Boise vs Greenville Triumph Prediction

Boise
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Greenville Triumph
03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Boise Rest
6 days
Greenville Triumph Rest
6 days

Boise vs Greenville Triumph: the result in context

Boise beat Greenville Triumph 1-0 in the USL League One on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Boise had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Greenville Triumph.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.45
X
17%4.45
2
15%5.42
Double Chance
1X
85%1.11
X2
32%2.46
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'J. YaroAssist: J. Barea
20'N. MIllerUnsportsmanlike conduct
21'N. MIllerUnsportsmanlike conduct
31'C. Adams INM. Ndiaye out
34'R. RoblesFoul
45+6'J. BareaUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'K. Fritz INE. Lee out
55'J. KliewerDelay of game
56'T. Sims IND. Boyce out
65'T. Moshobane INT. Amang out
67'J. RickettsFoul
69'M. Nour INL. Castro out
78'C. Evans INE. White out
78'I. Agyaakwah INZ. Bubb out
83'D. Kostyshyn(Penalty missed)
90'N. Moon INK. Oyler out
90+2'C. HerreraUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

BoiseBoise
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
1578Elo Rating 1371
1.64Attack 1.45
1.89Defense 0.53
69%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+207 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

BoiseBoise
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BoiseBoise0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph1Wins · 100%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Recent Form

BoiseBoise
5W4D1L
27/09/2026
Corpus ChristiBoise
21
L
21/09/2026
Spokane VelocityBoise
22
D
17/09/2026
BoiseCharlotte Independence
11
D
12/09/2026
BoiseNY Cosmos
21
W
06/09/2026
NaplesBoise
01
W
30/08/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesBoise
23
W
23/08/2026
One KnoxvilleBoise
22
D
13/08/2026
BoiseSporting San Jose
20
W
09/08/2026
BoiseForward Madison
21
W
02/08/2026
BoiseCorpus Christi
00
D
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
1W2D7L
27/09/2026
Greenville TriumphUnion Omaha
13
L
20/09/2026
Sarasota ParadiseGreenville Triumph
60
L
16/09/2026
Greenville TriumphCorpus Christi
01
L
13/09/2026
Greenville TriumphFort Wayne
13
L
06/09/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesGreenville Triumph
31
L
30/08/2026
Greenville TriumphNaples
40
W
23/08/2026
Spokane VelocityGreenville Triumph
21
L
16/08/2026
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
11
D
13/08/2026
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
11
D
09/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Boise vs Greenville Triumph forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Boise and Greenville Triumph in the USL League One table

The table shows a wide gap: Boise are 3rd in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph sit 15th, 28 points behind. League goal record so far: Boise 51-41, Greenville Triumph 37-60. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Boise have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Boise and Greenville Triumph have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.