Diyala vs Al-Karma Prediction

Diyala
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Al-Karma
Diyala Stadium, Baqubah 03/09/2026
DiyalaDiyala
1-2
Finished
Al-KarmaAl-Karma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.69
SignalGOODModel28%RiskHighGap+10.7%
Diyala Rest
5 days
Al-Karma Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%4.28
X
34%3.36
2
39%1.72
Double Chance
1X
61%1.92
X2
73%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.88
No
54%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.97 + 1.17 = 2.14
Over 1.5
63%1.30
Over 2.5
35%1.99
Over 3.5
16%3.38
Under 1.5
37%2.97
Under 2.5
65%1.69
Under 3.5
84%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'M. HamdiAssist: S. Jasim
66'A. Faisal
84'Z. Jabbar

Team Comparison

DiyalaDiyala
Al-KarmaAl-Karma
1461Elo Rating 1620
1.78Attack 2.09
1.10Defense 2.39
27%Hit Rate 86%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend27% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

DiyalaDiyala
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Al-KarmaAl-Karma
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Diyala 0%Draw 69%31% Al-Karma
0.85Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

DiyalaDiyala
2W2D1L
29/08/2026
DiyalaAl-Jolan SC
33
D
25/08/2026
ZakhoDiyala
22
D
21/08/2026
MosulDiyala
21
L
15/08/2026
DiyalaAl Talaba
21
W
01/06/2026
DiyalaDuhok
10
W
Al-KarmaAl-Karma
2W3D0L
30/08/2026
Al-KarmaKarbala
20
W
26/08/2026
Al KahrabaaAl-Karma
11
D
21/08/2026
Al-KarmaAl Shorta
21
W
15/08/2026
Al-KarmaMosul
11
D
02/06/2026
Al KahrabaaAl-Karma
00
D

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a853015:3+1218WWWDW
2ErbilErbil852112:3+917WLWDW
3Al-KarmaAl-Karma752013:5+817WWWWD
4NewrozNewroz843113:4+915DWWWD
5NaftNaft84319:5+415WWLWD
6Al ShortaAl Shorta73317:4+312DWDWW
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC82428:9-110DLDWD
8DuhokDuhok816111:1109DLDWD
9DiyalaDiyala823313:14-19DWLLD
10Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra82338:10-29DLDLL
11ZakhoZakho72327:10-39WDDLD
12Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya815211:12-18DLWLD
13Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal81524:5-18DDDLW
14MosulMosul82249:12-38LLLDL
15Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa71426:8-27WLDDD
16Al KarkhAl Karkh821510:14-47WWLLD
17Al TalabaAl Talaba81439:14-57DLWDD
18Naft MaysanNaft Maysan81436:11-57LWDLD
19GharrafGharraf81254:12-85LLLDL
20KarbalaKarbala81256:15-95LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a815:318
2ErbilErbil812:317
3Al-KarmaAl-Karma713:517
4NewrozNewroz813:415
5NaftNaft89:515
6Al ShortaAl Shorta77:412
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC88:910
8DuhokDuhok811:119
9DiyalaDiyala813:149
10Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra88:109
11ZakhoZakho77:109
12Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya811:128
13Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal84:58
14MosulMosul89:128
15Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa76:87
16Al KarkhAl Karkh810:147
17Al TalabaAl Talaba89:147
18Naft MaysanNaft Maysan86:117
19GharrafGharraf84:125
20KarbalaKarbala86:155
Champions LeagueRelegation

Diyala vs Al-Karma Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Iraqi League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Iraqi League

ScorePredicts covers Iraq football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Karma have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Diyala and Al-Karma have met 4 times recently, averaging 0.85 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.