Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Prediction

Azerbaijan
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Liechtenstein
Tofiq Bəhramov, Baku·Christian-Petru Ciochirca 01/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.18
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-10.9%
Azerbaijan Rest
4 days
Liechtenstein Rest
3 days

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: the result in context

Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 1 Oct 2026. Azerbaijan had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Liechtenstein.

Azerbaijan tend to win more corners, 3.6 a game to 0.5 for Liechtenstein.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
91%1.10
X
7%9.00
2
2%29.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.01
X2
9%6.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%4.35
No
74%1.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.32 = 2.21
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.73
Over 3.5
34%2.66
Under 1.5
24%3.85
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 1.7 = 7.2
Over 8.5
52%1.67
Over 9.5
41%2.10
Over 10.5
29%2.80
Under 8.5
48%2.06
Under 9.5
59%1.65
Under 10.5
71%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.1 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.82
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
56%1.88
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

40'kenny kindleFoul
41'Lars TraberTime wasting
45'kenny kindle INFabio Luque Notaro out
45'Rahim Sadikhov INAleksey Isaev out
45'Tellur Mutallimov INRufat Abbasov out
47'Alessio HaslerFoul
57'Mahir EmreliFoul
59'Emin Makhmudov INAykhan Guseynov out
59'Musa Qurbanly INRufat Abdullazada out
60'Alessandro Lo Russo INFlorian Allgäuer out
75'Vüsal İsgändärli INEdqar Adilxanov out
77'Alessio Hasler INEmanuel Zünd out
77'Aron Sele INAndrin·Netzer out
80'Tural BayramovFoul
90+2'Marcel Büchel INS. Schlegel out

Lineups

Azerbaijan
4-2-3-1Coach: Aykhan Abbasov
Liechtenstein
5-3-2Coach: K. Fünfstück
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.45
E. Balayev6.91E. Balayev
T. Mütəllimov7.019T. Mütəllimov
E. Bədəlov7.314E. Bədəlov
A. Krivotsyuk7.45A. Krivotsyuk
T. Bayramov6.97T. Bayramov
A. Xaybulayev6.56A. Xaybulayev
E. Mahmudov7.18E. Mahmudov
M. Emreli7.610M. Emreli
R. Sadıxov6.721R. Sadıxov
V. İsgəndərli6.517V. İsgəndərli
M. Qurbanlı7.09M. Qurbanlı
B. Büchel7.81B. Büchel
N. Hasler6.018N. Hasler
J. Weissenhofer6.05J. Weissenhofer
L. Traber5.84L. Traber
J. Hofer6.723J. Hofer
M. Goppel6.53M. Goppel
A. Sele6.38A. Sele
M. Buchel6.410M. Buchel
A. Hasler6.420A. Hasler
Kenny Kindle6.713K. Kindle
1111A. Lo Russo

Azerbaijan Substitutes

16R. Abdullazadə59'for Musa Qurbanly6.3
3R. Abbasov45'for Tellur Mutallimov7.2
2Edqar Adilxanov75'replaced by Vüsal İsgändärli
12A. Bayramov
18C. Hüseynov
11I. Huseynov59'for Emin Makhmudov6.8
23R. Mirzəmmədov
4R. Məmmədov
22A. Nuriyev
13E. Səfərov
15M. Khachayev
20A. Isaev45'for Rahim Sadikhov7.2

Liechtenstein Substitutes

17L. Kranz
21L. Lo Russo60'for Florian Allgäuer
7Fabio Luque Notaro45'for kenny kindle6.6
14L. Meier
15A. Netzer77'for Aron Sele6.5
12J. Ospelt
6S. Schlegel90+2'for Marcel Büchel
22Florian Allgäuer60'replaced by Alessandro Lo Russo
9William Pizzi
16Bruno Poitner
19E. Zünd77'for Alessio Hasler6.2
2N. Beck

Match Stats

AzerbaijanLiechtenstein
74%Ball Possession26%
6Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots4
5Shots on Goal0
15Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
7Fouls16
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
672Total Passes228
590Passes Accurate142
14Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
1332Elo Rating 1085
0.63Attack 0.00
2.03Defense 0.45
27%Hit Rate 0%
12.3Shots per Game 3.3
4.1Shots on Target 0.5
3.6Corners per Game 0.5
2.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+247 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
2W2D6L
27/09/2026
LithuaniaAzerbaijan
11
D
23/09/2026
AzerbaijanTajikistan
10
W
09/06/2026
AzerbaijanSan Marino
21
W
05/06/2026
AzerbaijanMalta
02
L
16/11/2025
AzerbaijanFrance
13
L
13/11/2025
AzerbaijanIceland
02
L
13/10/2025
UkraineAzerbaijan
21
L
10/10/2025
FranceAzerbaijan
30
L
09/09/2025
AzerbaijanUkraine
11
D
05/09/2025
IcelandAzerbaijan
50
L
LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
0W0D10L
27/09/2026
MaltaLiechtenstein
20
L
24/09/2026
LiechtensteinLithuania
02
L
07/06/2026
LiechtensteinCyprus
02
L
04/06/2026
AndorraLiechtenstein
20
L
18/11/2025
BelgiumLiechtenstein
70
L
15/11/2025
LiechtensteinWales
01
L
10/10/2025
KazakhstanLiechtenstein
40
L
07/09/2025
FYR MacedoniaLiechtenstein
50
L
04/09/2025
LiechtensteinBelgium
06
L
06/06/2025
WalesLiechtenstein
30
L

Referee Profile

Christian-Petru Ciochirca121 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.93Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Christian-Petru Ciochirca4.13
Other referees4.51

4.13 cards a match, 0.38 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.51).

Cards come from 91 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AzerbaijanAzerbaijan31202:1+15WDD
2LithuaniaLithuania31113:2+14LDW
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20110:2-21DL
#TeamMPGPts
1AzerbaijanAzerbaijan32:15
2LithuaniaLithuania33:24
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20:21
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About the Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Nations League

More UEFA Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.