Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers Prediction

Dumbarton
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseHighGap+7.4%
Dumbarton Rest
7 days
Cove Rangers Rest
3 days

Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers: the result in context

Dumbarton beat Cove Rangers 2-0 in the League Cup on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Cove Rangers have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.46
X
12%3.70
2
63%1.87
Double Chance
1X
37%1.83
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.49
No
56%2.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.16
Over 2.5
39%1.53
Over 3.5
19%2.29
Under 1.5
37%4.65
Under 2.5
61%2.33
Under 3.5
81%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Leighton McIntoshAssist: D. Lang
45'R. McAllister INEdimond Abisa Oppong out
60'Chris Maguire INVictor Enem out
64'D. LangAssist: James Michael Doyle
65'D. Oladipo INTristan Stephen out
75'Leighton McIntosh INB.Trialist out
75'D. Lang INKai Kirkpatrick out
75'Josiah Sowa INScott Tomlinson out
84'Mark SouterFoul
87'Josh Todd INAedan Gilfedder out
87'Thomas Robson INC. Campbell out

Lineups

Dumbarton
4-4-2Coach: Frank McKeown
Cove Rangers
4-4-1-1Coach: Paul Hartley
A. Rice1A. Rice
T. Robson34T. Robson
J. Todd8J. Todd
L. McIntosh15L. McIntosh
L. Bisland2L. Bisland
L. Parker6L. Parker
R. Harrington7R. Harrington
C. Maguire12C. Maguire
J. Teasdale16J. Teasdale
J. White26J. White

Dumbarton Substitutes

28J. McConnell
7S. Tomlinson75'replaced by Josiah Sowa
12Trialist B75'for Leighton McIntosh
14T. Wallace

Cove Rangers Substitutes

3V. Enem60'for Chris Maguire
1R. Mutch

Match Stats

DumbartonCove Rangers
47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots5
6Fouls12
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
10Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

DumbartonDumbarton
Cove RangersCove Rangers
1336Elo Rating 1447
0.83Attack 1.24
1.32Defense 2.30
23%Hit Rate 66%

Game State Tendencies

DumbartonDumbarton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Cove RangersCove Rangers
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DumbartonDumbarton1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
Cove RangersCove Rangers7Wins · 70%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

League One12/04/2025
DumbartonCove Rangers
13
League One22/02/2025
Cove RangersDumbarton
21
League One02/11/2024
DumbartonCove Rangers
03
League One17/08/2024
Cove RangersDumbarton
11
League One23/04/2022
Cove RangersDumbarton
10
League One29/01/2022
DumbartonCove Rangers
22
League One04/12/2021
Cove RangersDumbarton
20
League One21/08/2021
DumbartonCove Rangers
13
League One10/04/2021
Cove RangersDumbarton
10
League One12/12/2020
DumbartonCove Rangers
10

Recent Form

DumbartonDumbarton
1W1D8L
18/07/2026
East KilbrideDumbarton
53
L
14/07/2026
DunfermlineDumbarton
41
L
11/07/2026
DumbartonST Mirren
04
L
30/06/2026
Ayr UtdDumbarton
30
L
20/06/2026
Linlithgow RoseDumbarton
43
L
02/05/2026
Edinburgh CityDumbarton
50
L
25/04/2026
DumbartonEast Kilbride
01
L
18/04/2026
ClydeDumbarton
20
L
11/04/2026
DumbartonStirling Albion
21
W
04/04/2026
StranraerDumbarton
11
D
Cove RangersCove Rangers
3W2D5L
21/07/2026
DunfermlineCove Rangers
50
L
18/07/2026
Cove RangersST Mirren
04
L
14/07/2026
Cove RangersEast Kilbride
32
W
11/07/2026
Cove RangersST Johnstone
24
L
07/07/2026
Cove RangersInverness CT
14
L
04/07/2026
Cove RangersHuntly
22
D
02/07/2026
Cove RangersTurriff United
10
W
30/06/2026
Cove RangersInverurie Loco Works
41
W
27/06/2026
Cove RangersAberdeen
01
L
02/05/2026
Cove RangersEast Fife
00
D

About the Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers forecast

The forecasts for this League Cup match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cove Rangers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.