Dover vs Chelmsford City Prediction

Dover
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Chelmsford City
27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-10.7%
Dover Rest
3 days
Chelmsford City Rest
3 days

Dover vs Chelmsford City: the result in context

Chelmsford City beat Dover 1-0 in the National League - South on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.19
X
25%3.65
2
43%1.93
Double Chance
1X
57%1.77
X2
68%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.47
No
40%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.42 = 2.84
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.51
Over 3.5
38%2.25
Under 1.5
20%4.60
Under 2.5
42%2.30
Under 3.5
62%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'(Penalty missed)
40'R. Charles-Cook
42'H. Barbrook

Team Comparison

DoverDover
Chelmsford CityChelmsford City
1535Elo Rating 1600
1.76Attack 2.11
1.91Defense 1.96
54%Hit Rate 36%
12.0Shots per Game -
7.0Shots on Target -
2.0Corners per Game -
2.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

DoverDover
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chelmsford CityChelmsford City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

DoverDover2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
Chelmsford CityChelmsford City1Wins · 17%
1.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

National League - South21/03/2026
Chelmsford CityDover
12
National League - South28/10/2025
DoverChelmsford City
01
National League - South01/04/2024
DoverChelmsford City
10
National League - South23/10/2023
Chelmsford CityDover
33
National League - South18/02/2023
DoverChelmsford City
00
National League - South07/11/2022
Chelmsford CityDover
00

Recent Form

DoverDover
6W3D1L
24/10/2026
SalisburyDover
11
D
17/10/2026
DoverDorking Wanderers
32
W
10/10/2026
DoverDorking Wanderers
11
D
03/10/2026
Hanwell TownDover
12
W
26/09/2026
DoverAFC Totton
20
W
19/09/2026
DoverFolkestone Invicta
42
W
12/09/2026
FarnboroughDover
01
W
08/09/2026
Dagenham & RedbridgeDover
01
W
05/09/2026
DoverMaidenhead
03
L
31/08/2026
Chesham UnitedDover
22
D
Chelmsford CityChelmsford City
3W6D1L
24/10/2026
Chelmsford CityTonbridge Angels
33
D
17/10/2026
Wimborne TownChelmsford City
10
L
10/10/2026
Chesham UnitedChelmsford City
05
W
03/10/2026
Brackley TownChelmsford City
02
W
26/09/2026
Chelmsford CityHorsham
00
D
19/09/2026
Canvey IslandChelmsford City
01
W
12/09/2026
Hampton & RichmondChelmsford City
11
D
08/09/2026
Dorking WanderersChelmsford City
33
D
05/09/2026
Chelmsford CitySalisbury
11
D
31/08/2026
Weston-super-MareChelmsford City
11
D

League Table

National League - South 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United1284029:7+2228WWDWW
2Truro CityTruro City1383224:12+1227WWWDW
3Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utd1482424:17+726LDWWL
4SalisburySalisbury1374223:9+1425WDWWW
5Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels1473426:14+1224WDWWL
6Farnham TownFarnham Town1372427:18+923WWLDW
7Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge1472513:11+223LWLDW
8Billericay TownBillericay Town1264227:16+1122DWWWD
9Dorking WanderersDorking Wanderers1356229:21+821DWDWD
10Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta1454520:16+419LWWDL
11DoverDover1354419:19019LDDWW
12HorshamHorsham1447316:16019DWDWL
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City1239018:11+718WDWDD
14Weston-super-MareWeston-super-Mare1253420:17+318LDLWW
15TorquayTorquay1345419:17+217LDWLD
16AFC TottonAFC Totton1451813:24-1116WWLLL
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead Town1436514:17-315DLLDW
18MaidenheadMaidenhead1435614:19-514DLLLW
19FarnboroughFarnborough1242610:19-914LWLDL
20BraintreeBraintree1341820:34-1413WLLLL
21Chesham UnitedChesham United1331918:30-1210LLLLW
22Hampton & RichmondHampton & Richmond1323816:32-169DLLLD
23Walton & HershamWalton & Hersham1322910:30-208LLWWD
24Slough TownSlough Town14111214:37-234LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United1229:728
2Truro CityTruro City1324:1227
3Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utd1424:1726
4SalisburySalisbury1323:925
5Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels1426:1424
6Farnham TownFarnham Town1327:1823
7Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge1413:1123
8Billericay TownBillericay Town1227:1622
9Dorking WanderersDorking Wanderers1329:2121
10Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta1420:1619
11DoverDover1319:1919
12HorshamHorsham1416:1619
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City1218:1118
14Weston-super-MareWeston-super-Mare1220:1718
15TorquayTorquay1319:1717
16AFC TottonAFC Totton1413:2416
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead Town1414:1715
18MaidenheadMaidenhead1414:1914
19FarnboroughFarnborough1210:1914
20BraintreeBraintree1320:3413
21Chesham UnitedChesham United1318:3010
22Hampton & RichmondHampton & Richmond1316:329
23Walton & HershamWalton & Hersham1310:308
24Slough TownSlough Town1414:374
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About the Dover vs Chelmsford City forecast

The forecasts for this National League - South match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dover and Chelmsford City in the National League - South table

Dover and Chelmsford City are close in the National League - South table, 11th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Dover 19-19, Chelmsford City 18-11. The full standings are on the National League - South Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dover have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.