CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma Prediction

Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalHIGHModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
CD Motagua Rest
20 days
Atlético Choloma Rest
21 days

CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma: the result in context

CD Motagua beat Atlético Choloma 2-1 in the Liga Nacional on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.21
X
18%5.60
2
10%10.57
Double Chance
1X
90%1.02
X2
28%3.64
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Alvarado
14'J. Moya
18'J. Quejada
20'H. Castillo
22'L. Vega
34'J. Moya
45+2'K. Alvarez
46'R. De Olivera INJ. Batiz out
46'L. Vega INJ. Portillo out
50'E. Florez INH. J. Nunez Ramirez out
61'D. Melendez INR. Gomez out
66'K. Alvarez INA. Fajardo out
66'V. Marinacci INP. Cacho out
70'C. Madrid
73'J. Canales
79'A. Reyes
88'O. Zamora INI. Arias out
90+1'J. Macias
90+5'J. Portillo

Team Comparison

CD MotaguaCD Motagua
Atlético CholomaAtlético Choloma
1627Elo Rating 1551
0.85Attack 1.79
2.64Defense 1.97
42%Hit Rate 66%

Game State Tendencies

CD MotaguaCD Motagua
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Atlético CholomaAtlético Choloma
  • No tendency data available

Recent Form

CD MotaguaCD Motagua
4W4D2L
20/09/2026
Real EspanaCD Motagua
10
L
17/09/2026
AlianzaCD Motagua
00
D
13/09/2026
CD MotaguaGénesis
10
W
10/09/2026
CD MotaguaAlianza
30
W
06/09/2026
Atletico IndependienteCD Motagua
00
D
30/08/2026
CD MotaguaOlancho
21
W
26/08/2026
MunicipalCD Motagua
11
D
22/08/2026
CD MotaguaLobos Upnfm
41
W
17/08/2026
CD OlimpiaCD Motagua
31
L
13/08/2026
CD MotaguaCS Cartagines
11
D
Atlético CholomaAtlético Choloma
2W1D5L
19/09/2026
Atlético CholomaEstrella Roja
20
W
13/09/2026
Lobos UpnfmAtlético Choloma
10
L
05/09/2026
Atlético CholomaOlancho
00
D
31/08/2026
Real EspanaAtlético Choloma
21
L
23/08/2026
Atlético CholomaPlatense FC
20
W
16/08/2026
Atlético CholomaCD Marathon
01
L
10/08/2026
Atletico IndependienteAtlético Choloma
21
L
01/08/2026
GénesisAtlético Choloma
20
L

League Table

Liga Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CD OlimpiaCD Olimpia1182123:8+1526WWWWL
2Real EspanaReal Espana1173119:9+1024WLWWD
3CD MarathonCD Marathon1164118:9+922DWDLW
4CD MotaguaCD Motagua1171317:9+822WWWLW
5Atlético CholomaAtlético Choloma1141612:12013WWLWL
6OlanchoOlancho1127211:11013DLDDD
7Estrella RojaEstrella Roja1134418:21-313DW
8Lobos UpnfmLobos Upnfm1133511:13-212LWDWW
9GénesisGénesis1132612:12011LLLDL
10Atletico IndependienteAtletico Independiente1125410:18-811DLDLW
11Platense FCPlatense FC1122711:25-148LLWLD
12JuticalpaJuticalpa1120910:25-156LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1CD OlimpiaCD Olimpia1123:826
2Real EspanaReal Espana1119:924
3CD MarathonCD Marathon1118:922
4CD MotaguaCD Motagua1117:922
5Atlético CholomaAtlético Choloma1112:1213
6OlanchoOlancho1111:1113
7Estrella RojaEstrella Roja1118:2113
8Lobos UpnfmLobos Upnfm1111:1312
9GénesisGénesis1112:1211
10Atletico IndependienteAtletico Independiente1110:1811
11Platense FCPlatense FC1111:258
12JuticalpaJuticalpa1110:256

About the CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CD Motagua and Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional table

CD Motagua and Atlético Choloma are close in the Liga Nacional table, 4th and 5th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: CD Motagua 17-9, Atlético Choloma 12-12. The full standings are on the Liga Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CD Motagua and Atlético Choloma have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.