Ayr Utd vs Partick Prediction

Ayr Utd
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Partick
Somerset Park, Ayr·M. MacDermid 16/10/2026
Ayr UtdAyr Utd
0-1
Finished
PartickPartick

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Ayr Utd Rest
6 days
Partick Rest
6 days

Ayr Utd vs Partick: the result in context

Partick beat Ayr Utd 1-0 in the Championship on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Partick have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.53
X
24%3.78
2
56%1.62
Double Chance
1X
44%2.11
X2
80%1.16
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'O. Smyth
45'O. Smyth(Penalty)
46'L. Dick INT. Hatton out
56'L. McBeth
57'S. Drozd
62'E. Henderson INA. Fitzpatrick out
65'O. Stirton INJ. Landers out
65'O. Whyte INM. Rus out
69'B. Stanway INT. Letsosa out
72'R. Lyon INJ. Murphy out
75'L. Ashcroft
76'T. Watt INA. Samuel out
76'S. Drozd INE. Ingram out
76'E. Walker INK. Shanks out
90'T. Letsosa
90+1'A. Fitzpatrick
90+3'S. McMann
90+3'B. McPherson

Team Comparison

Ayr UtdAyr Utd
PartickPartick
1437Elo Rating 1577
0.90Attack 1.39
2.14Defense 2.54
34%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

Ayr UtdAyr Utd
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PartickPartick
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Ayr UtdAyr Utd2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
PartickPartick6Wins · 60%
1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship05/09/2026
PartickAyr Utd
10
Championship04/04/2026
Ayr UtdPartick
11
Championship24/01/2026
PartickAyr Utd
21
Championship06/12/2025
Ayr UtdPartick
00
Championship21/10/2025
PartickAyr Utd
21
League Cup16/08/2025
PartickAyr Utd
20
Premiership09/05/2025
Ayr UtdPartick
02
Premiership06/05/2025
PartickAyr Utd
01
Championship15/03/2025
PartickAyr Utd
20
Championship25/01/2025
Ayr UtdPartick
21

Recent Form

Ayr UtdAyr Utd
2W3D5L
10/10/2026
Ayr UtdDunfermline
11
D
03/10/2026
LivingstonAyr Utd
12
W
25/09/2026
Ayr UtdStenhousemuir
01
L
18/09/2026
Queen's ParkAyr Utd
02
W
12/09/2026
Ayr UtdInverness CT
13
L
05/09/2026
PartickAyr Utd
10
L
29/08/2026
Ayr UtdMorton
11
D
22/08/2026
Raith RoversAyr Utd
20
L
14/08/2026
KilmarnockAyr Utd
32
L
08/08/2026
DunfermlineAyr Utd
11
D
PartickPartick
5W3D2L
10/10/2026
LivingstonPartick
12
W
03/10/2026
PartickArbroath
30
W
19/09/2026
PartickRaith Rovers
00
D
15/09/2026
StenhousemuirPartick
10
L
05/09/2026
PartickAyr Utd
10
W
29/08/2026
PartickQueen's Park
00
D
21/08/2026
Inverness CTPartick
11
D
16/08/2026
HibernianPartick
10
L
07/08/2026
PartickLivingston
20
W
01/08/2026
MortonPartick
01
W

Referee Profile

M. MacDermid41 matches

4.09Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. MacDermid4.09
Other referees4.26

4.09 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.26).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1072113:5+823DLWWW
2PartickPartick1164112:4+822DWWWD
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1163216:7+921DWWLD
4Inverness CTInverness CT1144314:11+316WLWWD
5DunfermlineDunfermline103618:6+215DDDWW
6LivingstonLivingston1142514:11+314DLLWD
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath113267:17-1011LLLWL
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park112186:18-127LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1013:523
2PartickPartick1112:422
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1116:721
4Inverness CTInverness CT1114:1116
5DunfermlineDunfermline108:615
6LivingstonLivingston1114:1114
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath117:1711
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park116:187
PromotionRelegation

About the Ayr Utd vs Partick forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ayr Utd and Partick in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Partick are 2nd in the Championship, while Ayr Utd sit 7th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Ayr Utd 10-12, Partick 12-4. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.