Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua Prediction

CONCACAF Nations LeagueWorld World · League A - 1
Cup
Dominican Republic
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Nicaragua
25/09/2026
Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
3-2
Finished
NicaraguaNicaragua

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Dominican Republic Rest
112 days
Nicaragua Rest
111 days

Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua: the result in context

Dominican Republic beat Nicaragua 3-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.52
X
28%3.90
2
14%5.90
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
41%2.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.01
No
55%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 1.01 = 2.91
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
29%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.30
Under 2.5
52%1.78
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Kadeem Cole
5'Heinz MörschelAssist: Mariano Díaz
15'Mariano Díaz
40'jean lopez
40'luis juan perez
46'Marvin fletes INOscar Acevedo out
50'Junior Firpo
60'Jaime Moreno
61'Edarlyn Reyes INdorny romero out
63'Joab Gutierrez INwidman talavera out
63'Jonathan Moncada INJacob Christian Montes out
64'Jaime Moreno INJorge García Hurtado out
70'Mariano Díaz INEdison Azcona out
70'Peter Federico González Carmona INJuan pineda out
70'Efraín Mejía INByron Bonilla out
72'Oscar Acevedo
78'Junior Firpo INLucas Bretón Salcedo out
78'jean lopez INDaniel flores out
84'Byron BonillaAssist: Raheem Cole
90+2'
90+4'
90+7'
90+8'
90+8'

Team Comparison

Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
NicaraguaNicaragua
1504Elo Rating 1385
1.65Attack 0.80
1.29Defense 0.00
63%Hit Rate 0%
14.7Shots per Game 8.0
4.7Shots on Target 1.3
4.5Corners per Game 4.2
3.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NicaraguaNicaragua
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Dominican RepublicDominican Republic0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
NicaraguaNicaragua1Wins · 50%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Nations League22/11/2023
NicaraguaDominican Republic
00
CONCACAF Nations League09/09/2023
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
02

Recent Form

Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
5W1D4L
04/06/2026
PanamaDominican Republic
42
L
23/06/2025
Dominican RepublicSuriname
00
D
19/06/2025
Costa RicaDominican Republic
21
L
15/06/2025
MexicoDominican Republic
32
L
11/06/2025
Dominican RepublicDominica
50
W
07/06/2025
GuatemalaDominican Republic
42
L
20/11/2024
Dominican RepublicBermuda
61
W
17/11/2024
DominicaDominican Republic
16
W
15/10/2024
Dominican RepublicAntigua and Barbuda
50
W
12/10/2024
Antigua and BarbudaDominican Republic
05
W
NicaraguaNicaragua
2W2D6L
06/06/2026
ParaguayNicaragua
40
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
19/11/2025
HaitiNicaragua
20
L
14/11/2025
NicaraguaHonduras
20
W
14/10/2025
Costa RicaNicaragua
41
L
10/10/2025
NicaraguaHaiti
03
L
10/09/2025
HondurasNicaragua
20
L
06/09/2025
NicaraguaCosta Rica
11
D
11/06/2025
PanamaNicaragua
30
L
07/06/2025
NicaraguaGuyana
10
W

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About the Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dominican Republic and Nicaragua have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.