Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos Prediction

Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
54%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-10.1%
Excursionistas Rest
6 days
Villa San Carlos Rest
6 days

Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos: the result in context

Excursionistas beat Villa San Carlos 4-0 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Excursionistas had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Villa San Carlos.

Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.55
X
26%3.60
2
20%5.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.11
X2
47%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.00
No
56%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.79 = 2.16
Over 1.5
68%1.31
Over 2.5
43%2.02
Over 3.5
23%3.58
Under 1.5
32%2.97
Under 2.5
57%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'N. Damiolini
19'A. Avalos
28'T. Akimenco
35'I. Esteves INL. Machin out
38'G. Areco
45+2'G. Tellas
46'F. Mussis INM. Plastino out
52'A. Espeche INA. Paulides out
59'G. Pedrosa
62'L. Machin INA. Acosta out
63'M. Fernandez INM. Lopez out
63'N. Damiolini INW. Gimenez out
73'M. Blanco INL. Chambi out
73'G. Tellas INM. Polvera out
73'R. Salinas INB. Alvarez out
73'F. Farias INF. Cairo out
75'D. Ledesma

Team Comparison

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
1609Elo Rating 1510
1.96Attack 1.17
2.39Defense 2.08
54%Hit Rate 63%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ExcursionistasExcursionistas2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos1Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana31/05/2026
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
02
Primera B Metropolitana23/08/2025
ExcursionistasVilla San Carlos
00
Primera B Metropolitana05/04/2025
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
21
Primera B Metropolitana14/07/2024
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
22
Primera B Metropolitana24/02/2024
ExcursionistasVilla San Carlos
10

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas40239864:31+3378DWLWW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi402013753:26+2773DWLWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano401912947:29+1869DWWWD
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4019111042:26+1668LDLWD
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros401813947:32+1567WDLLL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine401714939:27+1265LDLDW
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4017111242:38+462DDWWW
8Real PilarReal Pilar4017111242:39+362DLWLW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4014151139:34+557DDDDW
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4014131349:52-355WDWLL
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4012151341:45-451DLWLW
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4012141440:43-350WLWWD
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4011151439:53-1448WDDLW
14Dock SudDock Sud4011141541:45-447LLLWD
15LiniersLiniers4010151533:41-845DDWLL
16FlandriaFlandria401291936:48-1245WWDLL
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4011111836:44-844LLLLW
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes409171432:40-844LDDDD
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue409161525:37-1243DWDWD
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos409151633:40-742DLDWL
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza406211323:36-1339DWWDL
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó401142527:64-3717DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4064:3178
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4053:2673
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4047:2969
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4042:2668
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4047:3267
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4039:2765
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4042:3862
8Real PilarReal Pilar4042:3962
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4039:3457
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4049:5255
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4041:4551
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4040:4350
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4039:5348
14Dock SudDock Sud4041:4547
15LiniersLiniers4033:4145
16FlandriaFlandria4036:4845
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4036:4444
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4032:4044
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4025:3743
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4033:4042
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4023:3639
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4027:6417
PromotionRelegation

About the Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excursionistas and Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Excursionistas are 1st and Villa San Carlos 12th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: Excursionistas 64-31, Villa San Carlos 40-43. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.