El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre Prediction

El Nacional
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
9 de Octubre
06/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel33%RiskHighGap+10.9%
El Nacional Rest
6 days
9 de Octubre Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%4.94
X
26%3.30
2
44%1.65
Double Chance
1X
56%2.00
X2
69%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.27
No
54%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.04 = 2.11
Over 1.5
62%1.44
Over 2.5
32%2.33
Over 3.5
17%4.40
Under 1.5
38%2.43
Under 2.5
68%1.47
Under 3.5
83%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

56'

Team Comparison

El NacionalEl Nacional
9 de Octubre9 de Octubre
1354Elo Rating 1533
0.83Attack 1.24
1.70Defense 1.95
23%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

El NacionalEl Nacional
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
9 de Octubre9 de Octubre
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

El Nacional 19%Draw 49%31% 9 de Octubre
2.17Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

El NacionalEl Nacional
1W1D3L
31/07/2026
22 de JulioEl Nacional
13
W
24/07/2026
El NacionalGualaceo SC
00
D
15/07/2026
CuniburoEl Nacional
21
L
08/07/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
01
L
02/07/2026
Atletico FCEl Nacional
30
L
9 de Octubre9 de Octubre
1W4D0L
30/07/2026
Dep. Santo Domingo9 de Octubre
00
D
25/07/2026
9 de Octubre22 de Julio
10
W
16/07/2026
Cumbayá9 de Octubre
00
D
11/07/2026
9 de OctubreGualaceo SC
00
D
04/07/2026
LDU Portoviejo9 de Octubre
11
D

League Table

Liga Pro Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors22109328:16+1239DDWWW
2Atletico FCAtletico FC22911225:14+1138WDLWD
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre22910322:14+837DDLDW
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2297620:23-334LWLDD
5CuniburoCuniburo2287725:17+831DDWLL
6San AntonioSan Antonio22710524:21+331DWWWD
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2278719:16+329WDLLD
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo22610617:16+128DDWDL
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2276917:22-527WDDLW
10CumbayáCumbayá22511622:22026LDDDD
1122 de Julio22 de Julio22431510:31-2115LLLLL
12El NacionalEl Nacional22261415:32-1712DLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors2228:1639
2Atletico FCAtletico FC2225:1438
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre2222:1437
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2220:2334
5CuniburoCuniburo2225:1731
6San AntonioSan Antonio2224:2131
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2219:1629
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo2217:1628
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2217:2227
10CumbayáCumbayá2222:2226
1122 de Julio22 de Julio2210:3115
12El NacionalEl Nacional2215:3212

El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Ecuador football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

El Nacional and 9 de Octubre have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.17 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.