Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction

Fakel
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Fakel Stadium, Voronezh·Igor Kaplenkov, Russia 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.53
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+10.7%
Fakel Rest
10 days
Dinamo Makhachkala Rest
9 days

Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala: the result in context

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Fakel 2-1 in the Premier League on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.63
X
34%2.92
2
33%3.10
Double Chance
1X
67%1.38
X2
67%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.12
No
49%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.25 = 2.58
Over 1.5
71%1.53
Over 2.5
41%2.74
Over 3.5
21%5.10
Under 1.5
29%2.46
Under 2.5
59%1.48
Under 3.5
79%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
61%1.77
Over 9.5
47%2.25
Over 10.5
35%3.05
Under 8.5
39%1.94
Under 9.5
53%1.54
Under 10.5
65%1.29
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'V. Yakimov
30'Y. ZhuravlevOG
42'M. Apshatsev
65'M. Apshatsev INA. Dzhabrailov out
65'G. Agalarov IND. Lesovoy out
68'V. Yakimov INA. Kovalev out
74'A. Gnapi Dable INM. Turishchev out
74'I. Alshin INN. Giorgobiani out
79'A. Sandrachuk
84'D. Todorovic INM. Uridia out
84'B. Magomedov INA. Bagamaev out
88'N. Glushkov INM. Hosseinnejad out
90+3'Miro INK. Zinovich out

Lineups

Fakel
5-3-2Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
Dinamo Makhachkala
5-3-2Coach: Vadim Evseev
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.90
D. Frolkin6.21D. Frolkin
D. Todorović6.255D. Todorović
A. Gabaraev6.25A. Gabaraev
I. Yurganov7.320I. Yurganov
Y. Zhuravlev6.544Y. Zhuravlev
I. AlshinC7.210I. Alshin
B. Magomedov6.297B. Magomedov
R. Netfullin6.952R. Netfullin
V. Yakimov6.923V. Yakimov
B. Pusi5.919B. Pusi
T. Magomedov6.939T. Magomedov
A. Sandrachuk7.272A. Sandrachuk
S. Kagermazov8.313S. Kagermazov
M. AlibekovC7.099M. Alibekov
T. Sundukov6.777T. Sundukov
H. Mrezigue6.716H. Mrezigue
M. Apshatsev6.96M. Apshatsev
N. Glushkov6.247N. Glushkov
G. Agalarov6.325G. Agalarov
Miro7.011Miro

Fakel Substitutes

8A. Bagamaev84'for B. Magomedov
93M. Uridia84'for D. Todorovic
53M. Bardachev
25A. Belyaev
99N. Giorgobiani74'for I. Alshin6.7
17A. Kovalev68'for V. Yakimov6.2
96I. Obukhov
11A. Sutormin
7M. Turishchev74'replaced by A. Gnapi Dable6.7

Dinamo Makhachkala Substitutes

19K. Zinovich90+3'for Miro
1D. Volk
9R. Magomedov
88D. Lesovoy65'for G. Agalarov6.9
8V. Khubulov
10M. Hosseinnezhad88'for N. Glushkov
21Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov65'for M. Apshatsev6.6
22M. Azzi
43I. Akhmedov

Match Stats

FakelDinamo Makhachkala
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
16Fouls10
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
521Total Passes401
431Passes Accurate300
83%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

FakelFakel
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1478Elo Rating 1468
1.28Attack 0.95
1.31Defense 0.57
50%Hit Rate 0%
11.6Shots per Game 9.7
3.6Shots on Target 3.4
4.9Corners per Game 3.2
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

Game State Tendencies

FakelFakel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FakelFakel0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League01/12/2024
Dinamo MakhachkalaFakel
00
Premier League06/10/2024
FakelDinamo Makhachkala
11

Recent Form

FakelFakel
3W4D3L
15/07/2026
FC RostovFakel
21
L
11/07/2026
AkronFakel
11
D
07/07/2026
FakelFC Rostov
31
W
16/05/2026
Volga UlyanovskFakel
03
W
08/05/2026
FakelSka-khabarovsk
00
D
03/05/2026
FakelEnisey
20
W
27/04/2026
Torpedo MoskvaFakel
22
D
22/04/2026
FakelShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
18/04/2026
ChaykaFakel
20
L
13/04/2026
FakelRodina Moskva
13
L
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
4W3D3L
16/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo St. Petersburg
31
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
07/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.
13
L
04/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLeningradets
30
W
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
L
23/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaUral
20
W
20/05/2026
UralDinamo Makhachkala
01
W
17/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
00
D
10/05/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
02/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Rostov
12
L

Referee Profile

Igor Kaplenkov3 matches analysed

3.79Cards per match
3.60Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 9% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Dinamo Makhachkala are 8th and Fakel 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Fakel 8-19, Dinamo Makhachkala 16-21. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.