Elva vs Maardu Prediction

Elva
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Maardu
Nike Arena, Elva 20/08/2026
ElvaElva
1-0
Finished
MaarduMaardu

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Elva Rest
4 days
Maardu Rest
4 days

Elva vs Maardu: result, form and history

Elva beat Maardu 1-0 in the Esiliiga A on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Maardu have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.98
X
25%4.05
2
26%2.91
Double Chance
1X
74%1.31
X2
51%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%-
No
56%-
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%-
Over 2.5
39%1.20
Over 3.5
19%1.60
Under 1.5
37%-
Under 2.5
61%3.25
Under 3.5
81%1.95
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

54'A. PajuAssist: K. Haabma

Team Comparison

ElvaElva
MaarduMaardu
1593Elo Rating 1619
1.03Attack 2.18
1.39Defense 1.91
34%Hit Rate 83%

Game State Tendencies

ElvaElva
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MaarduMaardu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ElvaElva2Wins · 40%
Draws00%
MaarduMaardu3Wins · 60%
4.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A11/06/2026
ElvaMaardu
43
Esiliiga A12/03/2026
MaarduElva
03
Esiliiga A14/10/2021
MaarduElva
21
Esiliiga A25/08/2021
ElvaMaardu
01
Esiliiga A20/06/2021
ElvaMaardu
06

Recent Form

ElvaElva
6W2D2L
15/08/2026
Tallinna KalevElva
10
L
12/08/2026
ElvaJoker
30
W
08/08/2026
ElvaTartu Welco
21
W
01/08/2026
FCI Levadia IIElva
22
D
22/07/2026
Läänemaa HaapsaluElva
06
W
16/07/2026
ViimsiElva
13
W
11/07/2026
FC TallinnElva
03
W
05/07/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIElva
22
D
30/06/2026
Järva-JaaniElva
04
W
22/06/2026
ElvaFlora II
03
L
MaarduMaardu
6W1D3L
15/08/2026
MaarduFC Tallinn
10
W
08/08/2026
MaarduViimsi
12
L
01/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIMaardu
14
W
18/07/2026
Flora IIMaardu
13
W
13/07/2026
MaarduTartu Welco
18
L
09/07/2026
MaarduFlora II
32
W
03/07/2026
Tallinna KalevMaardu
33
D
22/06/2026
MaarduViimsi
10
W
18/06/2026
MaarduNõmme Kalju II
21
W
11/06/2026
ElvaMaardu
43
L

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco34235699:44+5574WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi331761061:32+2957WDWLL
3Flora IIFlora II321561176:57+1951DLDLW
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II321621464:56+850WWWWD
5ElvaElva321471147:48-149DLDWL
6MaarduMaardu301271147:59-1243DDDWW
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn341081643:77-3438WLLWD
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev321071556:62-637LLLDL
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II331061755:70-1536LLLWW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II34662239:82-4324LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3499:4474
2ViimsiViimsi3361:3257
3Flora IIFlora II3276:5751
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3264:5650
5ElvaElva3247:4849
6MaarduMaardu3047:5943
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn3443:7738
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3256:6237
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II3355:7036
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3439:8224

About the Elva vs Maardu forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Elva and Maardu in the Esiliiga A table

Elva and Maardu are close in the Esiliiga A table, 5th and 6th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Elva 47-48, Maardu 47-59. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Maardu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.