El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction

El Mokawloon
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Ahly
Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.37
SignalGOODModel70%RiskMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalGOODModel58%RiskMediumGap+4.3%
El Mokawloon Rest
7 days
Al Ahly Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%7.90
X
18%4.30
2
71%1.37
Double Chance
1X
29%2.88
X2
89%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.25
No
55%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.76 + 1.57 = 2.33
Over 1.5
66%1.29
Over 2.5
42%1.95
Over 3.5
23%3.30
Under 1.5
34%3.27
Under 2.5
58%1.80
Under 3.5
77%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Dokou DodoFoul
39'Islam Gaber(Penalty)
45'Dokou Dodo INIbrahim Abdel Karim out
49'Amr El Gazar INHady Reyad out
58'Zizo Sayed(Penalty)
59'Achraf Bencharki INEmam Ashour out
59'Ali Mahmoud INAhmed Reda Hashem out
70'Zizo SayedFoul
75'Idrissa Thiam INShady Hussein out
75'Omar Kamal INMohammed Sandouqa out
82'Kahraba INhassan hussein out
84'S. Benjdida INAqtay Abdallah out
84'Monsef Bakrar INHussein El Shahat out
85'Joseph Benson Ochaya INNader Hesham out

Lineups

El Mokawloon
4-2-3-1Coach: Samy Komsan
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Ammouta
Mohamed Fawzi18M. FawziMohamed Fawzi
Ahmed Magdy Kahraba26A. Magdy KahrabaAhmed Magdy Kahraba
Khaled Abdel Fattah27K. Abdel FattahKhaled Abdel Fattah
Mohamed Hamed3M. HamedMohamed Hamed
J. Ochaya23J. OchayaJ. Ochaya
Mostafa Gamal14M. GamalMostafa Gamal
D. Dokou6D. DokouD. Dokou
Omar El Wahsh12O. El WahshOmar El Wahsh
Islam Gaber20I. GaberIslam Gaber
Omar Kamal29O. KamalOmar Kamal
9292I. ThiamIdrissa Thiam
Mohamed El Shenawy1M. El ShenawyMohamed El Shenawy
Mohamed Hany30M. HanyMohamed Hany
Yasser Ibrahim6Y. IbrahimYasser Ibrahim
Amr El Gazar26A. El GazarAmr El Gazar
Ahmed Koka36A. KokaAhmed Koka
Marwan Attia13M. AttiaMarwan Attia
Ali Mahmoud21A. MahmoudAli Mahmoud
M. Bakrar10M. BakrarM. Bakrar
Zizo25ZizoZizo
A. Bencharki17A. BencharkiA. Bencharki
S. Benjdida9S. BenjdidaS. Benjdida

El Mokawloon Substitutes

17M. RifaatF
7Anas BaniowdaF
28Ibrahim Abdel KarimM
24Nader HeshamD
4Hassan HusseinD
99Shady HusseinF
1Mahmoud Abou El SaoudG
19A. Aouled BehiM
15M. SandouqaM

Al Ahly Substitutes

27A. AbdallahF
22Emam AshourM
12Akram TawfikM
5Hady ReyadD
14Hussein El ShahatM
8Ahmed HashemD
2Yassin MareiD
19Mohamed Magdi KafshaM
31Mostafa ShobeirG

Match Stats

El MokawloonAl Ahly
40%Ball Possession60%
1Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots1
16Fouls10
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
281Total Passes417
178Passes Accurate325
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon
Al AhlyAl Ahly
1551Elo Rating 1749
1.29Attack 1.72
2.13Defense 2.49
46%Hit Rate 77%
8.3Shots per Game 15.2
3.7Shots on Target 5.3
3.0Corners per Game 7.4
1.5Cards per Game 1.5

Game State Tendencies

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al AhlyAl Ahly
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

El Mokawloon 23%Draw 0%77% Al Ahly
3.75Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

El MokawloonEl Mokawloon
2W1D2L
02/09/2026
El Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
01
W
27/08/2026
El MokawloonAL Masry
23
L
22/08/2026
El GeishEl Mokawloon
10
L
29/05/2026
El MokawloonFuture FC
31
W
23/05/2026
Kahraba IsmailiaEl Mokawloon
22
D
Al AhlyAl Ahly
4W0D1L
03/09/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
10
W
28/08/2026
MasrAl Ahly
02
W
23/08/2026
Al AhlyEnppi
32
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
L
20/05/2026
AL MasryAl Ahly
02
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC55009:1+815WWWWW
2Zamalek SCZamalek SC54108:1+713WWWWD
3Al AhlyAl Ahly54109:3+613WDWWW
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra540110:3+712WWWWL
5Future FCFuture FC53117:4+310WWLWD
6Al IttihadAl Ittihad53116:3+310WWWLD
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon52126:5+17WDWLL
8PetrojetPetrojet52128:807WWLLD
9El GeishEl Geish52125:507LDLWW
10MasrMasr52124:5-17WLWLD
11Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah51315:506LDDDW
12AL MasryAL Masry52035:7-26LLLWW
13National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt52034:7-36LWWLL
14Wadi DeglaWadi Degla51224:5-15LLDWD
15EnppiEnppi51136:9-34LWDLL
16Smouha SCSmouha SC51131:4-34WLLDL
17Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad51041:8-73LLLLW
18El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC50233:6-32LLLDD
19Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol50231:5-42LLLDD
20Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla50141:9-81LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC59:115
2Zamalek SCZamalek SC58:113
3Al AhlyAl Ahly59:313
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra510:312
5Future FCFuture FC57:410
6Al IttihadAl Ittihad56:310
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon56:57
8PetrojetPetrojet58:87
9El GeishEl Geish55:57
10MasrMasr54:57
11Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah55:56
12AL MasryAL Masry55:76
13National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt54:76
14Wadi DeglaWadi Degla54:55
15EnppiEnppi56:94
16Smouha SCSmouha SC51:44
17Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad51:83
18El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC53:62
19Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol51:52
20Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla51:91
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El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

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Key Factors for This Match

El Mokawloon and Al Ahly have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.75 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.