Bastia vs Orleans Prediction

Bastia
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Orleans
Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia 01/10/2026
BastiaBastia
1-1
Finished
OrleansOrleans

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Bastia Rest
5 days
Orleans Rest
5 days

Bastia vs Orleans: result, form and history

Bastia and Orleans drew 1-1 in the Ligue 3 on 1 Oct 2026. Bastia had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Orleans.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.16
X
29%3.10
2
30%3.10
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
58%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.83
No
49%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.05 = 2.34
Over 1.5
69%1.35
Over 2.5
43%2.07
Over 3.5
24%3.73
Under 1.5
31%2.94
Under 2.5
57%1.66
Under 3.5
76%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'L. Belal
12'I. Drame
27'L. Raillot
42'C. Melieres
46'R. Beliandjou INN. Alebate out
58'N. Zilliox
62'M. Prunier INA. Ribeiro out
64'H. Makalou IND. Diarra out
66'C. Melieres
68'B. Dali-Amar
70'L. Raillot ING. Khous out
76'C. Melieres INM. Petrignani out
83'T. De Percin
84'S. Contena
86'I. Monnier
86'A. Roncaglia
87'R. Legendre(Penalty)
89'C. Rodrigues INM. Boumaaoui out
89'L. Belal IND. Tamba out
90+8'N. Zilliox
90+10'J. Eickmayer

Team Comparison

BastiaBastia
OrleansOrleans
1527Elo Rating 1522
0.81Attack 0.77
2.14Defense 1.07
14%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

BastiaBastia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
OrleansOrleans
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BastiaBastia0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
OrleansOrleans1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

National 129/03/2021
OrleansBastia
21
National 123/10/2020
BastiaOrleans
11

Recent Form

BastiaBastia
3W1D6L
26/09/2026
GobelinsBastia
10
L
17/09/2026
BastiaCannes
11
D
12/09/2026
Bourg-en-bresse 01Bastia
01
W
05/09/2026
BastiaAmiens
03
L
27/08/2026
CaenBastia
01
W
20/08/2026
BastiaVersailles
23
L
14/08/2026
AubagneBastia
01
W
07/08/2026
BastiaLe Puy Foot
02
L
10/07/2026
RodezBastia
53
L
09/05/2026
BastiaLe Mans
02
L
OrleansOrleans
3W2D5L
26/09/2026
OrleansCannes
00
D
19/09/2026
AmiensOrleans
20
L
12/09/2026
OrleansVersailles
04
L
05/09/2026
Le Puy FootOrleans
11
D
29/08/2026
OrleansLa Roche VF
01
L
20/08/2026
Fleury 91Orleans
02
W
14/08/2026
OrleansRouen
12
L
07/08/2026
ConcarneauOrleans
02
W
25/07/2026
AuxerreOrleans
12
W
21/07/2026
RED Star FC 93Orleans
32
L

League Table

Ligue 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1063116:10+621LWWWD
2RouenRouen1062218:8+1020LWLWW
3VersaillesVersailles1061315:13+219WWWDW
4CaenCaen1060419:13+618WLWLW
5AmiensAmiens1145214:5+917DDWDW
6ConcarneauConcarneau1045113:9+417DWDWW
7Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1051412:9+316WWLWL
8CannesCannes1036112:6+615LWDDD
9Fleury 91Fleury 911043316:12+415WWLDW
10GobelinsGobelins1043310:10015WLWDL
11Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1134416:17-113DLLLD
12QuevillyQuevilly1034311:14-313WLDDW
13BastiaBastia103348:12-412DDLDW
14ValenciennesValenciennes1023510:15-59DLWLL
15OrleansOrleans102359:14-59LDDLL
16AubagneAubagne102176:13-77LLWLL
17VillefrancheVillefranche102179:23-147WLLLD
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01101275:16-115LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1016:1021
2RouenRouen1018:820
3VersaillesVersailles1015:1319
4CaenCaen1019:1318
5AmiensAmiens1114:517
6ConcarneauConcarneau1013:917
7Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1012:916
8CannesCannes1012:615
9Fleury 91Fleury 911016:1215
10GobelinsGobelins1010:1015
11Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1116:1713
12QuevillyQuevilly1011:1413
13BastiaBastia108:1212
14ValenciennesValenciennes1010:159
15OrleansOrleans109:149
16AubagneAubagne106:137
17VillefrancheVillefranche109:237
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01105:165
PromotionRelegation

About the Bastia vs Orleans forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bastia and Orleans in the Ligue 3 table

Bastia and Orleans are close in the Ligue 3 table, 13th and 15th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Bastia 8-12, Orleans 9-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bastia and Orleans have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.