Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina Prediction

Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros, Rincon de Los Sauces 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Deportivo Rincon Rest
7 days
Santamarina Rest
7 days

Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina: the result in context

Deportivo Rincon beat Santamarina 3-0 in the Torneo Federal A on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.30
X
22%4.05
2
9%10.71
Double Chance
1X
90%1.03
X2
31%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%3.08
No
69%1.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 0.62 = 2.24
Over 1.5
64%1.44
Over 2.5
39%2.30
Over 3.5
20%4.50
Under 1.5
36%2.55
Under 2.5
61%1.51
Under 3.5
80%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'C. Avila
73'C. Valvuena
85'V. QuinterosOG

Lineups

Deportivo Rincon
Coach: Pablo Castro
Santamarina

Deportivo Rincon Starting XI

1A. Sanchez
4C. Valvuena73'
2R. Herrera
6J. Albertinazzi
3L. Punet
8J. I. Achetoni
5D. Carrasco
10C. Avila41'
11G. Portino
7H. Rueda
9M. Dominguez

Santamarina Starting XI

1U. Moris
4R. Di Carlo
2N. Romat
6L. Dominguez
3V. Quinteros85'
8A. Devesa
5N. Igartua
10D. Sosa
11T. Ferrari
7B. San Martin
9M. Ijurco

Deportivo Rincon Substitutes

Santamarina Substitutes

Team Comparison

Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
SantamarinaSantamarina
1477Elo Rating 1369
0.99Attack 0.56
1.93Defense 1.00
19%Hit Rate 17%
10.1Shots per Game 6.5
4.1Shots on Target 2.6
3.8Corners per Game 4.2
2.1Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
SantamarinaSantamarina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SantamarinaSantamarina2Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A08/06/2025
Deportivo RinconSantamarina
20
Torneo Federal A06/04/2025
SantamarinaDeportivo Rincon
10
Torneo Federal A30/06/2024
SantamarinaDeportivo Rincon
32
Torneo Federal A04/05/2024
Deportivo RinconSantamarina
10

Recent Form

Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
4W3D3L
13/09/2026
Fundacion AmigosDeportivo Rincon
10
L
06/09/2026
Deportivo RinconCosta Brava
11
D
30/08/2026
Germinal de RawsonDeportivo Rincon
00
D
23/08/2026
Deportivo RinconJuventud Unida Univ.
10
W
16/08/2026
San Martín MendozaDeportivo Rincon
10
L
12/08/2026
Deportivo RinconCirculo Deportivo
00
D
08/08/2026
Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
24
W
02/08/2026
Deportivo RinconGuillermo Brown
20
W
25/07/2026
Costa BravaDeportivo Rincon
01
W
12/07/2026
Deportivo RinconHuracan Las Heras
01
L
SantamarinaSantamarina
2W1D7L
13/09/2026
SantamarinaCosta Brava
13
L
06/09/2026
Juventud Unida Univ.Santamarina
10
L
30/08/2026
SantamarinaCirculo Deportivo
21
W
23/08/2026
Guillermo BrownSantamarina
10
L
17/08/2026
SantamarinaFundacion Amigos
20
W
12/08/2026
Germinal de RawsonSantamarina
51
L
08/08/2026
SantamarinaSan Martín Mendoza
01
L
02/08/2026
Sol de MayoSantamarina
10
L
26/07/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaSantamarina
20
L
11/07/2026
SantamarinaAlvarado
00
D

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina forecast

The forecasts for this Torneo Federal A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Rincon and Santamarina in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, Deportivo Rincon are 22nd and Santamarina 36th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Rincon 13-16, Santamarina 9-17. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.