Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II Prediction

1 LygaLithuania Lithuania · Regular Season - 17
Atmosfera
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Hegelmann II
25/07/2026
AtmosferaAtmosfera
4-1
Finished
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseHighGap+8.7%
Atmosfera Rest
23 days
Hegelmann II Rest
3 days

Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II: result, form and history

Atmosfera beat Hegelmann II 4-1 in the 1 Lyga on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 5 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.29
X
15%5.00
2
12%7.17
Double Chance
1X
88%1.05
X2
27%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.72
No
53%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.12 + 0.76 = 2.88
Over 1.5
77%1.13
Over 2.5
57%1.40
Over 3.5
37%2.01
Under 1.5
23%6.00
Under 2.5
43%2.66
Under 3.5
63%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'
48'
62'
66'
88'

Team Comparison

AtmosferaAtmosfera
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
1491Elo Rating 1338
1.94Attack 2.18
1.95Defense 0.92
50%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+153 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AtmosferaAtmosfera
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

AtmosferaAtmosfera2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II1Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

1 Lyga15/03/2026
Hegelmann IIAtmosfera
03
1 Lyga27/07/2025
AtmosferaHegelmann II
22
1 Lyga16/03/2025
Hegelmann IIAtmosfera
11
1 Lyga31/08/2024
AtmosferaHegelmann II
21
1 Lyga07/04/2024
Hegelmann IIAtmosfera
30

Recent Form

AtmosferaAtmosfera
3W3D4L
01/07/2026
AtmosferaBe1 NFA
01
L27/06/2026
EkranasAtmosfera
12
W20/06/2026
AtmosferaMinija
01
L12/06/2026
JonavaAtmosfera
11
D
30/05/2026
AtmosferaŽalgiris II
20
W
23/05/2026
AtmosferaGarliava
11
D
20/05/2026
AtmosferaPanevėžys
03
L
16/05/2026
BFAAtmosfera
05
W
09/05/2026
AtmosferaBabrungas
11
D
02/05/2026
TaurasAtmosfera
20
L
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
2W0D8L
21/07/2026
Hegelmann IIŽalgiris II
02
L
02/07/2026
Žalgiris IIHegelmann II
31
L
27/06/2026
Hegelmann IIJonava
21
W
20/06/2026
BFAHegelmann II
01
W12/06/2026
Hegelmann IIBabrungas
01
L
30/05/2026
TaurasHegelmann II
61
L
22/05/2026
Hegelmann IINeptūną Klaipėda
23
L
15/05/2026
DainavaHegelmann II
32
L
11/05/2026
Hegelmann IITransinvest 2
12
L
03/05/2026
FA Šiauliai IIHegelmann II
20
L

League Table

1 Lyga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BabrungasBabrungas28224252:13+3970WWWWW
2MinijaMinija27221471:18+5367LLWWW
3Be1 NFABe1 NFA27183649:28+2157WWDWW
4Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II28154944:36+849WLWLW
5BFABFA281441042:41+146WLLDW
6TaurasTauras27135948:37+1144LDWLL
7DainavaDainava28128840:29+1144LWDLW
8Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda281421233:35-244LLLLW
9AtmosferaAtmosfera271071043:35+837WWDDL
10JonavaJonava28861431:38-730LWLLL
11GarliavaGarliava28851532:35-329LWDWL
12Transinvest 2Transinvest 228841635:61-2628WWDLW
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II28821827:48-2126WLDLW
14Hegelmann IIHegelmann II28821835:64-2926LDWLL
15FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II28461834:65-3118LLDWL
16EkranasEkranas28532029:62-3318WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BabrungasBabrungas2852:1370
2MinijaMinija2771:1867
3Be1 NFABe1 NFA2749:2857
4Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II2844:3649
5BFABFA2842:4146
6TaurasTauras2748:3744
7DainavaDainava2840:2944
8Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2833:3544
9AtmosferaAtmosfera2743:3537
10JonavaJonava2831:3830
11GarliavaGarliava2832:3529
12Transinvest 2Transinvest 22835:6128
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II2827:4826
14Hegelmann IIHegelmann II2835:6426
15FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2834:6518
16EkranasEkranas2829:6218

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About the Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atmosfera and Hegelmann II in the 1 Lyga table

In the 1 Lyga table, Atmosfera are 9th and Hegelmann II 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Atmosfera 43-35, Hegelmann II 35-64. The full standings are on the 1 Lyga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.