ASA vs Sergipe Prediction

ASA
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sergipe
21/06/2026
ASAASA
1-1
Finished
SergipeSergipe

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.48
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
ASA Rest
7 days
Sergipe Rest
7 days

ASA vs Sergipe: the result in context

ASA and Sergipe drew 1-1 in the Serie D on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.95
X
27%2.92
2
17%4.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.20
X2
44%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.10
No
49%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.76 = 2.36
Over 1.5
66%1.48
Over 2.5
40%2.45
Over 3.5
21%4.70
Under 1.5
34%2.30
Under 2.5
60%1.45
Under 3.5
79%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'Thiago Santos
90'Michel Douglas

Team Comparison

ASAASA
SergipeSergipe
1642Elo Rating 1510
0.74Attack 0.76
2.13Defense 1.67
17%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ASAASA
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
SergipeSergipe
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ASAASA4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
SergipeSergipe4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie D05/07/2025
ASASergipe
22
Serie D10/05/2025
SergipeASA
12
Serie D21/07/2024
ASASergipe
20
Serie D27/04/2024
SergipeASA
23
Serie D01/07/2023
ASASergipe
11
Serie D27/05/2023
SergipeASA
21
Serie D03/07/2022
SergipeASA
20
Serie D01/05/2022
ASASergipe
10
Serie D08/08/2021
SergipeASA
20
Serie D03/07/2021
ASASergipe
13

Recent Form

ASAASA
4W4D2L
14/06/2026
JacuipenseASA
11
D
30/05/2026
ASACSE
00
D
23/05/2026
CSAASA
11
D
16/05/2026
ASAJuazeirense
10
W
10/05/2026
ASAAtlético Alagoinhas
30
W
03/05/2026
Atlético AlagoinhasASA
21
L
26/04/2026
JuazeirenseASA
10
L
19/04/2026
ASACSA
21
W
12/04/2026
CSEASA
12
W
04/04/2026
ASAJacuipense
00
D
SergipeSergipe
4W3D3L
14/06/2026
SergipeSerra Branca
11
D
31/05/2026
DecisãoSergipe
32
L
23/05/2026
SergipeTreze
01
L
17/05/2026
LagartoSergipe
11
D
09/05/2026
SergipeRetrô
10
W
05/05/2026
RetrôSergipe
13
W
25/04/2026
SergipeLagarto
31
W
19/04/2026
TrezeSergipe
31
L
11/04/2026
SergipeDecisão
21
W
05/04/2026
Serra BrancaSergipe
11
D

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TrezeTreze1052318:14+417LDLWW
2SergipeSergipe1043315:13+215DLLDW
3Serra BrancaSerra Branca1036112:8+415DDWLD
4LagartoLagarto1034314:15-113WWDDD
5RetrôRetrô1033413:15-212WDDWL
6DecisãoDecisão1022610:17-78LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TrezeTreze1018:1417
2SergipeSergipe1015:1315
3Serra BrancaSerra Branca1012:815
4LagartoLagarto1014:1513
5RetrôRetrô1013:1512
6DecisãoDecisão1010:178

Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSACSA1063125:8+1721WDDWW
2JuazeirenseJuazeirense1052312:9+317WDDLL
3ASAASA1044211:7+416DDDWW
4JacuipenseJacuipense1034312:14-213DDDWW
5CSECSE1023510:17-79LDDLL
6Atlético AlagoinhasAtlético Alagoinhas101275:20-155LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSACSA1025:821
2JuazeirenseJuazeirense1012:917
3ASAASA1011:716
4JacuipenseJacuipense1012:1413
5CSECSE1010:179
6Atlético AlagoinhasAtlético Alagoinhas105:205
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About the ASA vs Sergipe forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.