Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta Prediction

Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet 06/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Ebbsfleet United Rest
3 days
Folkestone Invicta Rest
10 days

Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta: the result in context

Ebbsfleet United beat Folkestone Invicta 1-0 in the National League - South on 6 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ebbsfleet United had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Folkestone Invicta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.66
X
24%3.72
2
23%4.20
Double Chance
1X
77%1.17
X2
47%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.57
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.17 = 2.90
Over 1.5
79%1.15
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.40
Under 1.5
21%4.45
Under 2.5
42%2.20
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'L. Peake

Team Comparison

Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United
Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta
1624Elo Rating 1554
3.36Attack 1.05
2.23Defense 1.41
73%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals

Game State Tendencies

Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United
4W3D3L
03/10/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedSholing
12
L
29/09/2026
Slough TownEbbsfleet United
11
D
26/09/2026
Tonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
12
W
19/09/2026
MaidenheadEbbsfleet United
13
W
12/09/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedSalisbury
11
D
08/09/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedHemel Hempstead Town
00
D
05/09/2026
Walton & HershamEbbsfleet United
02
W
31/07/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedGillingham
12
L
28/07/2026
Cray Valley PMEbbsfleet United
23
W
21/07/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedWest Ham United U21
12
L
Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
SalisburyFolkestone Invicta
20
L
19/09/2026
DoverFolkestone Invicta
42
L
12/09/2026
Folkestone InvictaFarnham Town
12
L
08/09/2026
Folkestone InvictaHorsham
11
D
05/09/2026
TorquayFolkestone Invicta
32
L
31/08/2026
Folkestone InvictaHemel Hempstead Town
20
W
29/08/2026
Slough TownFolkestone Invicta
02
W
22/08/2026
Folkestone InvictaChelmsford City
11
D
18/08/2026
Maidstone UtdFolkestone Invicta
11
D
08/08/2026
Folkestone InvictaWalton & Hersham
51
W

League Table

National League - South 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utd1281322:13+925WWLLW
2Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United1064022:6+1622DWWWW
3SalisburySalisbury1163220:8+1221WWWDW
4Billericay TownBillericay Town1163225:14+1121WWWDW
5Truro CityTruro City1163217:8+921WDWLD
6Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels1262421:11+1020WWLDL
7Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge1262410:9+120LDWLL
8Weston-super-MareWeston-super-Mare1253420:17+318LDLWW
9DoverDover1153318:17+118DWWWL
10Dorking WanderersDorking Wanderers1145223:17+617DWDDD
11Farnham TownFarnham Town1152417:16+117LDWWD
12Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta1244418:14+416WDLLL
13TorquayTorquay1144318:15+316WLDWW
14HorshamHorsham1236314:15-115DWLDL
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City1028014:8+614WDDDD
16Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead Town1235410:11-114LDWDD
17FarnboroughFarnborough1142510:17-714WLDLL
18MaidenheadMaidenhead1234513:14-113LLWDL
19Chesham UnitedChesham United1131716:24-810LLWLL
20BraintreeBraintree1131718:27-910LLLLW
21AFC TottonAFC Totton123189:23-1410LLLLL
22Hampton & RichmondHampton & Richmond1122711:26-158LLDWL
23Walton & HershamWalton & Hersham1122710:27-178WWDDL
24Slough TownSlough Town12111012:31-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utd1222:1325
2Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United1022:622
3SalisburySalisbury1120:821
4Billericay TownBillericay Town1125:1421
5Truro CityTruro City1117:821
6Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels1221:1120
7Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge1210:920
8Weston-super-MareWeston-super-Mare1220:1718
9DoverDover1118:1718
10Dorking WanderersDorking Wanderers1123:1717
11Farnham TownFarnham Town1117:1617
12Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta1218:1416
13TorquayTorquay1118:1516
14HorshamHorsham1214:1515
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City1014:814
16Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead Town1210:1114
17FarnboroughFarnborough1110:1714
18MaidenheadMaidenhead1213:1413
19Chesham UnitedChesham United1116:2410
20BraintreeBraintree1118:2710
21AFC TottonAFC Totton129:2310
22Hampton & RichmondHampton & Richmond1111:268
23Walton & HershamWalton & Hersham1110:278
24Slough TownSlough Town1212:314
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About the Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta forecast

The forecasts for this National League - South match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ebbsfleet United and Folkestone Invicta in the National League - South table

In the National League - South table, Ebbsfleet United are 2nd and Folkestone Invicta 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Ebbsfleet United 22-6, Folkestone Invicta 18-14. The full standings are on the National League - South Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Folkestone Invicta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ebbsfleet United and Folkestone Invicta have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.