Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh Prediction

Bắc Ninh
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ho Chi Minh
Viet Yen Stadium, Viet Yen 11/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
Bắc Ninh Rest
5 days
Ho Chi Minh Rest
6 days

Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh: the result in context

Bắc Ninh beat Ho Chi Minh 1-0 in the V.League 1 on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.77
X
32%3.00
2
22%2.44
Double Chance
1X
78%1.44
X2
54%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.91
No
47%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1 = 2.57
Over 1.5
73%1.40
Over 2.5
50%2.25
Over 3.5
28%4.20
Under 1.5
27%2.69
Under 2.5
50%1.53
Under 3.5
72%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'
15'Khong Minh Gia
18'Brenner
45+3'
75'
77'
90'

Team Comparison

Bắc NinhBắc Ninh
Ho Chi MinhHo Chi Minh
1544Elo Rating 1509
1.18Attack 1.27
1.93Defense 1.76
31%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Bắc NinhBắc Ninh
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ho Chi MinhHo Chi Minh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Bắc NinhBắc Ninh1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Ho Chi MinhHo Chi Minh1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

V.League 215/03/2026
Bắc NinhHo Chi Minh
23
V.League 230/01/2026
Ho Chi MinhBắc Ninh
01

Recent Form

Bắc NinhBắc Ninh
7W1D2L
06/09/2026
Song Lam Nghe AnBắc Ninh
10
L
26/08/2026
Bắc NinhHung Yen
21
W
12/06/2026
Pho HienBắc Ninh
4151
W
06/06/2026
Bắc NinhPVF-CAND
13
L
30/05/2026
Binh DinhBắc Ninh
24
W
24/05/2026
Bắc NinhHồ Chí Minh II
80
W
16/05/2026
Sanna Khanh HoaBắc Ninh
22
D
08/05/2026
Bắc NinhBình Phước
21
W
01/05/2026
Văn HiếnBắc Ninh
12
W
26/04/2026
Xuan Thien Phu ThoBắc Ninh
13
W
Ho Chi MinhHo Chi Minh
6W2D2L
05/09/2026
Ho Chi MinhHa Noi
31
W
30/08/2026
Công An Nhân DânHo Chi Minh
50
L
23/08/2026
Binh DuongHo Chi Minh
21
L
19/08/2026
Dong ThapHo Chi Minh
01
W
14/06/2026
Phu DongHo Chi Minh
12
W
11/06/2026
Nam DinhHo Chi Minh
24
W
07/06/2026
Ha NoiHo Chi Minh
11
D
06/06/2026
Ho Chi MinhDong Thap
20
W
31/05/2026
Ho Chi MinhViettel
11
D
30/05/2026
Hồ Chí Minh IIHo Chi Minh
02
W

League Table

V.League 1 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Song Lam Nghe AnSong Lam Nghe An532010:4+611WDDWW
2Nam DinhNam Dinh531111:4+710WWDLW
3Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân53118:3+510DLWWW
4Phu DongPhu Dong531111:7+410LWDWW
5Ho Chi MinhHo Chi Minh53116:3+310WWDLW
6Hồng Lĩnh Hà TĩnhHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh53118:6+210WDWWL
7Thanh HóaThanh Hóa52127:8-17DLWLW
8Hai PhongHai Phong520311:10+16LWLWL
9Da NangDa Nang52037:11-46WLLWL
10Ha NoiHa Noi52035:9-46LWWLL
11Bắc NinhBắc Ninh51223:4-15DDLWL
12ViettelViettel51135:7-24DLLLW
13Hoang Anh Gia LaiHoang Anh Gia Lai51047:13-63LLWLL
14Bình PhướcBình Phước50140:10-101LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Song Lam Nghe AnSong Lam Nghe An510:411
2Nam DinhNam Dinh511:410
3Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân58:310
4Phu DongPhu Dong511:710
5Ho Chi MinhHo Chi Minh56:310
6Hồng Lĩnh Hà TĩnhHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh58:610
7Thanh HóaThanh Hóa57:87
8Hai PhongHai Phong511:106
9Da NangDa Nang57:116
10Ha NoiHa Noi55:96
11Bắc NinhBắc Ninh53:45
12ViettelViettel55:74
13Hoang Anh Gia LaiHoang Anh Gia Lai57:133
14Bình PhướcBình Phước50:101

About the Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh forecast

The forecasts for this V.League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bắc Ninh and Ho Chi Minh in the V.League 1 table

In the V.League 1 table, Ho Chi Minh are 5th and Bắc Ninh 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Bắc Ninh 3-4, Ho Chi Minh 6-3. The full standings are on the V.League 1 Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bắc Ninh and Ho Chi Minh have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.