ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin Prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Chennaiyin
Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata·Shantan Agrawal, India 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.29
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.29
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
ATK Mohun Bagan Rest
10 days
Chennaiyin Rest
9 days

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin: result, form and history

ATK Mohun Bagan beat Chennaiyin 1-0 in the Indian Super League on 26 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: ATK Mohun Bagan had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Chennaiyin.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches. ATK Mohun Bagan tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 4.1 for Chennaiyin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.29
X
19%4.55
2
9%8.75
Double Chance
1X
91%1.05
X2
28%3.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.05
No
54%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.34 + 0.69 = 3.03
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.68
Over 3.5
37%2.70
Under 1.5
21%3.95
Under 2.5
42%2.08
Under 3.5
63%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'L. Chhangte INS. Samad out
54'S. Zeljkovic INA. Thapa out
62'E. Imanishimwe INB. Miranda out
64'R. Bheke INS. Bose out
73'I. Yadwad INP. S out
73'A. Chhetri INL. Chawngthu out
81'D. Drazic INA. Suryavanshi out
82'D. Tangri INL. Colaco out
85'M. SinghAssist: L. Colaco
86'
90'N. Bhutia IND. Biswas out
90'N. Stojanovic INJ. Singh out

Lineups

ATK Mohun Bagan
4-1-3-2
Chennaiyin
4-4-2
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.87
Vishal KaithC8.21V. Kaith
Mehtab Singh6.95M. Singh
Rahul Bheke6.92R. Bheke
Alberto Rodríguez7.221A. Rodríguez
Tekcham Abhishek Singh7.227T. Abhishek Singh
Deepak Tangri6.622D. Tangri
Manvir Singh6.511M. Singh
Samir Zeljković6.98S. Zeljković
Lallianzuala Chhangte6.69L. Chhangte
Dejan Dražić6.671D. Dražić
Lee Erwin6.319L. Erwin
Mohammad NawazC6.613M. Nawaz
Namgyal Bhutia6.327N. Bhutia
Laldinpuia PC6.93L. PC
Emmanuel Imanishimwe7.52E. Imanishimwe
Muhammed Saheef7.25M. Saheef
Irfan Yadwad6.624I. Yadwad
Nikola Stojanović7.08N. Stojanović
Ayush Dev Chhetri6.914A. Dev Chhetri
Brison Fernandes6.642B. Fernandes
Madih Talal8.010M. Talal
Ramon Tanque6.97R. Tanque

ATK Mohun Bagan Substitutes

18Sahal Abdul Samad46'for L. Chhangte6.3
6Anirudh Thapa54'replaced by S. Zeljkovic7.0
15Subhasish Bose64'for R. Bheke6.9
24Syed Zahid
40Alex Saji
7Liston Colaco82'for D. Tangri
16Abhishek Suryavanshi81'for D. Drazic
17Kiyan Nassiri
72Suhail Ahmed Bhatt

Chennaiyin Substitutes

11Bryce Miranda62'for E. Imanishimwe6.5
1Samik Mitra
4Nuno Reis
47Klusner John Manuel Pereira
32Dippendu Biswas90'for N. Bhutia
37Yumkhaibam Jiteshwor Singh
17Lalhriatpuia Chawngthu73'for A. Chhetri6.7
16Shubham Rawat
52Prakadeswaran S73'replaced by I. Yadwad6.5

Match Stats

ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks7
17Total Shots24
7Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal16
8Shots Inside Box12
9Shots Outside Box12
3Blocked Shots2
17Fouls7
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves6
390Total Passes409
323Passes Accurate347
83%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan
ChennaiyinChennaiyin
1695Elo Rating 1401
0.87Attack 0.59
2.36Defense 1.04
46%Hit Rate 0%
25.0Shots per Game 11.7
6.0Shots on Target 3.4
8.0Corners per Game 4.1
0.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+294 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
ChennaiyinChennaiyin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
ChennaiyinChennaiyin2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Indian Super League23/02/2026
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
20
AIFF Super Cup25/10/2025
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
20
Indian Super League21/01/2025
ChennaiyinATK Mohun Bagan
00
Indian Super League30/11/2024
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
10
Indian Super League31/03/2024
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
23
Indian Super League07/10/2023
ChennaiyinATK Mohun Bagan
13
Indian Super League21/01/2023
ChennaiyinATK Mohun Bagan
00
Indian Super League10/10/2022
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
12
Indian Super League03/03/2022
ChennaiyinATK Mohun Bagan
01
Indian Super League11/12/2021
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
11

Recent Form

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan
5W4D1L
16/10/2026
SC DelhiATK Mohun Bagan
12
W
12/10/2026
NorthEast UnitedATK Mohun Bagan
10
L
08/10/2026
ATK Mohun BaganEast Bengal II
10
W
04/10/2026
ATK Mohun BaganMinerva Punjab
4030
W
29/09/2026
ATK Mohun BaganNorthEast United
11
D
23/09/2026
ATK Mohun BaganSreenidi Deccan
60
W
21/05/2026
ATK Mohun BaganSC Delhi
21
W
17/05/2026
ATK Mohun BaganEast Bengal II
11
D
12/05/2026
ATK Mohun BaganInter Kashi
00
D
09/05/2026
GoaATK Mohun Bagan
11
D
ChennaiyinChennaiyin
1W2D7L
17/10/2026
BengaluruChennaiyin
20
L
10/10/2026
GoaChennaiyin
11
D
16/05/2026
ChennaiyinBengaluru
12
L
10/05/2026
NorthEast UnitedChennaiyin
41
L
06/05/2026
Minerva PunjabChennaiyin
10
L
25/04/2026
JamshedpurChennaiyin
41
L
21/04/2026
ChennaiyinMohammedan
00
D
17/04/2026
ChennaiyinSC Delhi
10
W
11/04/2026
ChennaiyinEast Bengal II
13
L
07/04/2026
ChennaiyinInter Kashi
12
L

League Table

Indian Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NorthEast UnitedNorthEast United32105:1+47DWW
2Minerva PunjabMinerva Punjab32106:4+27WDW
3East Bengal IIEast Bengal II22009:1+86WW
4BengaluruBengaluru22005:2+36WW
5ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan32013:2+16WWL
6Kerala BlastersKerala Blasters31113:4-14DLW
7Churchill BrothersChurchill Brothers31024:8-43LLW
8OdishaOdisha30212:3-12DDL
9Mumbai CityMumbai City30212:3-12DDL
10GoaGoa10101:101D
11ChennaiyinChennaiyin30121:4-31LLD
12Inter KashiInter Kashi30122:8-61LDL
13SC DelhiSC Delhi20023:5-20LL
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About the ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ATK Mohun Bagan and Chennaiyin in the Indian Super League table

In the Indian Super League table, ATK Mohun Bagan are 5th and Chennaiyin 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2, Chennaiyin 1-4. The full standings are on the Indian Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.