Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron Prediction

Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseHighGap+11.3%
Defensores De Belgrano Rest
13 days
Deportivo Moron Rest
13 days

Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron: result, form and history

Defensores De Belgrano beat Deportivo Moron 2-1 in the Primera Nacional on 4 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Deportivo Moron had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Defensores De Belgrano.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%2.70
X
34%2.70
2
41%3.00
Double Chance
1X
60%1.33
X2
75%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.40
No
62%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.89 + 1.05 = 1.94
Over 1.5
55%1.70
Over 2.5
29%3.15
Over 3.5
14%6.30
Under 1.5
45%2.03
Under 2.5
71%1.30
Under 3.5
86%1.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'F. VazquezAssist: M. Bittolo
38'J. Olivares
46'M. Bittolo INL. Cardozo out
56'N. Borsotti INP. Moyano out
60'E. Aguirre
64'J. Livera
68'P. MoyanoAssist: B. Gomez
69'P. Moyano
70'S. Kubiszyn INM. Benitez out
70'G. Berterame INJ. Esquivel out
75'J. Livera INJ. Zappacosta out
80'E. Aguirre ING. Gamarra out
85'J. Ardaiz INA. I. Acosta D. out
88'M. Gonzalez

Lineups

Defensores De Belgrano
4-2-3-1Coach: César Vigevani
Deportivo Moron
4-3-1-2Coach: Walter Otta
A. Medina1A. Medina
J. De Tomasso2J. De Tomasso
N. Borsotti8N. Borsotti
E. Aguirre7E. Aguirre
L. Landriel10L. Landriel
J. Ardaiz9J. Ardaiz
F. Díaz1F. Díaz
B. Salvareschi2B. Salvareschi
F. Vázquez6F. Vázquez
M. Bíttolo11M. Bíttolo
J. Olivares10J. Olivares
G. Berterame7G. Berterame
F. Fagundez9F. Fagundez

Defensores De Belgrano Substitutes

17P. Moyano56'for N. Borsotti68'69'
19L. Ciccolini
18D. García
20F. Tcherkaski
12N. Nocetti

Deportivo Moron Substitutes

18J. Esquivel70'for G. Berterame
15E. Iñíguez
14F. Flores
19M. Benítez70'replaced by S. Kubiszyn

Team Comparison

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
1493Elo Rating 1585
0.53Attack 0.70
1.76Defense 1.19
14%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron5Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional14/02/2026
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
11
Primera Nacional05/08/2025
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Moron
00
Primera Nacional30/03/2025
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
10
Primera Nacional07/07/2024
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Moron
00
Primera Nacional18/02/2024
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
04
Primera Nacional04/09/2023
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
32
Primera Nacional24/04/2023
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Moron
01
Primera Nacional25/02/2022
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
11
Primera Nacional23/10/2021
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
30
Primera Nacional29/06/2021
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Moron
02

Recent Form

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
1W3D6L
21/06/2026
Defensores De BelgranoAll Boys
01
L
13/06/2026
Defensores De BelgranoColon Santa Fe
03
L
06/06/2026
San MiguelDefensores De Belgrano
00
D
30/05/2026
Defensores De BelgranoSan Telmo
10
W
24/05/2026
AcassusoDefensores De Belgrano
10
L
18/05/2026
Defensores De BelgranoChaco For Ever
00
D
12/05/2026
Ferro Carril OesteDefensores De Belgrano
21
L
02/05/2026
Defensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
11
D
26/04/2026
Deportivo MadrynDefensores De Belgrano
21
L
20/04/2026
Racing CordobaDefensores De Belgrano
30
L
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
5W2D3L
21/06/2026
Ferro Carril OesteDeportivo Moron
10
L
13/06/2026
Ciudad de BolívarDeportivo Moron
12
W
07/06/2026
Deportivo MoronAlmirante Brown
10
W
31/05/2026
Atletico MitreDeportivo Moron
13
W
24/05/2026
Deportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
20
W
19/05/2026
All BoysDeportivo Moron
10
L
09/05/2026
Deportivo MoronLos Andes
00
D
03/05/2026
Godoy CruzDeportivo Moron
22
D
26/04/2026
Deportivo MoronRacing Cordoba
21
W
23/04/2026
Deportivo MoronMidland
12
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste34198738:28+1065WDLWW
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz34179848:32+1660WDWDW
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron341771051:36+1558LLWLL
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn341412847:30+1754DLWDW
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe341412841:27+1454DDWDW
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar341312930:29+151WWWWL
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3412121028:24+448DDLLL
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes341391234:33+148LWLWW
9Los AndesLos Andes349141126:25+141DLLWL
10Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3410101433:36-340LWDLW
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3410101430:40-1040LWDDL
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre348151131:39-839WDWLL
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano348141225:32-738DLDLW
14San TelmoSan Telmo349111428:37-938DLWWL
15Central NorteCentral Norte347161123:31-837WDDDL
16All BoysAll Boys346171119:29-1035DDLDD
17AcassusoAcassuso34891725:35-1033DWLWW
18San MiguelSan Miguel346141427:41-1432LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste3438:2865
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz3448:3260
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron3451:3658
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn3447:3054
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe3441:2754
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3430:2951
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3428:2448
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes3434:3348
9Los AndesLos Andes3426:2541
10Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3433:3640
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3430:4040
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre3431:3939
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano3425:3238
14San TelmoSan Telmo3428:3738
15Central NorteCentral Norte3423:3137
16All BoysAll Boys3419:2935
17AcassusoAcassuso3425:3533
18San MiguelSan Miguel3427:4132
PromotionRelegation

About the Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensores De Belgrano and Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd and Defensores De Belgrano 13th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Defensores De Belgrano 25-32, Deportivo Moron 51-36. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.