El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction

El Mokawloon
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Ahly
Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.37
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
El Mokawloon Rest
7 days
Al Ahly Rest
6 days

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly: result, form and history

El Mokawloon and Al Ahly drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 9 Sep 2026. Al Ahly had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for El Mokawloon.

Al Ahly have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%7.90
X
18%4.30
2
71%1.37
Double Chance
1X
29%2.88
X2
89%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.25
No
55%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.76 + 1.57 = 2.33
Over 1.5
66%1.29
Over 2.5
42%1.95
Over 3.5
23%3.30
Under 1.5
34%3.27
Under 2.5
58%1.80
Under 3.5
77%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Dokou DodoFoul
39'Islam Gaber(Penalty)
45'Dokou Dodo INIbrahim Abdel Karim out
49'Amr El Gazar INHady Reyad out
58'Zizo Sayed(Penalty)
59'Achraf Bencharki INEmam Ashour out
59'Ali Mahmoud INAhmed Reda Hashem out
70'Zizo SayedFoul
75'Idrissa Thiam INShady Hussein out
75'Omar Kamal INMohammed Sandouqa out
82'Kahraba INhassan hussein out
84'S. Benjdida INAqtay Abdallah out
84'Monsef Bakrar INHussein El Shahat out
85'Joseph Benson Ochaya INNader Hesham out

Lineups

El Mokawloon
4-2-3-1Coach: Samy Komsan
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Ammouta
Avg rating6.32
Avg rating6.41
Mohamed Fawzi5.918M. Fawzi
Ahmed Magdy Kahraba5.926A. Magdy Kahraba
Khaled Abdel Fattah6.627K. Abdel Fattah
Mohamed Hamed6.13M. Hamed
J. Ochaya6.023J. Ochaya
Mostafa Gamal6.314M. Gamal
D. Dokou6.16D. Dokou
Omar El Wahsh6.412O. El Wahsh
Islam Gaber6.620I. Gaber
Omar Kamal6.329O. Kamal
9292I. Thiam
Mohamed El Shenawy6.71M. El Shenawy
Mohamed Hany6.130M. Hany
Yasser Ibrahim6.66Y. Ibrahim
Amr El Gazar6.826A. El Gazar
Ahmed Koka6.736A. Koka
Marwan Attia6.613M. Attia
Ali Mahmoud6.421A. Mahmoud
M. Bakrar6.210M. Bakrar
Zizo7.025Zizo
A. Bencharki5.917A. Bencharki
S. Benjdida6.09S. Benjdida

El Mokawloon Substitutes

17M. Rifaat
7Anas Baniowda
28Ibrahim Abdel Karim45'replaced by Dokou Dodo
24Nader Hesham85'for Joseph Benson Ochaya6.4
4Hassan Hussein82'for Kahraba6.5
99Shady Hussein75'replaced by Idrissa Thiam6.7
1Mahmoud Abou El Saoud
19A. Aouled Behi
15M. Sandouqa75'for Omar Kamal6.3

Al Ahly Substitutes

27A. Abdallah84'for S. Benjdida6.5
22Emam Ashour59'for Achraf Bencharki6.3
12Akram Tawfik
5Hady Reyad49'for Amr El Gazar6.4
14Hussein El Shahat84'for Monsef Bakrar6.3
8Ahmed Hashem59'for Ali Mahmoud6.3
2Yassin Marei
19Mohamed Magdi Kafsha
31Mostafa Shobeir

Match Stats

El MokawloonAl Ahly
40%Ball Possession60%
1Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots1
16Fouls11
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
281Total Passes416
177Passes Accurate323
63%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon
Al AhlyAl Ahly
1539Elo Rating 1776
1.26Attack 2.06
2.11Defense 2.36
34%Hit Rate 83%
9.8Shots per Game 14.3
3.4Shots on Target 5.6
4.9Corners per Game 5.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Al AhlyAl Ahly
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Al AhlyAl Ahly6Wins · 60%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League05/03/2026
El MokawloonAl Ahly
13
League Cup30/12/2025
Al AhlyEl Mokawloon
03
Premier League04/08/2024
Al AhlyEl Mokawloon
40
Premier League04/11/2023
El MokawloonAl Ahly
12
Premier League16/07/2023
El MokawloonAl Ahly
14
Premier League07/03/2023
Al AhlyEl Mokawloon
21
Cup27/11/2022
Al AhlyEl Mokawloon
4131
Premier League30/07/2022
El MokawloonAl Ahly
00
League Cup21/01/2022
Al AhlyEl Mokawloon
11
Premier League19/11/2021
Al AhlyEl Mokawloon
10

Recent Form

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon
3W5D2L
02/09/2026
El Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
01
W
27/08/2026
El MokawloonAL Masry
23
L
22/08/2026
El GeishEl Mokawloon
10
L
29/05/2026
El MokawloonFuture FC
31
W
23/05/2026
Kahraba IsmailiaEl Mokawloon
22
D
18/05/2026
El MokawloonWadi Degla
11
D
13/05/2026
Haras El HodoodEl Mokawloon
00
D
08/05/2026
El MokawloonEl Gouna FC
10
W
04/05/2026
PharcoEl Mokawloon
11
D
28/04/2026
El MokawloonGhazl El Mehalla
11
D
Al AhlyAl Ahly
7W1D2L
03/09/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
10
W
28/08/2026
MasrAl Ahly
02
W
23/08/2026
Al AhlyEnppi
32
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
L
20/05/2026
AL MasryAl Ahly
02
W
05/05/2026
Al AhlyEnppi
30
W
01/05/2026
Zamalek SCAl Ahly
03
W
27/04/2026
Pyramids FCAl Ahly
30
L
11/04/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
21
W
07/04/2026
Ceramica CleopatraAl Ahly
11
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC880019:4+1524WWWWW
2Al AhlyAl Ahly862015:6+920WDWWD
3Zamalek SCZamalek SC861111:4+719WWLWW
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra860215:8+718WWLWW
5Al IttihadAl Ittihad84229:6+314DLWWW
6Future FCFuture FC841312:10+213LLWWW
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon832311:8+311LWDWD
8National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt83239:9011DDWLW
9Smouha SCSmouha SC83235:5011DWWWL
10MasrMasr83239:10-111LWDWL
11PetrojetPetrojet823311:13-29DLDWW
12AL MasryAL Masry82338:10-29DDDLL
13Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah815210:12-28LDDLD
14El GeishEl Geish82246:12-68DLLLD
15Wadi DeglaWadi Degla81438:10-27LDDLL
16EnppiEnppi821511:16-57WLLLW
17Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla82154:11-77WWLLL
18Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol81344:8-46DLWLL
19Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad81163:12-94LDLLL
20El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC80355:11-63DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC819:424
2Al AhlyAl Ahly815:620
3Zamalek SCZamalek SC811:419
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra815:818
5Al IttihadAl Ittihad89:614
6Future FCFuture FC812:1013
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon811:811
8National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt89:911
9Smouha SCSmouha SC85:511
10MasrMasr89:1011
11PetrojetPetrojet811:139
12AL MasryAL Masry88:109
13Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah810:128
14El GeishEl Geish86:128
15Wadi DeglaWadi Degla88:107
16EnppiEnppi811:167
17Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla84:117
18Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol84:86
19Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad83:124
20El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC85:113
PromotionRelegation

About the El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

El Mokawloon and Al Ahly in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Al Ahly are 2nd and El Mokawloon 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: El Mokawloon 11-8, Al Ahly 15-6. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Ahly have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.