Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction

Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Argentino de Merlo Rest
8 days
Sportivo Italiano Rest
7 days

Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano: the result in context

Sportivo Italiano beat Argentino de Merlo 2-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sportivo Italiano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Argentino de Merlo.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.30
X
30%2.98
2
42%2.13
Double Chance
1X
58%1.58
X2
72%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.97
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.88 + 1.14 = 2.02
Over 1.5
63%1.39
Over 2.5
37%2.31
Over 3.5
19%4.33
Under 1.5
37%2.59
Under 2.5
63%1.52
Under 3.5
81%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'F. Centurion INA. Guerra out
57'L. Fantino INA. Daivez out
59'K. Gimenez INJ. De Cuadro out
61'F. Sellecchia INA. Salvador out
64'F. Gomez
74'M. Gomez INJ. Ortiz out
74'J. Rodriguez INC. Medina out
78'F. Gomez INT. Hirigoyen out
78'L. Laborda INR. Fortino out
80'P. Caceres
89'D. Ursino INF. Lopez out
89'L. Romero INT. Jerez out
90'
90+5'

Team Comparison

Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
1427Elo Rating 1560
1.09Attack 1.00
1.45Defense 1.59
27%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo2Wins · 22%
Draws445%
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano3Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana31/05/2026
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
02
Primera B Metropolitana13/07/2025
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
11
Primera B Metropolitana23/02/2025
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
00
Primera B Metropolitana29/09/2024
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
51
Primera B Metropolitana11/05/2024
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
11
Primera C07/08/2022
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
12
Primera C04/04/2022
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
00
Primera C20/09/2021
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
13
Primera C30/04/2021
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
32

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas41249868:31+3781WDWLW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi412113755:27+2876WDWLW
3Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4120111046:26+2071WLDLW
4Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4119121047:33+1469LDWWW
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine411814940:27+1368WLDLD
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4118131048:34+1467LWDLL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4118111244:40+465WDLWL
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4117111342:39+362LDDWW
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4115131350:52-258WWDWL
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4114151239:35+457LDDDD
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4112151441:46-551LDLWL
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4112141540:45-550LWLWW
13FlandriaFlandria411391939:49-1048WWWDL
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4111151539:54-1548LWDDL
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4112111837:44-747WLLLL
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4110171433:40-747WLDDD
17Dock SudDock Sud4111141641:49-847LLLLW
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4110151634:40-645WDLDW
19LiniersLiniers4110151634:43-945LDDWL
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue419161625:38-1343LDWDW
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza417211325:36-1142WDWWD
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó411142628:67-3917LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4168:3181
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4155:2776
3Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4146:2671
4Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4147:3369
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4140:2768
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4148:3467
7Real PilarReal Pilar4144:4065
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4142:3962
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4150:5258
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4139:3557
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4141:4651
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4140:4550
13FlandriaFlandria4139:4948
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4139:5448
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4137:4447
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4133:4047
17Dock SudDock Sud4141:4947
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4134:4045
19LiniersLiniers4134:4345
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4125:3843
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4125:3642
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4128:6717
PromotionRelegation

About the Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Argentino de Merlo and Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Sportivo Italiano are 4th and Argentino de Merlo 15th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Argentino de Merlo 37-44, Sportivo Italiano 47-33. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.