Caxias vs Maringá Prediction

Caxias
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Maringá
Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul 21/06/2026
CaxiasCaxias
1-1
Finished
MaringáMaringá

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel10%SurpriseHighGap+9.7%
Caxias Rest
8 days
Maringá Rest
5 days

Caxias vs Maringá: the result in context

Caxias and Maringá drew 1-1 in the Serie C on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.09
X
31%3.20
2
40%3.25
Double Chance
1X
60%1.26
X2
71%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.73
No
56%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.29
Over 2.5
38%1.95
Over 3.5
18%3.33
Under 1.5
37%3.20
Under 2.5
62%1.78
Under 3.5
82%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Lucas Bonifacio
15'Moises Egert
16'Matheus Nunes
27'Adeilson
30'Salatiel
34'Salatiel
34'Vitor Feijao
45+4'Mauricio Ribeiro
46'Lucas Bonifacio INAdeilson out
52'Edison Negueba
65'Roberto INGaspar out
65'Vitor Feijao INVictor Sa out
65'Matheus Nunes INMarcelo Freitas out
72'Giovane Gomez INGuilherme Pira out
73'Ravanelli INJoao Lucas out
81'Ronald Camarao INDanielzinho out
81'Caique Calito INBruno Cheron out
81'Salatiel INFelipe Rangel out
87'Jhow Alecxander
89'Edison Negueba INKeven out
90+3'

Team Comparison

CaxiasCaxias
MaringáMaringá
1485Elo Rating 1599
0.67Attack 1.32
1.87Defense 2.34
17%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

CaxiasCaxias
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MaringáMaringá
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CaxiasCaxias0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
MaringáMaringá1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie C30/08/2025
MaringáCaxias
30

Recent Form

CaxiasCaxias
4W3D3L
13/06/2026
Guarani CampinasCaxias
21
L
31/05/2026
CaxiasItuano
21
W
24/05/2026
MaranhãoCaxias
00
D
17/05/2026
CaxiasPaysandu
20
W
10/05/2026
BarraCaxias
00
D
03/05/2026
AmazonasCaxias
11
D
28/04/2026
CaxiasYpiranga-RS
21
W
18/04/2026
Volta RedondaCaxias
10
L
12/04/2026
CaxiasConfiança
10
W
04/04/2026
BrusqueCaxias
21
L
MaringáMaringá
4W2D4L
16/06/2026
MaringáMaranhão
00
D
30/05/2026
Botafogo PBMaringá
21
L
24/05/2026
MaringáSanta Cruz
11
D
16/05/2026
Ypiranga-RSMaringá
14
W
12/05/2026
MaringáGuarani Campinas
05
L
04/05/2026
MaringáAO Itabaiana
42
W
27/04/2026
ItuanoMaringá
41
L
21/04/2026
MaringáBrusque
23
L
14/04/2026
FigueirenseMaringá
13
W
05/04/2026
MaringáFerroviária
32
W

League Table

Serie C 2026

First stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB19103628:19+933LLLLW
2BrusqueBrusque1995528:22+632WDWWD
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1986522:15+730DWDDL
4MaringáMaringá1986532:30+230LWLLW
5FlorestaFloresta1986522:20+230DLWDD
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1986522:20+230LWDDW
7PaysanduPaysandu1992826:27-129WWWDD
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1985620:15+529WLLLD
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1985627:24+329DWDWW
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1977534:24+1028DLDLW
11FigueirenseFigueirense1977519:22-328WDWDW
12MaranhãoMaranhão1976619:18+127LWWWD
13AmazonasAmazonas1975721:23-226DDDWW
14CaxiasCaxias1967617:16+125DLLWL
15ItuanoItuano1964918:21-322LLLWL
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda19631013:25-1221LLWLL
17BarraBarra1956821:21021WLWLL
18AnápolisAnápolis19541017:22-519DWLWW
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana19451014:27-1317LLLLD
20ConfiançaConfiança19341211:20-913LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB1928:1933
2BrusqueBrusque1928:2232
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1922:1530
4MaringáMaringá1932:3030
5FlorestaFloresta1922:2030
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1922:2030
7PaysanduPaysandu1926:2729
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1920:1529
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1927:2429
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1934:2428
11FigueirenseFigueirense1919:2228
12MaranhãoMaranhão1919:1827
13AmazonasAmazonas1921:2326
14CaxiasCaxias1917:1625
15ItuanoItuano1918:2122
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda1913:2521
17BarraBarra1921:2121
18AnápolisAnápolis1917:2219
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1914:2717
20ConfiançaConfiança1911:2013

Second stage - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MaringáMaringá63216:2+411LWLLW
2Santa CruzSanta Cruz63215:3+211WLLLD
3FlorestaFloresta61233:6-35DLWDD
4Botafogo PBBotafogo PB61232:5-35LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1MaringáMaringá66:211
2Santa CruzSanta Cruz65:311
3FlorestaFloresta63:65
4Botafogo PBBotafogo PB62:55
PromotionRelegation

About the Caxias vs Maringá forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Caxias and Maringá in the Serie C table

In the Serie C table, Maringá are 4th and Caxias 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Caxias 17-16, Maringá 32-30. The full standings are on the Serie C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Caxias and Maringá have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.