Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction
Poland · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa: the result in context
Polonia Warszawa beat Arka Gdynia 2-1 in the I Liga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Arka Gdynia
Polonia WarszawaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Arka Gdynia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Polonia Warszawa- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Arka Gdynia2Wins · 50%1Wins · 25%Previous meetings
14/02/2025Arka GdyniaPolonia Warszawa03/08/2024Polonia WarszawaArka Gdynia17/02/2024Polonia WarszawaArka Gdynia07/08/2023Arka GdyniaPolonia WarszawaRecent Form
Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
IFK Goteborg
Pogoń SiedlceArka Gdynia
Warta PoznańArka GdyniaArka Gdynia
ŁKS Łódź
Resovia RzeszówArka GdyniaArka Gdynia
Polonia Bytom
Miedz LegnicaArka GdyniaArka Gdynia
Puszcza Niepołomice
Unia SkierniewiceArka GdyniaArka Gdynia
Stal RzeszówPolonia Warszawa
JagielloniaPolonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa
Chrobry GłogówPolonia WarszawaPolonia BytomStal RzeszówPolonia Warszawa
Górnik PolkowicePolonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
NiecieczaPolonia WarszawaPogoń SiedlcePolonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa
Ruch ChorzówPolonia WarszawaUnia SkierniewiceReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.33 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.09).
Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | +8 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 2 | Ruch Chorzów | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | DWWWD |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 | WWLLW |
| 5 | Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 6 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:19 | +3 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Warta Poznań | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszów | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 11 | Pogoń Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  Podbeskidzie | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | WLWDD |
| 14 | Chrobry Głogów | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 15 |  Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 13 | DLWLL |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 17 |  Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 | LLDDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 12 | 19:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Ruch Chorzów | 12 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 12 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Nieciecza | 12 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 12 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Warta Poznań | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 12 | 20:20 | 18 |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszów | 12 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Pogoń Siedlce | 12 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 12 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 14 | Chrobry Głogów | 12 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 16:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 12 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 17 | Odra Opole | 12 | 8:13 | 12 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 13:20 | 11 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More I Liga matches
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Odra Opole 08/08/26
- Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa 22/08/26
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce 12/09/26
- Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce 09/10/26
- Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 10/10/26
- Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań 11/10/26
- ŁKS Łódź vs Ruch Chorzów 11/10/26
- Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk 12/10/26
About the Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa forecast
The forecasts for this I Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa in the I Liga table
In the I Liga table, Polonia Warszawa are 3rd and Arka Gdynia 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Arka Gdynia 16-16, Polonia Warszawa 19-14. The full standings are on the I Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.