Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction

Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 27/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Excursionistas Rest
6 days
Deportivo Merlo Rest
6 days

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo: result, form and history

Excursionistas beat Deportivo Merlo 5-0 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 27 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Excursionistas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Deportivo Merlo.

Excursionistas have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.65
X
24%3.30
2
19%5.20
Double Chance
1X
81%1.13
X2
43%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.19
No
49%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 0.85 = 2.46
Over 1.5
65%1.42
Over 2.5
42%2.27
Over 3.5
22%4.30
Under 1.5
35%2.62
Under 2.5
58%1.52
Under 3.5
78%1.15
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'M. Blanco
25'A. Paulides
35'A. Espeche
42'M. Polvera
46'J. Busto IND. Cabrera out
46'A. Minnicelli IND. Maguicha out
62'J. E. Da Rosa INA. M. Paez out
63'M. Polvera INW. Gimenez out
63'G. Zoratti INM. Lopez out
69'M. Fernandez
70'W. Gimenez
71'M. Blanco INN. Damiolini out
71'M. Alaniz INL. Chambi out
71'L. Barrientos
71'L. Vallejo
74'M. Lopez
75'A. Espeche ING. Tellas out
90+5'R. Hernandez INC. Cuenca out
90+5'L. Ibarra INC. Sineiro out

Team Comparison

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
1626Elo Rating 1419
2.51Attack 0.65
2.61Defense 2.17
61%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+207 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ExcursionistasExcursionistas3Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo2Wins · 40%
3.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
100%3+ goals5 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana16/02/2026
Deportivo MerloExcursionistas
12
Primera B Metropolitana06/09/2025
ExcursionistasDeportivo Merlo
31
Primera B Metropolitana20/04/2025
Deportivo MerloExcursionistas
32
Primera B Metropolitana14/09/2024
Deportivo MerloExcursionistas
21
Primera B Metropolitana27/04/2024
ExcursionistasDeportivo Merlo
31

Recent Form

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
6W3D1L
20/06/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Camioneros
11
D
13/06/2026
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
01
W
06/06/2026
ExcursionistasSan Martín Burzaco
20
W
31/05/2026
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
02
W
27/05/2026
Argentino QuilmesExcursionistas
22
D
23/05/2026
ExcursionistasLiniers
41
W
16/05/2026
Real PilarExcursionistas
01
W
09/05/2026
ExcursionistasUAI Urquiza
00
D
02/05/2026
Villa DalmineExcursionistas
10
L
25/04/2026
ItuzaingóExcursionistas
13
W
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
4W3D3L
21/06/2026
Arsenal SarandiDeportivo Merlo
42
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo MerloArgentino de Merlo
22
D
06/06/2026
Talleres RemediosDeportivo Merlo
20
L
03/06/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Laferrere
21
W
27/05/2026
Deportivo MerloLiniers
00
D
23/05/2026
Brown DE AdrogueDeportivo Merlo
01
W
17/05/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Armenio
32
W
09/05/2026
FlandriaDeportivo Merlo
20
L
03/05/2026
Deportivo MerloArgentino Quilmes
10
W
25/04/2026
Defensores UnidosDeportivo Merlo
11
D

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas41249868:31+3781WDWLW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi412113755:27+2876WDWLW
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4119121047:33+1469LDWWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4019111042:26+1668LDLWD
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine411814940:27+1368WLDLD
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4118131048:34+1467LWDLL
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4117111342:39+362LDDWW
8Real PilarReal Pilar4017111242:39+362DLWLW
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4115131350:52-258WWDWL
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4114151239:35+457LDDDD
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4112151441:46-551LDLWL
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4012141440:43-350WLWWD
13FlandriaFlandria411391939:49-1048WWWDL
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4111151539:54-1548LWDDL
15Dock SudDock Sud4011141541:45-447LLLWD
16Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4112111837:44-747WLLLL
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4110171433:40-747WLDDD
18LiniersLiniers4010151533:41-845DDWLL
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue409161525:37-1243DWDWD
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos409151633:40-742DLDWL
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza406211323:36-1339DWWDL
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó411142628:67-3917LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4168:3181
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4155:2776
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4147:3369
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4042:2668
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4140:2768
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4148:3467
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4142:3962
8Real PilarReal Pilar4042:3962
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4150:5258
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4139:3557
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4141:4651
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4040:4350
13FlandriaFlandria4139:4948
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4139:5448
15Dock SudDock Sud4041:4547
16Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4137:4447
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4133:4047
18LiniersLiniers4033:4145
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4025:3743
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4033:4042
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4023:3639
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4128:6717
PromotionRelegation

About the Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excursionistas and Deportivo Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Excursionistas are 1st and Deportivo Merlo 14th, 33 points apart. League goal record so far: Excursionistas 68-31, Deportivo Merlo 39-54. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Excursionistas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.