Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Prediction

Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción·Juan Gabriel Benitez 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Club Guarani Rest
8 days
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Rest
5 days

Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: the result in context

Club Guarani and Club Sp. San Lorenzo drew 1-1 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 3 Oct 2026. Club Guarani had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Juan Gabriel Benitez averages 4.22 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.44
X
22%4.00
2
12%6.69
Double Chance
1X
88%1.09
X2
34%2.60
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Carlos Daniel Meza MontielFoul
5'Cristian Leandro AllendeDissent
11'L. Martínez
29'Hugo GonzálezFoul
45'Carlos Daniel Meza Montiel INI Fretes out
45'Hugo González INÁngel Benítez out
46'Franco AragónFoul
50'Alex Junior Álvarez RojasFoul
56'Franco Aragón
62'Juan Manuel García INFernando Fernandez out
62'Carlos Arrua INP. Coronel out
62'Diego·Fernandez INGiovanni Emanuel Gómez Lezcano out
62'Alex Junior Álvarez Rojas INK. Fernández out
66'Luis CáceresFoul
68'Santiago Salcedo INCristian Colmán out
74'Armando Méndez INR. Rodríguez out
79'J. Llano INJorge Recalde out
79'Gastón Gerzel INJuan Jesús Salcedo Zárate out

Lineups

Club Guarani
4-1-4-1Coach: F. Arce
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4-4-2Coach: S. Orteman
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.65
M. Martínez6.331M. Martínez
A. Méndez6.84A. Méndez
I. Segovia6.22I. Segovia
T. Servín7.215T. Servín
L. Allende6.033L. Allende
L. Martínez8.036L. Martínez
M. Maldonado6.734M. Maldonado
C. Arrúa6.521C. Arrúa
F. Llano6.629F. Llano
D. Fernández6.526D. Fernández
J. García6.211J. García
W. Quiñónez6.812W. Quiñónez
L. Esteche6.72L. Esteche
Luis Fernando Cáceres Maciel6.719L. Fernando Cáceres Maciel
A. Doldán6.94A. Doldán
D. Meza Montiel5.820D. Meza Montiel
P. Gerzel6.428P. Gerzel
F. Aragón8.232F. Aragón
H. Gonzalez6.021H. Gonzalez
A. Álvarez6.118A. Álvarez
M. Ferreira6.423M. Ferreira
S. Salcedo6.27S. Salcedo

Club Guarani Substitutes

38P. Corone62'for Carlos Arrua6.1
17V. Céspedes
12G. Dionisi
40F. Fernández62'for Juan Manuel García6.4
25G. Gómez62'for Diego·Fernandez5.9
23M. Jacquet
20R. Quinonez
9J. Recalde79'for J. Llano6.9
14R. Rodríguez74'for Armando Méndez6.3
39C. Rolón
18T. Romero
10M. Añasco

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Substitutes

13Isaias Fretes45'for Carlos Daniel Meza Montiel6.8
31L. Franco
25K. Fernández62'replaced by Alex Junior Álvarez Rojas
26Amin Duarte Gonzalez Jose
35C. Colmán68'for Santiago Salcedo6.9
16Á. Benítez45'for Hugo González7.0
9J. Barrios
5T. Paredes
15B. Piñatares
14J. Salcedo79'for Gastón Gerzel6.4
6H. Villamayor
38Iovan Darko Roganovich

Match Stats

Club GuaraniClub Sp. San Lorenzo
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards5
12Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal14
6Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
510Total Passes396
410Passes Accurate313
9Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Club GuaraniClub Guarani
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
1525Elo Rating 1378
0.96Attack 1.36
1.81Defense 1.37
31%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 12.7
4.2Shots on Target 3.5
6.6Corners per Game 4.3
2.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club GuaraniClub Guarani
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Club GuaraniClub Guarani2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura30/07/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Guarani
01
Division Profesional - Apertura11/04/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Guarani
10
Division Profesional - Apertura13/02/2026
Club GuaraniClub Sp. San Lorenzo
31

Recent Form

Club GuaraniClub Guarani
3W5D2L
25/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoClub Guarani
01
W
18/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseClub Guarani
01
W
12/09/2026
Club GuaraniCerro Porteno
11
D
07/09/2026
Club GuaraniDeportivo Recoleta
20
W
02/09/2026
OlimpiaClub Guarani
11
D
30/08/2026
Club GuaraniSportivo Ameliano
11
D
25/08/2026
2 de MayoClub Guarani
00
D
15/08/2026
Club GuaraniRubio NU
23
L
12/08/2026
Sportivo ItenoClub Guarani
21
L
09/08/2026
Nacional AsuncionClub Guarani
00
D
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
2W1D7L
28/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
00
D
23/09/2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo4 de Mayo
21
W
20/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoOlimpia
03
L
11/09/2026
Sportivo AmelianoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
L
05/09/2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2 de Mayo
12
L
01/09/2026
Rubio NUClub Sp. San Lorenzo
31
L
28/08/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoNacional Asuncion
03
L
24/08/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
L
16/08/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
L
12/08/2026
29 de SetiembreClub Sp. San Lorenzo
2141
W

Referee Profile

Juan Gabriel Benitez164 matches

4.22Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Gabriel Benitez4.22
Other referees4.74

4.22 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.74).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia1593325:10+1530WDDWW
2Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
3Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1584317:16+128LWWDL
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1563620:16+421DWLLW
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1547417:18-119DLLDD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211WLLDL
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1504117:26-194LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1525:1030
2Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
3Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1517:1628
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1520:1621
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1517:1819
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1515:2711
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo157:264
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About the Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo forecast

The forecasts for this Division Profesional - Clausura match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club Guarani and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Club Guarani are 6th and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 12th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Club Guarani 18-14, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 7-26. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.