Buxton vs Harborough Town Prediction

Buxton
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Harborough Town
27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.16
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap-6.7%
Buxton Rest
3 days
Harborough Town Rest
3 days

Buxton vs Harborough Town: the result in context

Buxton beat Harborough Town 3-0 in the National League - North on 27 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Harborough Town had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Buxton.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.20
X
25%3.50
2
37%2.80
Double Chance
1X
62%1.36
X2
62%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.49
No
39%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.6 = 2.96
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.39
Under 1.5
20%4.40
Under 2.5
42%2.22
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'F. Cousin-Dawson
64'S. Tuntulwana
79'S. Aston

Team Comparison

BuxtonBuxton
Harborough TownHarborough Town
1565Elo Rating 1609
1.27Attack 1.65
0.91Defense 2.03
27%Hit Rate 59%
-Shots per Game 21.0
-Shots on Target 10.0
-Corners per Game 7.0
-Cards per Game 0.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals

Game State Tendencies

BuxtonBuxton
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Harborough TownHarborough Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

BuxtonBuxton
5W1D4L
24/10/2026
ChorleyBuxton
23
W
17/10/2026
BuxtonWorksop Town
22
D
10/10/2026
King's Lynn TownBuxton
10
L
03/10/2026
BuxtonSouth Shields
02
L
26/09/2026
South ShieldsBuxton
40
L
19/09/2026
BuxtonAshton United
10
W
12/09/2026
BuxtonChester
31
W
08/09/2026
BuxtonBrackley Town
50
W
05/09/2026
MorecambeBuxton
40
L
31/08/2026
BuxtonMerthyr Town
21
W
Harborough TownHarborough Town
5W2D3L
24/10/2026
Harborough TownWorksop Town
11
D
17/10/2026
Harborough TownSpennymoor Town
31
W
10/10/2026
Harborough TownSouthport
10
W
03/10/2026
Harborough TownSt Albans City
32
W
26/09/2026
MacclesfieldHarborough Town
10
L
19/09/2026
Harborough TownRushall Olympic
10
W
12/09/2026
Harborough TownAFC Telford United
00
D
08/09/2026
Harborough TownHereford
03
L
05/09/2026
Brackley TownHarborough Town
10
L
31/08/2026
Harborough TownMarine
21
W

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oxford CityOxford City1383225:8+1727WDWDW
2HerefordHereford1382324:8+1626LWLDW
3South ShieldsSouth Shields1382322:18+426WWLLW
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1273218:11+724LWWDD
5ChesterChester1372417:13+423WLWWL
6BuxtonBuxton1472526:23+323WWDLL
7Bedford TownBedford Town1371517:16+122WWLDL
8Hednesford TownHednesford Town1463523:20+321LWWWW
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1463522:21+121LDDWW
10MorecambeMorecambe1362519:12+720WWLDW
11ChorleyChorley1362523:21+220WLWWL
12Worksop TownWorksop Town1462620:20020WDDWL
13Hebburn TownHebburn Town1354418:23-519DLLDW
14Spalding UnitedSpalding United1353516:13+318DLLLW
15MarineMarine1351715:15016LDWWW
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1344512:16-416LDWLD
17AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1444614:20-616WDWLL
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1444617:26-916DLLWW
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1343619:18+115LWLDD
20Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1436515:19-415LLDDL
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1450916:24-815LWWWL
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831432917:25-811LWLDD
23SouthportSouthport1324713:23-1010DLLDL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1314812:27-157LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Oxford CityOxford City1325:827
2HerefordHereford1324:826
3South ShieldsSouth Shields1322:1826
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1218:1124
5ChesterChester1317:1323
6BuxtonBuxton1426:2323
7Bedford TownBedford Town1317:1622
8Hednesford TownHednesford Town1423:2021
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1422:2121
10MorecambeMorecambe1319:1220
11ChorleyChorley1323:2120
12Worksop TownWorksop Town1420:2020
13Hebburn TownHebburn Town1318:2319
14Spalding UnitedSpalding United1316:1318
15MarineMarine1315:1516
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1312:1616
17AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1414:2016
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1417:2616
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1319:1815
20Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1415:1915
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1416:2415
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831417:2511
23SouthportSouthport1313:2310
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1312:277
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About the Buxton vs Harborough Town forecast

The forecasts for this National League - North match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Buxton and Harborough Town in the National League - North table

In the National League - North table, Buxton are 6th and Harborough Town 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Buxton 26-23, Harborough Town 12-16. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Buxton and Harborough Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.