Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana Prediction

Bunyodkor
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sogdiana
Milliy Stadium, Tashkent·N. Qosimov 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Bunyodkor Rest
7 days
Sogdiana Rest
5 days

Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana: the result in context

Bunyodkor and Sogdiana drew 1-1 in the Super League on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.90
X
27%3.40
2
42%2.16
Double Chance
1X
58%1.58
X2
69%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.54
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.38 = 2.63
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.67
Over 3.5
34%2.60
Under 1.5
25%3.85
Under 2.5
46%2.08
Under 3.5
66%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'D. Pletnev
28'S. Mavlonkulov
32'S. Rakhmanov INI. Bukrin out
46'D. Zajmovic INJ. Boltaboev out
60'S. Nematjonov INI. Anvarov out
60'S. Abdunabiev INM. Krivokapic out
60'D. Pletnev INA. Ikromov out
68'J. Kakhramonov INA. Abdurashidov out
71'N. Soyibov INO. Nurmatov out
75'N. Akhmadjonov INM. Olimzhonov out
84'S. Mavlonkulov INS. Kamolov out
84'L. Doriev INZ. Urinboev out
86'M. KrivokapicAssist: A. Turakulov

Team Comparison

BunyodkorBunyodkor
SogdianaSogdiana
1416Elo Rating 1468
1.29Attack 1.17
1.61Defense 1.03
44%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

BunyodkorBunyodkor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SogdianaSogdiana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BunyodkorBunyodkor4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
SogdianaSogdiana3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League19/04/2026
SogdianaBunyodkor
23
Super League22/11/2025
SogdianaBunyodkor
02
Super League29/06/2025
BunyodkorSogdiana
32
Super League27/10/2024
BunyodkorSogdiana
11
Super League26/05/2024
SogdianaBunyodkor
40
Super League30/07/2023
BunyodkorSogdiana
02
Super League04/03/2023
SogdianaBunyodkor
01
Super League01/08/2022
SogdianaBunyodkor
20
Super League03/03/2022
BunyodkorSogdiana
00
Super League16/09/2021
SogdianaBunyodkor
00

Recent Form

BunyodkorBunyodkor
1W0D9L
09/10/2026
PakhtakorBunyodkor
31
L
19/09/2026
BunyodkorBuxoro
21
W
15/09/2026
BunyodkorLokomotiv
01
L
09/09/2026
NasafBunyodkor
30
L
04/09/2026
BunyodkorSurkhon
01
L
26/08/2026
LokomotivBunyodkor
41
L
20/08/2026
BunyodkorKokand-1912
01
L
14/08/2026
NavbahorBunyodkor
43
L
08/08/2026
BunyodkorOlmaliq
23
L
02/08/2026
QizilqumBunyodkor
30
L
SogdianaSogdiana
6W1D3L
11/10/2026
SogdianaLokomotiv
23
L
20/09/2026
SogdianaOlmaliq
12
L
10/09/2026
XorazmSogdiana
00
D
05/09/2026
SogdianaMash'al
52
W
30/08/2026
SogdianaJayxun
20
W
23/08/2026
NeftchiSogdiana
30
L
18/08/2026
SogdianaQizilqum
21
W
13/08/2026
SurkhonSogdiana
13
W
06/08/2026
SogdianaAndijan
10
W
02/08/2026
Mash'alSogdiana
13
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor25158244:25+1953LDWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor25147444:25+1949WDDWW
4OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
5NasafNasaf25118637:23+1441WDWWW
6BuxoroBuxoro25125837:32+541DWWLL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum251041125:31-634DWDWL
9AndijanAndijan25941230:33-331DLLLW
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand25871036:39-331DLLLW
11SogdianaSogdiana25851242:49-729LDLLD
12SurkhonSurkhon25781019:28-929DDDWL
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191225581225:36-1123LLWLL
15XorazmXorazm25581221:36-1523LDDLD
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2544:2553
3NavbahorNavbahor2544:2549
4OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
5NasafNasaf2537:2341
6BuxoroBuxoro2537:3241
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2525:3134
9AndijanAndijan2530:3331
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2536:3931
11SogdianaSogdiana2542:4929
12SurkhonSurkhon2519:2829
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122525:3623
15XorazmXorazm2521:3623
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bunyodkor and Sogdiana in the Super League table

Sogdiana and Bunyodkor are close in the Super League table, 11th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Bunyodkor 26-41, Sogdiana 42-49. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.