Cumbayá vs El Nacional Prediction

Cumbayá
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
El Nacional
22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Cumbayá Rest
7 days
El Nacional Rest
5 days

Cumbayá vs El Nacional: result, form and history

Cumbayá beat El Nacional 2-1 in the Liga Pro Serie B on 22 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cumbayá had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for El Nacional.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.44
X
20%4.20
2
16%5.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.11
X2
37%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.96 = 2.92
Over 1.5
80%1.13
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
37%2.33
Under 1.5
20%4.55
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'
39'
57'

Team Comparison

CumbayáCumbayá
El NacionalEl Nacional
1447Elo Rating 1332
1.99Attack 1.80
1.99Defense 1.13
42%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CumbayáCumbayá
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
El NacionalEl Nacional
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CumbayáCumbayá5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
El NacionalEl Nacional2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro Serie B26/09/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
03
Liga Pro Serie B08/07/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
01
Liga Pro Serie B24/04/2026
CumbayáEl Nacional
21
Liga Pro15/09/2024
El NacionalCumbayá
21
Liga Pro30/03/2024
CumbayáEl Nacional
10
Liga Pro26/08/2023
El NacionalCumbayá
22
Liga Pro02/04/2023
CumbayáEl Nacional
20
Liga Pro Serie B25/08/2021
CumbayáEl Nacional
00
Liga Pro Serie B12/07/2021
El NacionalCumbayá
21
Liga Pro Serie B07/06/2021
CumbayáEl Nacional
11

Recent Form

CumbayáCumbayá
3W3D4L
15/10/2026
Cumbayá22 de Julio
71
W
10/10/2026
Gualaceo SCCumbayá
11
D
01/10/2026
CumbayáSanto Domingo
03
L
26/09/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
03
W
17/09/2026
22 de JulioCumbayá
17
W
10/09/2026
CumbayáGualaceo SC
01
L
04/09/2026
Santo DomingoCumbayá
21
L
26/08/2026
CumbayáLDU Portoviejo
00
D
20/08/2026
Atletico FCCumbayá
30
L
13/08/2026
CumbayáSanto Domingo
33
D
El NacionalEl Nacional
2W1D7L
17/10/2026
El NacionalSanto Domingo
12
L
07/10/2026
22 de JulioEl Nacional
25
W
03/10/2026
LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional
32
L
26/09/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
03
L
18/09/2026
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
10
L
12/09/2026
El Nacional22 de Julio
30
W
05/09/2026
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
02
L
29/08/2026
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
30
L
20/08/2026
Ind. JuniorsEl Nacional
11
D
13/08/2026
El NacionalSan Antonio
01
L

League Table

Liga Pro Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors22109328:16+1239DDWWW
2Atletico FCAtletico FC22911225:14+1138WDLWD
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre22910322:14+837DDLDW
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2297620:23-334LWLDD
5CuniburoCuniburo2287725:17+831DDWLL
6San AntonioSan Antonio22710524:21+331DWWWD
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2278719:16+329WDLLD
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo22610617:16+128DDWDL
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2276917:22-527WDDLW
10CumbayáCumbayá22511622:22026LDDDD
1122 de Julio22 de Julio22431510:31-2115LLLLL
12El NacionalEl Nacional22261415:32-1712DLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors2228:1639
2Atletico FCAtletico FC2225:1438
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre2222:1437
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2220:2334
5CuniburoCuniburo2225:1731
6San AntonioSan Antonio2224:2131
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2219:1629
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo2217:1628
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2217:2227
10CumbayáCumbayá2222:2226
1122 de Julio22 de Julio2210:3115
12El NacionalEl Nacional2215:3212

About the Cumbayá vs El Nacional forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cumbayá and El Nacional in the Liga Pro Serie B table

Cumbayá and El Nacional are close in the Liga Pro Serie B table, 10th and 12th, with 14 points between them. League goal record so far: Cumbayá 22-22, El Nacional 15-32. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cumbayá have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.