Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje Prediction

17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Bregalnica Štip Rest
7 days
Vardar Skopje Rest
5 days

Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje: the result in context

Vardar Skopje beat Bregalnica Štip 1-0 in the First League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vardar Skopje had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Bregalnica Štip.

Vardar Skopje have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%5.45
X
23%3.64
2
61%1.50
Double Chance
1X
39%2.25
X2
83%1.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'
24'
35'
59'
63'
66'
89'
90+2'
90+3'

Team Comparison

Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje
1585Elo Rating 1683
1.60Attack 1.08
1.08Defense 2.03
37%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje3Wins · 75%
1.8Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

First League25/07/2026
Vardar SkopjeBregalnica Štip
20
First League01/05/2024
Bregalnica ŠtipVardar Skopje
03
First League25/02/2024
Vardar SkopjeBregalnica Štip
20
First League01/10/2023
Bregalnica ŠtipVardar Skopje
00

Recent Form

Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip
4W1D5L
10/10/2026
TikvešBregalnica Štip
30
L
23/09/2026
Bregalnica ŠtipSkopje
10
W
13/09/2026
SileksBregalnica Štip
22
D
09/09/2026
TeteksBregalnica Štip
14
W
04/09/2026
Bregalnica ŠtipShkëndija Haraçinë
01
L
28/08/2026
StrugaBregalnica Štip
40
L
21/08/2026
Bregalnica ŠtipBashkimi Kumanovo
30
W
16/08/2026
ShkendijaBregalnica Štip
41
L
08/08/2026
Bregalnica ŠtipAresimi
40
W
25/07/2026
Vardar SkopjeBregalnica Štip
20
L
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje
5W2D3L
11/10/2026
SkopjeVardar Skopje
12
W
19/09/2026
Vardar SkopjeShkëndija Haraçinë
20
W
12/09/2026
Bashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
33
D
07/09/2026
Vardar SkopjeAresimi
20
W
03/09/2026
Ovce PoleVardar Skopje
05
W
31/08/2026
TikvešVardar Skopje
11
D
24/08/2026
Vardar SkopjeSileks
41
W
16/08/2026
StrugaVardar Skopje
10
L
09/08/2026
Vardar SkopjeShkendija
02
L
28/07/2026
RigaVardar Skopje
5122
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ShkendijaShkendija1283126:11+1527WDWDW
2StrugaStruga1282227:7+2026WWWLW
3TikvešTikveš1256125:10+1521DWDWD
4Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje1263317:10+721LDWWW
5SileksSileks1245319:11+817DWWDD
6Shkëndija HaraçinëShkëndija Haraçinë124358:15-715DLLDL
7Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip1241716:22-613LWLLW
8AresimiAresimi1224612:27-1510LLDDL
9Bashkimi KumanovoBashkimi Kumanovo1231812:33-2110WLLWL
10SkopjeSkopje120485:21-164DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ShkendijaShkendija1226:1127
2StrugaStruga1227:726
3TikvešTikveš1225:1021
4Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje1217:1021
5SileksSileks1219:1117
6Shkëndija HaraçinëShkëndija Haraçinë128:1515
7Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip1216:2213
8AresimiAresimi1212:2710
9Bashkimi KumanovoBashkimi Kumanovo1212:3310
10SkopjeSkopje125:214
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bregalnica Štip and Vardar Skopje in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Vardar Skopje are 4th in the First League, while Bregalnica Štip sit 7th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Bregalnica Štip 16-22, Vardar Skopje 17-10. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.