Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC Prediction

Dynamo Dresden
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Hertha BSC
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden·Christian Dingert 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Dynamo Dresden Rest
7 days
Hertha BSC Rest
6 days

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC: the result in context

Hertha BSC beat Dynamo Dresden 2-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hertha BSC had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Dynamo Dresden.

Hertha BSC tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 4.0 for Dynamo Dresden.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.55
X
32%3.80
2
41%2.38
Double Chance
1X
59%1.53
X2
72%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.40
No
33%2.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.45 = 2.81
Over 1.5
81%1.10
Over 2.5
59%1.44
Over 3.5
34%2.10
Under 1.5
19%5.75
Under 2.5
41%2.70
Under 3.5
66%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.29
Over 9.5
45%1.54
Over 10.5
37%1.92
Under 8.5
43%3.04
Under 9.5
55%2.23
Under 10.5
63%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

10'Patrice ČovićAssist: Vincent Vermeij
29'Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonAssist: Josip Brekalo
32'Robert WagnerFoul
37'Mads Valentin PedersenFoul
39'Ahmet MuhamedbegovicDissent
43'Josip BrekaloFoul
45'Sebastian Gronning INGustaf Nilsson out
57'Goal cancelledOluwaseun Adewumi
66'Vincent Vermeij INChristoph Daferner out
66'Niklas Hauptmann INTobias Raschl out
74'Julian Eitschberger INDeyovaisio Zeefuik out
74'Oluwaseun Adewumi INFarid Alfa-Ruprecht out
74'Patrice Čović INJakob Lemmer out
74'Nicolai Rapp INFriedrich Müller out
74'Simon Straudi INJonas Sterner out
80'Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonAssist: Mads Valentin Pedersen
86'Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson INSoufian gouram out
90'Kevin Sessa INPascal Klemens out

Lineups

Dynamo Dresden
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Stamm
Hertha BSC
4-4-2Coach: S. Leitl
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.85
T. Schreiber7.21T. Schreiber
S. Straudi6.544S. Straudi
T. Neininger6.434T. Neininger
A. Muhamedbegović6.017A. Muhamedbegović
A. Rossipal6.019A. Rossipal
R. Wagner5.918R. Wagner
N. Rapp6.66N. Rapp
P. Čović7.724P. Čović
N. Hauptmann5.727N. Hauptmann
B. Bobzien6.220B. Bobzien
V. Vermeij6.39V. Vermeij
M. Gersbeck6.935M. Gersbeck
J. Eitschberger6.02J. Eitschberger
L. Gechter6.644L. Gechter
N. Kolbe6.727N. Kolbe
M. Pedersen7.022M. Pedersen
O. Adewumi6.619O. Adewumi
K. Sessa6.48K. Sessa
P. Seguin6.530P. Seguin
J. Brekalo7.67J. Brekalo
J. Þorsteinsson9.523J. Þorsteinsson
S. Grønning6.817S. Grønning

Dynamo Dresden Substitutes

40E. Bethke
33C. Daferner66'for Vincent Vermeij6.1
16N. Fröling
11K. Inanoglu
10J. Lemmer74'for Patrice Čović5.9
42F. Muller74'for Nicolai Rapp6.2
7K. Okpala
21T. Raschl66'for Niklas Hauptmann6.6
32J. Sterner74'for Simon Straudi6.7

Hertha BSC Substitutes

42D. Zeefuik74'for Julian Eitschberger7.0
47Selim Telib
18L. Schuler
9G. Nilsson45'for Sebastian Gronning6.3
41P. Klemens90'for Kevin Sessa
33S. Gouram86'for Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson6.4
43T. Goller
31M. Dárdai
20Farid Alfa-Ruprecht74'for Oluwaseun Adewumi6.2

Match Stats

Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box13
2Shots Outside Box13
2Blocked Shots9
11Fouls9
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves1
462Total Passes489
354Passes Accurate390
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
1641Elo Rating 1773
1.71Attack 1.74
2.04Defense 2.86
61%Hit Rate 83%
11.3Shots per Game 19.4
3.7Shots on Target 6.4
4.0Corners per Game 6.5
1.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Hertha BSCHertha BSC2Wins · 100%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga04/04/2026
Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
01
2. Bundesliga01/11/2025
Hertha BSCDynamo Dresden
20

Recent Form

Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
5W1D4L
12/09/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigDynamo Dresden
22
D
05/09/2026
Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum
12
L
29/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimDynamo Dresden
53
L
23/08/2026
Westfalia RhynernDynamo Dresden
06
W
16/08/2026
Dynamo DresdenSV Darmstadt 98
10
W
09/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergDynamo Dresden
30
L
01/08/2026
Dynamo DresdenUnion Berlin
21
W
25/07/2026
Dynamo DresdenEnergie Cottbus
12
L
18/07/2026
Grazer AKDynamo Dresden
05
W
11/07/2026
Dynamo DresdenHessen Kassel
30
W
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
8W2D0L
13/09/2026
VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC
13
W
06/09/2026
Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg
21
W
28/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigHertha BSC
35
W
22/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenHertha BSC
2141
W
15/08/2026
Hertha BSC1. FC Heidenheim
41
W
07/08/2026
VfL BochumHertha BSC
01
W
31/07/2026
1. FC KölnHertha BSC
22
D
21/07/2026
Hertha BSCMamelodi Sundowns
11
D
17/07/2026
Hertha BSCWSG Wattens
32
W
11/07/2026
Lokomotive LeipzigHertha BSC
13
W

Referee Profile

Christian Dingert142 matches

4.29Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Christian Dingert4.29
Other referees4.22

4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC11101025:9+1631WWWDW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1173126:13+1324WWLDD
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern1163210:7+321WLWWD
41. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1162325:14+1120WDWLW
5VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1154226:16+1019LWDWD
6Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1152418:16+217WWLWW
71. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1144319:20-116DLDLD
8VfL BochumVfL Bochum1142511:13-214WWDLL
9FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1126313:16-312LLDDW
10SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1133513:19-612LWLWL
11Hannover 96Hannover 961133512:18-612DWLDL
12Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1125418:20-211DLDDL
13Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1132616:18-211DLWLW
14VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1132614:18-411LLWLD
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1132615:20-511WLLWD
16Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1132615:24-911LWLWL
17SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98112369:21-129LDDLW
18Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1115511:14-38LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1125:931
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1126:1324
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern1110:721
41. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1125:1420
5VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1126:1619
6Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1118:1617
71. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1119:2016
8VfL BochumVfL Bochum1111:1314
9FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1113:1612
10SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1113:1912
11Hannover 96Hannover 961112:1812
12Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1118:2011
13Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1116:1811
14VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1114:1811
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1115:2011
16Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1115:2411
17SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98119:219
18Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1111:148
PromotionRelegation

About the Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Hertha BSC are 1st in the 2. Bundesliga, while Dynamo Dresden sit 15th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Dynamo Dresden 15-20, Hertha BSC 25-9. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dynamo Dresden have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.