Chaves vs Academica Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Chaves vs Academica: the result in context
Academica beat Chaves 4-1 in the Segunda Liga on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Chaves have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee Fabio Melo averages 6.35 cards a game, 0.75 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Chaves
88M. Gudžulić
23L. Alaba
33T. Simões
4B. Rodrigues
3A. Romero
20Ktatau
6B. Eboudjé
10A. Rodrigues
7R. Esajas
17Roberto
30Costinha
98C. Alves
11E. Farias
3R. Teixeira
54Ni
15Kaka
20J. Sinisterra
5L. Silva
17M. Paulo Gomes
19A. Rodrigues
7A. ManeChaves Substitutes
Academica Substitutes
Match Stats
ChavesAcademica Team Comparison
ChavesAcademicaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Chaves- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Academica- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Chaves3Wins · 75%1Wins · 25%Previous meetings
23/04/2022ChavesAcademica12/12/2021AcademicaChaves24/04/2021AcademicaChaves27/12/2020ChavesAcademicaRecent Form
Chaves
GuimaraesChavesChaves
Guimaraes BChaves
Amarante
VizelaChavesChaves
Fafe
AVSChaves
MaritimoChavesChaves
Leixoes
PortimonenseChavesChaves
OliveirenseAcademica
CaldasAcademica
União SantarémAcademica
FC Porto BAcademica
TondelaAcademicaGuimaraesAcademica
TorreenseAcademicaAcademica
Trofense
MafraAcademicaAcademica
VarzimUnião SantarémAcademicaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
6.35 cards a match, 0.75 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.60).
Cards come from 57 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 17 | DWWWD |
| 3 | Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 14 | WWDLD |
| 5 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | DWWLL |
| 6 |  Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | LLDWW |
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 10 | LDWWW |
| 10 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 | LLDWW |
| 11 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 | WDLWD |
| 13 | Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 | WDLLW |
| 15 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 | LDLWD |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Academica | 8 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Farense | 7 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 8 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Penafiel | 7 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 8 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 8 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 8 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Chaves | 8 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 7 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense | 7 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Amarante | 7 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 2:10 | 2 |
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This match
About the Chaves vs Academica forecast
The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chaves and Academica in the Segunda Liga table
In the Segunda Liga table, Academica are 3rd and Chaves 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Chaves 8-15, Academica 14-10. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Chaves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.