Elgin City vs Dumbarton Prediction

Elgin City
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Dumbarton
Borough Briggs, Elgin 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Elgin City Rest
3 days
Dumbarton Rest
7 days

Elgin City vs Dumbarton: result, form and history

Dumbarton beat Elgin City 2-0 in the League Two on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.65
X
23%3.90
2
21%4.20
Double Chance
1X
79%1.20
X2
44%2.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'L. Mackay
23'L. McIntoshAssist: J. Sowa
42'J. Murray
46'J. Sowa INS. Tomlinson out
46'S. Honeyman
52'L. McIntosh
55'L. Mackay INL. Booth out
55'O. Colloty INK. Willox out
55'K. Hester INC. Brown out
56'T. Robson INK. Webster out
56'T. Wallace INJ. Todd out
78'R. Cleary INA. Spalding out
78'S. Honeyman IND. Lang out

Team Comparison

Elgin CityElgin City
DumbartonDumbarton
1440Elo Rating 1336
0.62Attack 0.83
1.32Defense 1.32
42%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+104 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Elgin CityElgin City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DumbartonDumbarton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Elgin CityElgin City3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
DumbartonDumbarton3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

League Two05/09/2026
DumbartonElgin City
21
League Two14/03/2026
Elgin CityDumbarton
11
League Two24/01/2026
DumbartonElgin City
22
League Two15/11/2025
Elgin CityDumbarton
20
League Two16/08/2025
DumbartonElgin City
11
League Two27/04/2024
DumbartonElgin City
22
League Two27/01/2024
Elgin CityDumbarton
01
League Two18/11/2023
DumbartonElgin City
10
League Two16/09/2023
Elgin CityDumbarton
20
League Two29/04/2023
Elgin CityDumbarton
10

Recent Form

Elgin CityElgin City
6W1D3L
03/11/2026
Airdrie UnitedElgin City
50
L
31/10/2026
Kelty HeartsElgin City
01
W
24/10/2026
Stirling UniversityElgin City
12
W
17/10/2026
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
00
D
13/10/2026
Elgin CityAberdeen U21
01
L
10/10/2026
Forfar AthleticElgin City
12
W
03/10/2026
Elgin CityClyde
62
W
26/09/2026
PeterheadElgin City
01
W
22/09/2026
Elgin CityDundee II
30
W
19/09/2026
Elgin CityStranraer
15
L
DumbartonDumbarton
5W1D4L
31/10/2026
Edinburgh CityDumbarton
21
L
24/10/2026
DumbartonKeith
10
W
17/10/2026
DumbartonStirling Albion
11
D
13/10/2026
ClydebankDumbarton
40
L
10/10/2026
ClydeDumbarton
21
L
03/10/2026
DumbartonForfar Athletic
21
W
26/09/2026
DumbartonBanks O' Dee
32
W
22/09/2026
DumbartonKilmarnock II
32
W
19/09/2026
DumbartonSpartans
30
W
12/09/2026
StranraerDumbarton
31
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StranraerStranraer1383228:9+1927WDWWD
2ClydeClyde1383230:20+1027WDWWL
3Elgin CityElgin City1363428:19+921LWDWW
4SpartansSpartans1353527:25+218LWLWL
5Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts1360718:23-518WLWLW
6DumbartonDumbarton1351715:20-516WLDLW
7Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City1355323:20+315DWDLD
8Stirling AlbionStirling Albion1343619:29-1015LWDWW
9Forfar AthleticForfar Athletic1333714:25-1112DLLLL
10Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic13301014:26-129LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StranraerStranraer1328:927
2ClydeClyde1330:2027
3Elgin CityElgin City1328:1921
4SpartansSpartans1327:2518
5Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts1318:2318
6DumbartonDumbarton1315:2016
7Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City1323:2015
8Stirling AlbionStirling Albion1319:2915
9Forfar AthleticForfar Athletic1314:2512
10Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic1314:269
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About the Elgin City vs Dumbarton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Elgin City and Dumbarton in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Elgin City are 3rd and Dumbarton 6th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Elgin City 28-19, Dumbarton 15-20. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.