Chester vs Bedford Town Prediction

Chester
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bedford Town
Deva Stadium, Chester 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-9.9%
Chester Rest
7 days
Bedford Town Rest
3 days

Chester vs Bedford Town: the result in context

Chester beat Bedford Town 1-0 in the National League - North on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.55
X
24%4.00
2
23%4.90
Double Chance
1X
77%1.12
X2
47%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.71
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.33 = 2.91
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
22%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

89'K. Moore

Team Comparison

ChesterChester
Bedford TownBedford Town
1568Elo Rating 1565
1.64Attack 1.19
1.11Defense 2.19
54%Hit Rate 41%
-Shots per Game 6.9
-Shots on Target 2.1
-Corners per Game 4.5
-Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChesterChester
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Bedford TownBedford Town
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ChesterChester1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Bedford TownBedford Town1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

National League - North07/02/2026
Bedford TownChester
12
National League - North25/10/2025
ChesterBedford Town
12

Recent Form

ChesterChester
4W2D4L
03/10/2026
Spennymoor TownChester
41
L
26/09/2026
ChesterWorksop Town
41
W
19/09/2026
Lower BreckChester
12
W
12/09/2026
BuxtonChester
31
L
08/09/2026
ChesterMerthyr Town
01
L
05/09/2026
Hebburn TownChester
11
D
31/08/2026
ChesterMorecambe
01
L
29/08/2026
HerefordChester
11
D
22/08/2026
ChesterSpalding United
10
W
18/08/2026
Darlington 1883Chester
01
W
Bedford TownBedford Town
6W2D2L
06/10/2026
Wingate & FinchleyBedford Town
13
W
03/10/2026
Bedford TownWingate & Finchley
22
D
26/09/2026
Bedford TownHereford
11
D
19/09/2026
Bedford TownKing's Lynn Town
21
W
12/09/2026
Spalding UnitedBedford Town
21
L
08/09/2026
Worksop TownBedford Town
12
W
05/09/2026
Bedford TownRadcliffe
10
W
31/08/2026
AFC Telford UnitedBedford Town
01
W
29/08/2026
Bedford TownSpennymoor Town
31
W
22/08/2026
SouthportBedford Town
41
L

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HerefordHereford1282224:7+1726WLDWW
2Oxford CityOxford City1273222:8+1424DWDWL
3MacclesfieldMacclesfield1273218:11+724LWWDD
4South ShieldsSouth Shields1272321:18+323WLLWL
5King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1363422:16+621DDWWW
6Hednesford TownHednesford Town1363423:19+421WWWWL
7ChesterChester1262415:12+320LWWLL
8BuxtonBuxton1362523:23020WDLLW
9Bedford TownBedford Town1261516:16019WLDLW
10Hebburn TownHebburn Town1354418:23-519DLLDW
11MorecambeMorecambe1252518:12+617WLDWL
12Spalding UnitedSpalding United1252514:11+317LLLWW
13ChorleyChorley1252520:21-117LWWLW
14Worksop TownWorksop Town1352615:20-517DDWLW
15MarineMarine1251614:13+116DWWWL
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1244412:13-116DWLDL
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1343619:18+115LWLDD
18Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1336415:16-115LDDLD
19RadcliffeRadcliffe1350816:21-515WWWLL
20Brackley TownBrackley Town1343615:24-915LLWWD
21AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1334613:20-713DWLLD
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831332817:24-711WLDDL
23SouthportSouthport1324713:23-1010DLLDL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1214712:26-147LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1HerefordHereford1224:726
2Oxford CityOxford City1222:824
3MacclesfieldMacclesfield1218:1124
4South ShieldsSouth Shields1221:1823
5King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1322:1621
6Hednesford TownHednesford Town1323:1921
7ChesterChester1215:1220
8BuxtonBuxton1323:2320
9Bedford TownBedford Town1216:1619
10Hebburn TownHebburn Town1318:2319
11MorecambeMorecambe1218:1217
12Spalding UnitedSpalding United1214:1117
13ChorleyChorley1220:2117
14Worksop TownWorksop Town1315:2017
15MarineMarine1214:1316
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1212:1316
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1319:1815
18Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1315:1615
19RadcliffeRadcliffe1316:2115
20Brackley TownBrackley Town1315:2415
21AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1313:2013
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831317:2411
23SouthportSouthport1313:2310
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1212:267
PromotionRelegation

About the Chester vs Bedford Town forecast

The forecasts for this National League - North match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chester and Bedford Town in the National League - North table

Chester and Bedford Town are close in the National League - North table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Chester 15-12, Bedford Town 16-16. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chester and Bedford Town have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.