaleta
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Pasaia KEPasaia KE
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

AretxabaletaAretxabaleta
2W2D1L
03/10/2026
Lagun OnakAretxabaleta
12
W
26/09/2026
AretxabaletaDerio
12
L
19/09/2026
DurangoAretxabaleta
00
D
13/09/2026
AretxabaletaBeasain
00
D
05/09/2026
TouringAretxabaleta
01
W
Pasaia KEPasaia KE
3W1D1L
03/10/2026
Pasaia KESanturtzi
10
W
27/09/2026
San IgnacioPasaia KE
12
W
19/09/2026
Pasaia KEReal Sociedad III
32
W
13/09/2026
LeioaPasaia KE
11
D
05/09/2026
Pasaia KEErandio
02
L

League Table

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LeioaLeioa954024:10+1419WWDWW
2Aurrerá VitoriaAurrerá Vitoria961214:14019WLWLW
3DerioDerio953113:8+518WWLDW
4AretxabaletaAretxabaleta952212:8+417WLWWW
5Deportivo Alavés IIIDeportivo Alavés III943220:10+1015WDDWW
6Real Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad III943216:12+415WDLWW
7TouringTouring943210:6+415DWWLD
8San IgnacioSan Ignacio942316:11+514LWWWW
9Eibar IIIEibar III942316:12+414DWWLL
10DurangoDurango834113:10+313WWDDW
11BeasainBeasain932413:13011DDWWL
12SodupeSodupe93246:15-911LLWWL
13Pasaia KEPasaia KE931512:19-710LLLLW
14SanturtziSanturtzi93067:12-59LWLWL
15Lagun OnakLagun Onak92258:13-58DLLLL
16ErandioErandio92078:13-56LLLLL
17R. Union BR. Union B81348:15-76DLLLD
18Amurrio ClubAmurrio Club90183:18-151LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LeioaLeioa924:1019
2Aurrerá VitoriaAurrerá Vitoria914:1419
3DerioDerio913:818
4AretxabaletaAretxabaleta912:817
5Deportivo Alavés IIIDeportivo Alavés III920:1015
6Real Sociedad IIIReal Sociedad III916:1215
7TouringTouring910:615
8San IgnacioSan Ignacio916:1114
9Eibar IIIEibar III916:1214
10DurangoDurango813:1013
11BeasainBeasain913:1311
12SodupeSodupe96:1511
13Pasaia KEPasaia KE912:1910
14SanturtziSanturtzi97:129
15Lagun OnakLagun Onak98:138
16ErandioErandio98:136
17R. Union BR. Union B88:156
18Amurrio ClubAmurrio Club93:181
PromotionRelegation

About the Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE forecast

The forecasts for this Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aretxabaleta and Pasaia KE in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table, Aretxabaleta are 4th and Pasaia KE 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Aretxabaleta 12-8, Pasaia KE 12-19. The full standings are on the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aretxabaleta have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Aretxabaleta and Pasaia KE have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.