CSKA Moscow vs Baltika Prediction

CSKA Moscow
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Baltika
VEB Arena, Moscow·Ivan Abrosimov, Russia 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
CSKA Moscow Rest
6 days
Baltika Rest
5 days

CSKA Moscow vs Baltika: the result in context

CSKA Moscow beat Baltika 2-1 in the Premier League on 24 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Baltika had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for CSKA Moscow.

CSKA Moscow have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.06
X
40%3.29
2
26%3.90
Double Chance
1X
75%1.27
X2
66%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.92
No
44%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.24 = 2.74
Over 1.5
78%1.36
Over 2.5
53%2.21
Over 3.5
29%3.87
Under 1.5
22%2.95
Under 2.5
47%1.70
Under 3.5
71%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.48
Over 9.5
48%1.83
Over 10.5
38%2.34
Under 8.5
39%2.41
Under 9.5
52%1.86
Under 10.5
62%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
32%1.70
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
68%2.02

Match Events

1'C. OfforAssist: N. Gassama
27'Goal Disallowed - video reviewD. Kozlov
33'E. AndersonOG
36'K. GlebovAssist: D. Krugovoy
46'I. Petrov INV. Pospelov out
46'F. Moufi INE. Civic out
54'Goal Disallowed - video reviewC. Offor
64'A. Mendel
69'M. Petrov INT. Yenne out
69'A. Mendel INI. Belikov out
76'L. Gondou INT. Musaev out
76'K. Glebov INHenrique Carmo out
77'C. Offor IND. Nikitin out
84'M. Popovic INI. Firov out
90+6'Joao Victor

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
4-3-3Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Baltika
5-4-1Coach: Andrey Talalaev
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating6.48
Vladislav Torop6.949V. Torop
Danil Krugovoy6.93D. Krugovoy
João Victor7.94J. Victor
Kirill Danilov6.779K. Danilov
Moisés6.227Moisés
Ivan OblyakovC7.210I. Oblyakov
Matvey Kislyak7.331M. Kislyak
Danila Kozlov6.218D. Kozlov
Matija Popović6.720M. Popović
Luciano Gondou6.632L. Gondou
Kirill Glebov8.217K. Glebov
Maksim Borisko6.367M. Borisko
Fahd Moufi6.218F. Moufi
Sergey Varatynov6.32S. Varatynov
Eduardo Anderson6.621E. Anderson
Nathan Gassama7.54N. Gassama
Mingiyan Beveev6.222M. Beveev
Maksim Petrov6.573M. Petrov
Andrey MendelC6.28A. Mendel
Ilya Petrov6.710I. Petrov
Nikolay Titkov6.711N. Titkov
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor6.99N. Chinonso Offor

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

85Egor Besaev
99Nikolay Barovskiy
22Milan Gajić
23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
90Matvey Lukin
2Matheus Reis
37Henrique Carmo76'for K. Glebov6.9
52Artem Bandikyan
7Matheus Alves
11Tamerlan Musaev76'for L. Gondou6.3
62Imran Firov84'for M. Popovic6.3

Baltika Substitutes

77Eldar Ćivić46'for F. Moufi6.6
42Vladislav Pospelov46'for I. Petrov6.2
81Ivan Kukushkin
44Egor Lyubakov
3Ilya Kirsch
68Mikhail Ryadno
19Maksim Shnaptsev
5Aymane Mourid
26Ivan Belikov69'for A. Mendel6.3
91Brayan Gil
15Tenton Yenne69'for M. Petrov6.2
40Dmitriy Nikitin77'for C. Offor6.3

Match Stats

CSKA MoscowBaltika
65%Ball Possession35%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box5
9Blocked Shots3
11Fouls17
2Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
548Total Passes290
454Passes Accurate190
83%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
BaltikaBaltika
1634Elo Rating 1573
2.41Attack 1.07
1.88Defense 2.22
59%Hit Rate 23%
13.8Shots per Game 10.2
5.4Shots on Target 2.5
4.9Corners per Game 5.5
1.5Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BaltikaBaltika
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
BaltikaBaltika2Wins · 25%
1.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Premier League14/03/2026
BaltikaCSKA Moscow
10
Premier League28/09/2025
CSKA MoscowBaltika
10
Cup18/09/2025
CSKA MoscowBaltika
91101
Cup27/08/2025
BaltikaCSKA Moscow
02
Premier League28/04/2024
BaltikaCSKA Moscow
31
Cup16/04/2024
CSKA MoscowBaltika
20
Cup03/04/2024
BaltikaCSKA Moscow
01
Premier League30/09/2023
CSKA MoscowBaltika
10

Recent Form

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
2W3D5L
18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
L
14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
L
11/07/2026
FC OrenburgCSKA Moscow
20
L
04/07/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
11
D
30/06/2026
CSKA MoscowShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
W
11/05/2026
Nizhny NovgorodCSKA Moscow
12
W
06/05/2026
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
L
02/05/2026
CSKA MoscowZenit
13
L
25/04/2026
RubinCSKA Moscow
00
D
BaltikaBaltika
2W4D4L
19/07/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
11
D
26/06/2026
AkronBaltika
01
W
26/06/2026
BaltikaVolga Ulyanovsk
30
W
17/05/2026
BaltikaDynamo
12
L
10/05/2026
LokomotivBaltika
10
L
02/05/2026
BaltikaRubin
01
L
27/04/2026
BaltikaAkron
01
L
23/04/2026
AkhmatBaltika
11
D
19/04/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
22
D
11/04/2026
BaltikaNizhny Novgorod
22
D

Referee Profile

Ivan Abrosimov75 matches

4.35Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ivan Abrosimov4.35
Other referees4.59

4.35 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the CSKA Moscow vs Baltika forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Moscow and Baltika in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, CSKA Moscow are 4th and Baltika 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA Moscow 19-12, Baltika 14-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.