Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone Prediction

04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Atletico Ascoli Rest
7 days
Fossombrone Rest
7 days

Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone: the result in context

Fossombrone beat Atletico Ascoli 1-0 in the Serie D - Girone F on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.71
X
26%3.40
2
23%4.08
Double Chance
1X
77%1.18
X2
49%1.93
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

85'

Team Comparison

Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli
FossombroneFossombrone
1526Elo Rating 1469
2.28Attack 1.40
1.64Defense 1.81
64%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend43% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FossombroneFossombrone
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli1Wins · 14%
Draws572%
FossombroneFossombrone1Wins · 14%
1.1Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
0%3+ goals0 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie D - Girone F19/04/2026
Atletico AscoliFossombrone
11
Serie D - Girone F07/12/2025
FossombroneAtletico Ascoli
00
Serie D - Girone F16/02/2025
Atletico AscoliFossombrone
11
Serie D - Girone F20/10/2024
FossombroneAtletico Ascoli
10
Serie D - Girone F14/04/2024
FossombroneAtletico Ascoli
11
Serie D - Girone F03/12/2023
Atletico AscoliFossombrone
00
Coppa Italia Serie D27/08/2023
Atletico AscoliFossombrone
10

Recent Form

Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli
2W4D4L
27/09/2026
Real GiulianovaAtletico Ascoli
42
L
20/09/2026
Atletico AscoliSporting Trestina
10
W
16/09/2026
L'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
00
D
13/09/2026
Atletico AscoliMaceratese
21
W
06/09/2026
AngelanaAtletico Ascoli
20
L
10/05/2026
TeramoAtletico Ascoli
21
L
03/05/2026
Atletico AscoliTeramo
11
D
26/04/2026
SammaureseAtletico Ascoli
20
L
19/04/2026
Atletico AscoliFossombrone
11
D
12/04/2026
Vigor SenigalliaAtletico Ascoli
22
D
FossombroneFossombrone
3W2D5L
27/09/2026
Vigor SenigalliaFossombrone
00
D
20/09/2026
FossombroneLanciano FC
24
L
16/09/2026
Sporting TrestinaFossombrone
01
W
12/09/2026
FossombroneL'Aquila
04
L
06/09/2026
Real GiulianovaFossombrone
12
W
01/08/2026
CesenaFossombrone
30
L
03/05/2026
RecanateseFossombrone
20
L
26/04/2026
FossombroneCastelfidardo Calcio
31
W
19/04/2026
Atletico AscoliFossombrone
11
D
12/04/2026
FossombroneAncona
12
L

League Table

Serie D - Girone F 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1L'AquilaL'Aquila972020:7+1323WWWWW
2TeramoTeramo971124:13+1122WWWWL
3AnconaAncona952217:8+917WLWWD
4Foligno CalcioFoligno Calcio951311:10+116LLWWD
5Vigor SenigalliaVigor Senigallia951317:17016LWLLD
6NotarescoNotaresco943213:9+415DWWWD
7Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli942313:10+314DWWLL
8Real GiulianovaReal Giulianova941412:11+113WWLWW
9FossombroneFossombrone941412:17-513LWLWD
10Montecchio GalloMontecchio Gallo933310:10012DWLLD
11Lanciano FCLanciano FC932414:15-111DLWLW
12Termoli CalcioTermoli Calcio93246:7-111DLWWL
13RecanateseRecanatese923412:14-29WLLLL
14SantegidieseSantegidiese92258:13-58LLLDW
15PietralungaPietralunga92255:10-58LWWLD
16MacerateseMaceratese922510:17-78DLLWD
17Sporting TrestinaSporting Trestina92166:14-87LLLWL
18AngelanaAngelana91175:13-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1L'AquilaL'Aquila920:723
2TeramoTeramo924:1322
3AnconaAncona917:817
4Foligno CalcioFoligno Calcio911:1016
5Vigor SenigalliaVigor Senigallia917:1716
6NotarescoNotaresco913:915
7Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli913:1014
8Real GiulianovaReal Giulianova912:1113
9FossombroneFossombrone912:1713
10Montecchio GalloMontecchio Gallo910:1012
11Lanciano FCLanciano FC914:1511
12Termoli CalcioTermoli Calcio96:711
13RecanateseRecanatese912:149
14SantegidieseSantegidiese98:138
15PietralungaPietralunga95:108
16MacerateseMaceratese910:178
17Sporting TrestinaSporting Trestina96:147
18AngelanaAngelana95:134
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone forecast

The forecasts for this Serie D - Girone F match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Ascoli and Fossombrone in the Serie D - Girone F table

Atletico Ascoli and Fossombrone are close in the Serie D - Girone F table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Atletico Ascoli 13-10, Fossombrone 12-17. The full standings are on the Serie D - Girone F Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atletico Ascoli have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.