Egersund vs Moss Prediction

Egersund
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Moss
XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena·E. Wisted-Thu 04/07/2026
EgersundEgersund
3-0
Finished
MossMoss

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseHighGap+10.7%
Egersund Rest
6 days
Moss Rest
6 days

Egersund vs Moss: the result in context

Egersund beat Moss 3-0 in the 1. Division on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Egersund have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.01
X
22%3.75
2
26%3.10
Double Chance
1X
74%1.31
X2
48%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.40
No
31%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 1.45 = 3.62
Over 1.5
89%1.11
Over 2.5
74%1.44
Over 3.5
53%2.10
Under 1.5
11%5.25
Under 2.5
26%2.60
Under 3.5
47%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'O. KapskarmoAssist: P. Hovland
33'O. KapskarmoAssist: S. Vatne
50'K. Strande
57'R. Hermanstad INJ. Laegreid out
59'O. Kapskarmo
68'K. Saetherbo INS. Davis out
68'J. Ekeland INJ. Lynum out
69'J. Musbaudeen INP. Andersen out
70'S. VatneAssist: J. Lynum
73'E. Chidi INW. Olofsson out
78'S. Vatne INM. Haheim-Elveseter out
85'O. Kapskarmo INO. Toft Noreng out
85'K. Eggen INH. Kleppa out

Team Comparison

EgersundEgersund
MossMoss
1520Elo Rating 1377
2.12Attack 0.51
1.65Defense 1.17
50%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.61 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

EgersundEgersund
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.6 in second half)
MossMoss
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

EgersundEgersund4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
MossMoss1Wins · 17%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

1. Division22/10/2025
EgersundMoss
20
1. Division28/06/2025
MossEgersund
24
1. Division26/08/2024
EgersundMoss
32
1. Division27/04/2024
MossEgersund
12
2. Division - Group 108/10/2022
EgersundMoss
22
2. Division - Group 126/06/2022
MossEgersund
20

Recent Form

EgersundEgersund
2W1D7L
27/06/2026
SogndalEgersund
42
L
21/06/2026
EgersundHaugesund
52
W
14/06/2026
StabaekEgersund
31
L
31/05/2026
EgersundStromsgodset
05
L
25/05/2026
hoddEgersund
31
L
20/05/2026
EgersundLyn
00
D
15/05/2026
Sandnes ULFEgersund
42
L
11/05/2026
EgersundODD Ballklubb
01
L
06/05/2026
EgersundRaufoss
21
W
01/05/2026
KongsvingerEgersund
21
L
MossMoss
3W2D5L
27/06/2026
StrommenMoss
32
L
21/06/2026
MossSandnes ULF
14
L
14/06/2026
SogndalMoss
24
W
30/05/2026
MossStabaek
22
D
25/05/2026
HaugesundMoss
31
L
20/05/2026
MossStromsgodset
11
D
16/05/2026
ODD BallklubbMoss
23
W
10/05/2026
MossBryne
23
L
01/05/2026
RanheimMoss
40
L
26/04/2026
MossLyn
21
W

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset30206482:36+4666WWLWW
2HaugesundHaugesund30212786:51+3565LWWLW
3KongsvingerKongsvinger30185784:50+3459LLLWL
4StabaekStabaek30184870:38+3258LWWWW
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb30147960:48+1249WDLLW
6BryneBryne301441246:42+446WWDLD
7RanheimRanheim301251374:72+241LWWWD
8EgersundEgersund301181150:57-741WWDDD
9StrommenStrommen301161352:62-1039WLWWW
10hoddhodd301161349:59-1039DLLWD
11LynLyn301041646:61-1534LWLWL
12Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF30961545:59-1433WDWLL
13MossMoss30951644:63-1932WLLLD
14SogndalSogndal30871548:63-1531DLWWD
15AsaneAsane30751842:68-2626LLWLL
16RaufossRaufoss30622231:80-4920LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset3082:3666
2HaugesundHaugesund3086:5165
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3084:5059
4StabaekStabaek3070:3858
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3060:4849
6BryneBryne3046:4246
7RanheimRanheim3074:7241
8EgersundEgersund3050:5741
9StrommenStrommen3052:6239
10hoddhodd3049:5939
11LynLyn3046:6134
12Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3045:5933
13MossMoss3044:6332
14SogndalSogndal3048:6331
15AsaneAsane3042:6826
16RaufossRaufoss3031:8020
PromotionRelegation

About the Egersund vs Moss forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Egersund and Moss in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, Egersund are 8th and Moss 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Egersund 50-57, Moss 44-63. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Egersund have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.