Correcaminos Uat vs Tepatitlán Prediction

01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Correcaminos Uat Rest
7 days
Tepatitlán Rest
7 days

Correcaminos Uat vs Tepatitlán: the result in context

Correcaminos Uat beat Tepatitlán 3-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 1 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Tepatitlán had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Correcaminos Uat.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.33
X
28%3.10
2
43%2.90
Double Chance
1X
57%1.36
X2
71%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.31
Over 2.5
38%2.00
Over 3.5
18%3.56
Under 1.5
36%3.04
Under 2.5
62%1.70
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'S. Rodriguez
45+1'T. Arevalo
58'D. Torres INB. Mendoza out
65'S. Gonzalez INH. Avila out
66'T. Arevalo
67'W. Ortega INJ. Estopier out
67'N. Gomez Del Rosal INJ. Cantu out
75'M. Lopez INE. Martinez out
76'E. Torres
78'S. Castaneda
83'B. MendozaAssist: O. Islas
88'O. Perez INA. Catalan out
88'A. Di Pippa ING. Moreno out
89'E. Ortega
90'A. RuizAssist: B. Mendoza
90+2'B. MendozaAssist: J. Cantu

Team Comparison

Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
TepatitlánTepatitlán
1434Elo Rating 1409
0.81Attack 0.78
1.58Defense 0.15
17%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TepatitlánTepatitlán
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
TepatitlánTepatitlán5Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX07/02/2026
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
21
Liga de Expansión MX30/08/2025
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
14
Liga de Expansión MX07/03/2025
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
21
Liga de Expansión MX21/09/2024
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
60
Liga de Expansión MX07/03/2024
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
20
Liga de Expansión MX14/09/2023
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
21
Liga de Expansión MX15/03/2023
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
21
Liga de Expansión MX20/08/2022
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
30
Liga de Expansión MX14/01/2022
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
11
Liga de Expansión MX05/08/2021
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
21

Recent Form

Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
2W2D6L
25/07/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos Uat
33
D
04/07/2026
Correcaminos UatGuadalajara Chivas
00
D
01/07/2026
Correcaminos UatNecaxa
36
L
18/04/2026
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
13
L
13/04/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos Uat
31
L
04/04/2026
Correcaminos UatCancún
13
L
29/03/2026
DoradosCorrecaminos Uat
21
L
19/03/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos Uat
31
L
14/03/2026
Correcaminos UatIrapuato
21
W
07/03/2026
Venados FCCorrecaminos Uat
01
W
TepatitlánTepatitlán
4W4D2L
25/07/2026
TepatitlánDurango
01
L
31/05/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoTepatitlán
3240
W
24/05/2026
TepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
31
W
17/05/2026
TepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
10
W
10/05/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoTepatitlán
00
D
04/05/2026
TepatitlánMineros de Zacatecas
11
D
01/05/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
11
D
27/04/2026
TepatitlánAtlante FC
20
W
24/04/2026
Atlante FCTepatitlán
20
L
11/04/2026
CA La PazTepatitlán
11
D

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
4Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
5MonarcasMonarcas1372423:15+823LDDLW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1352623:25-217LWLLW
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3PiratasPiratas1426:1424
4Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
5MonarcasMonarcas1323:1523
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1323:2517
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
Promotion

About the Correcaminos Uat vs Tepatitlán forecast

The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Correcaminos Uat and Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Correcaminos Uat are 12th and Tepatitlán 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Correcaminos Uat 21-24, Tepatitlán 10-41. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.